Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

But the other two big problems now are prejudice existing more in rural areas, as well as religious folks who try to impose their religious and moral opinions on others.

And a different prejudice exists in urban areas. And nonreligious folk also try to impose their moral opinions on society.

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 6:19 am

But the other two big problems now are prejudice existing more in rural areas, as well as religious folks who try to impose their religious and moral opinions on others.

And a different prejudice exists in urban areas. And nonreligious folk also try to impose their moral opinions on society.

Examples? I don't doubt you are correct, but I cannot respond if you don't provide areas of concern.

Tom Mazanec wrote: Sun Oct 23, 2022 9:44 am US Navy chief says China could invade Taiwan before 2024
Admiral shatters 'Davidson Window' of 2027, says Chinese invasion also possible in 2022-2023
By Keoni Everington, Taiwan News, Staff Writer
2022/10/21 12:04
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4693479

Tywin Lannister: "Any man who must say, I am the king, is no true king." Game of Thrones https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y2kYTf5Zs38
John, thank you for hosting your GD website and the contributors who post interesting links and commentary. From reading the website comments, many have written off Taiwan and have predicted a CCP invasion as a solid bet, but I will put on my “contrarian” hat that I wore as a planner in a “philosophical drinking society” or combat command operations section. I think China will not invade, due to combined forces offensive amphibious force entry operation is one of the most complex operations that the PLA could attempt, it is currently not up to the task and the CCP sees the second and third-order repercussions if attempted.
There is a narrow time frame that is dictated by the typhoon season: between May and November, especially from August to October.
Taiwan does not need to develop nukes weapons to terrify the PLA. All they have to do is target Chinese nuclear power plants. Same effect with less impact and it is cheaper.
Cities don't need to be destroyed, just electrical distribution nodes. Graphite filament warheads would reduce the electrical power generating capacity of China and this would wreak havoc on the sweatshop of the world and cause doubts in the populace about the stability that the CCP supposedly would provide. https://istonline.org.uk/cms/wp-content ... 22x381.jpg
Same for oil storage sites. https://link.springer.com/article/10.10 ... /figures/2
Declare unlimited sinking of merchant ships and stalemate. It comes down to who can out pain each other and who has friends that can help out.
The CCP will need two weeks to empty the Three Gorges Dam before invading due to a salvo of missiles destroying its spillway and flooding farmland and cities. Taiwan is deploying medium-range blastic missiles that will be able to do so. Watch this video for more details https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d4aBLMwC5Us&t=1s at 11:00 to 17:45
More here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ssZDAuLEgs8
The CCP could do this to divert the civilian population's perception of their horrible fate by pulling the foreign boogeyman out as a distraction to their plight of living in a zero COVID environment, failing demographics, and unsustainable economic situation.
Also, guess gave Taiwan a pass on invasion? It was interesting that the US took a pass on invading Taiwan during WWII due to the entrenched Imperial Japanese Army. One key takeaway for me was: “the lack of sufficient numbers of U.S military resources and men and the distance that land-based aircraft would have to cover to provide air support during the invasion.” This was during a peak (WWII) wartime industrial might of the US, with the combined US Navy/Army forces wielding total air and naval superiority and submarine force that was strangling Japan with unrestricted warfare. I wonder what the PLA planners are thinking in light of Ukraine today. https://grahamthomasauthor.wordpress.co ... -causeway/
China would be shooting its industry in the foot due to all the manufacturing in Taiwan. Also, their economy would tank for a year or two since the US would seize all their assets and embargo the Chinese coast. When the USN submarines sink a few ships, Lloyds and other shipping insurance companies would cancel all shipping insurance. The US could be real A-holes and seize all Chinese citizen's assets (houses, properties, businesses..) that they own here, or do the opposite and encourage more capital flight, due to the CPC would seize all assets to fund the PLA or bail in/out(?) the economy for “common prosperity”. I know one Chinese family that owns a few restaurants in America and is in the process of moving all their cash out of the PRC. That would hurt. When the Chinese economy tanked, the next shooting from China would be the People’s Armed Police with the Ministry of Public Security detaining mothers who lost their princeling sons and shooting the unemployed.
Here is a good write-up on the possible Taiwan actions: https://cdrsalamander.blogspot.com/2022 ... ng-on.html

Thank you Bob for the interesting perspective!
Please comment on the Chips Act whether this could will force their hand in decision making. From what I've gathered, it's something akin to a total denial of their ability to import higher end semiconductor and any technology or tools used in this technology. They'll be curtailed from military and industrial capacity almost completely? Apparently they cannot produce any higher end chips and import most everything related. Blockading the island would be a tit for tat. They're control of import/export from the island would undermine the industry in like kind until a compromise is found or a fight is begun.?

spottybrowncow wrote: Sun Oct 23, 2022 6:38 pm

Bob Butler wrote: Sun Oct 23, 2022 6:05 pm I would agree that we have used the prison system to lock up minor drug users too much.

There, I suspected it might happen someday - I agree with Bob on something!

Now, let me correct one of his earlier statements:

"The Democrats run big cities because the Republicans do not share the goals of the voters."

The red/blue small town/big city divide is very real. People in big cities live in a very artificial environment, made possible only by the actions of many people far away, and the use of massive amounts of energy for transporting things. It's similar to aqueducts making ancient Rome possible, and why cities grow on rivers and and railroad lines. In that environment, getting along with everyone and putting up with anything is a survival strategy. Many intellectual things of value are produced in big cities, but many in that environment also come to believe that they are "better" and "enlightened." Like most everyone, they see only a small part of the reality which allows them to exist.

It's a great post, and spotty points out that Dems are buyers of voters, and ruiners of cities, but Bish doesn't like that so he acts like he makes sense. Even mentioning that "Dems support more common voters" ... uh, no they don't. John has posted on this many times. Your only response to Dem led urban ghettos, getting worse and worse over the years with greater Dem control, is some buzzword like racism, which is what you and your father do constantly: Lie.

I've pointed out countless falsehoods over the years I've been here, it's a joke to act like at least 75% of them aren't Bish-related.

Monday, October 24th, 2022

Kanye Yee West and anti-semitism

there has been a global
outbreak of anti-semitism, following remarks by Kanye West that he is planning to go defcon 4 on Jews and has doubled down on those threats. many of these anti-semitic outbreaks are in the form of supporting Kanye West posts on jews.

the rise of hatred and xenophobia by any demographic group targeting another is a subject of core interest in generational dynamics. thus, if this outbreak of antisemitism continues to grow, a generational Dynamics analysis of why that is happening could be an appropriate subject for this forum.

however, posts supporting anti-semitism are strictly forbidden in this forum. such posts will will softly and suddenly vanish away.
this has happened, for example, to idiotic posts that implied that Jews are masters of Ukraine or the world.
neither of these is a generational Dynamics concept.

however, if you have some analytical thoughts about the situation that are consistent with generational dynamics, then post them.

how do you know whether a post is anti-Semitic? if either I or Clarkmod thinks that it's anti-Semitic, then it is, and it will be deleted.

if you'd like to take your chances, then you might be able to get by by posting it in one of the threads in the mixer sub for them. the bar is a little lower there, but it's not zero.

Maybe because Jews are considered to be successful in economic and financial ability, when people feel financially threatened, as they do now, they become easiest group to demonize and blame. We're already getting fractured along fault lines of belief and even science is on the rocks. The feeling of ever greater conflict is pervasive and old hatreds are rearing their heads. Globally. Hatred is a mindset and energy in and of itself. A fire that will consume everything it can.

Bob Butler wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 7:12 am

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Oct 24, 2022 6:19 am

But the other two big problems now are prejudice existing more in rural areas, as well as religious folks who try to impose their religious and moral opinions on others.

And a different prejudice exists in urban areas. And nonreligious folk also try to impose their moral opinions on society.

Examples? I don't doubt you are correct, but I cannot respond if you don't provide areas of concern.

https://www1.cbn.com/cbnnews/us/2021/no ... onouns-law
So if I worked in a group home in California (as I worked in one in Ohio for 18 years) and I refused to lie (which is a Mortal Sin) by using a female pronoun for a man (albeit mutilated) who says he is a female I can be imprisoned by the nonreligious?

China's CPC Congress Passes Resolution To Boost Armed Forces, Speed Up 'Taiwan Reunification'
BY TYLER DURDEN
SATURDAY, OCT 22, 2022 - 09:00 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... nification

Russia Warns Of ‘Dirty Bomb’ False Flag Plot In Flurry Of Rare Calls To Western Leaders
Published 1 min ago on 24 October, 2022
https://summit.news/2022/10/24/russia-w ... n-leaders/

North and South Korea exchange warning shots along disputed sea boundary amid heightened tensions following North Korea's recent barrage of missile tests
By STEWART CARR and CHRIS JEWERS and CHRIS PLEASANCE FOR MAILONLINE
PUBLISHED: 18:59 EDT, 23 October 2022 | UPDATED: 07:31 EDT, 24 October 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... ndary.html

Where Most Aid to Ukraine Comes from
Taps Coogan – October 24th, 2022
https://thesoundingline.com/where-most- ... omes-from/

Britain, France, and US reject Russian accusation that Ukraine preparing to use a ‘dirty bomb’ as ‘transparently false’
by Jamie McIntyre, Senior Writer |
October 24, 2022 07:28 AM
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/poli ... ntly-false

Why Russia’s strategic defeat is in the cards
BY ALEXANDER J. MOTYL, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR - 10/24/22 7:30 AM ET
THE VIEWS EXPRESSED BY CONTRIBUTORS ARE THEIR OWN AND NOT THE VIEW OF THE HILL
https://thehill.com/opinion/internation ... the-cards/

Mutiny in Putin's ranks? Conscripts drafted into Ukraine war 'threaten to topple Russian regime over spluttering invasion'
By WILL STEWART and BRITTANY CHAIN FOR MAILONLINE
PUBLISHED: 13:50 EDT, 22 October 2022 | UPDATED: 14:08 EDT, 22 October 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... asion.html

Russians ‘flee’ Kherson: Putin loyalists, officials and collaborators are among thousands evacuating city as advancing Ukrainian troops close in, claims resident - after dictator unleashed missile blitz on power stations
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... ident.html

SELF DESTRUCT How deranged Putin threatens to unleash 18million ton wall of water in sick plot to BLOW UP dam & flood Ukrainian towns
Felix Allen
12:19 ET, Oct 21 2022
https://www.the-sun.com/news/6497866/da ... e-kherson/

POWER STRUGGLE Russian missile blitz leaves 1.5MILLION Ukrainians without power as Mad Vlad attacks energy network & civilians
Henry Holloway
8:12 ET, Oct 22 2022Updated: 9:14 ET, Oct 22 2022
https://www.the-sun.com/news/6502597/ru ... ower-cuts/

https://youtu.be/dRd03nA05OE
Attorney General making a big move at a difficult time.
Adding fuel to a rapidly growing fire.