Financial topics

[John]

Jevon's Paradox:
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2010/ ... cy-dilemma


This is what people used to call "the freeway effect." If you want to
reduce traffic congestion, then build more freeways. But if you build
more freeways, then more people will drive, and the traffic congestion
will be the same.

[aedens]

You spend $20,000.00 in crisis managment as they spend $2,000,000.00 flying there you tell you.
Same as always.

Broken glass and debt, but hurt not thou the oil and the wine.
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/ ... e%20DB.jpg

The Atlantic boom and finite resources meet the current Alien Ant Farm voter import model. Eisenhower was correct to the levity of the view and tried to address it in 1957 but as always it was packaged since as FDR warned it is no accident. I do still take pause at the current energy complex
view and the direction it is going. The local market indeed decided we need more energy not to be imported and the fallout of a actual crack up boom in the endogeneity of the commerical credit cycle. Like we posted it was seen over seventeen percent over production of hydocarbon feed stocks and no one raised an eyebrow to the effects posited. Here we are as the tribes leverage diversity all over again.

[John]

SNGG-2015-02-20-0000.18.32.24.gif (21.12 KiB) Viewed 2712 times

http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2 ... dc_h_usshl

[Higgenbotham]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eym4PwHmUvI

Tainter provides some commentary.

[aedens]

Tainter will be correct http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... douts.html

[Higgenbotham]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6x16AqmzxS8

Recent interview with Tainter. He discusses "After Armageddon" in this interview as well as Ebola and a Carrington Event or EMP attack.

Tainter says a pandemic won't cause a collapse unless people are afraid to go to their jobs. Here's the way I figure it. If there's a pandemic and you go to your job, you die, so you're not there to do your job. If there's a pandemic and you don't go to your job, you're not there to do your job.

[aedens]

H in that context we agree. This is a regional issue as the layers are seen.

And the light of a candle shall shine no more at all in thee; and the voice of the bridegroom and of the bride shall be heard no more at all in thee: for thy merchants were the great men of the earth; for by thy sorceries were all nations deceived.

Serve your family and see what gifts we already have. I will never give in to evil. I will die a free man.
Credit is reserved for those who are bonded, until they can over come debt then they can see.
Some never will which is tragic.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YSfTdzoO4ic so row well and liv

due north is ez38:15 and 39:2 which is the next seal some consider, and that would be ankara

that would be the future in my opinion only

the past is already known from Kuduri
Yarim Ha'Am Veyokhiakm Shedvaro Vetorato Omdim

http://johngaltfla.com/wordpress/2015/0 ... -in-syria/
February 21, 2015 22:30

[Higgenbotham]

FAQs: H5N1 influenza

Q1: What is H5N1?

H5N1 is a type of influenza virus that causes a highly infectious, severe respiratory disease in birds called avian influenza (or "bird flu"). Human cases of H5N1 avian influenza occur occasionally, but it is difficult to transmit the infection from person to person. When people do become infected, the mortality rate is about 60%.

http://www.who.int/influenza/human_anim ... h/faqs/en/

A contagious H5N1 has been produced in a lab. It could either be released from a lab or produced by terrorists, etc.

Knowing that this virus has a mortality rate of 60% and it exists in a laboratory in transmittable form makes me wonder where people are coming from who say that the next pandemic can't collapse the economy. Perhaps the transmittable form will have a lower mortality rate but that is probably unknown at this point. Correction - See the post below which confirms that the mortality rate of the airborne virus is likely going to be unchanged.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qfF3DdfLz4s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90oP2ez8l4k

[Higgenbotham]

ROTTERDAM, THE NETHERLANDS—Locked up in the bowels of the medical faculty building here and accessible to only a handful of scientists lies a man-made flu virus that could change world history if it were ever set free.

The virus is an H5N1 avian influenza strain that has been genetically altered and is now easily transmissible between ferrets, the animals that most closely mimic the human response to flu. Scientists believe it's likely that the pathogen, if it emerged in nature or were released, would trigger an influenza pandemic, quite possibly with many millions of deaths.

"I can't think of another pathogenic organism that is as scary as this one," adds Keim, who has worked on anthrax for many years. "I don't think anthrax is scary at all compared to this."

Some scientists say that's reason enough not to do such research. The virus could escape from the lab, or bioterrorists or rogue nations could use the published results to fashion a bioweapon with the potential for mass destruction, they say. "This work should never have been done," says Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University in Piscataway, New Jersey, and the Howard Hughes Medical Institute who has a strong interest in biosecurity issues.

The research by the Kawaoka and Fouchier teams set out to answer a question that has long puzzled scientists: Does H5N1, which rarely causes human disease, have the potential to trigger a pandemic? The virus has decimated poultry flocks on three continents but has caused fewer than 600 known cases of flu in humans since it emerged in Asia in 1997, although those rare human cases are often fatal. Because the virus spreads very inefficiently between humans it has been unable to set off a chain reaction and circle the globe.

Some scientists think the virus is probably unable to trigger a pandemic, because adapting to a human host would likely make it unable to reproduce. Some also believe the virus would need to reshuffle its genes with a human strain, a process called reassortment, that some believe is most likely to occur in pigs, which host both human and avian strains. Based on past experience, some scientists have also argued that flu pandemics can only be caused by H1, H2, and H3 viruses, which have been replaced by each other in the human population every so many decades—but not by H5.

Fouchier says his study shows all of that to be wrong.

Those stories describe how Fouchier initially tried to make the virus more transmissible by making specific changes to its genome, using a process called reverse genetics; when that failed, he passed the virus from one ferret to another multiple times, a low-tech and time-honored method of making a pathogen adapt to a new host.

After 10 generations, the virus had become "airborne": Healthy ferrets became infected simply by being housed in a cage next to a sick one. The airborne strain had five mutations in two genes, each of which have already been found in nature, Fouchier says; just never all at once in the same strain.

Ferrets aren't humans, but in studies to date, any influenza strain that has been able to pass among ferrets has also been transmissible among humans, and vice versa, says Fouchier: "That could be different this time, but I wouldn't bet any money on it."

Based on Fouchier's talk in Malta, New Scientist reported that the strain created by the Rotterdam team is just as lethal to ferrets as the original one.

http://news.sciencemag.org/2011/11/scie ... lu-studies

This confirms H5N1 can become airborne with a mortality rate of 60% and that the virus exists in labs in this form.

[John]

While we're at it, the new outbreak of MERS in Saudi Arabia is still
small, but officials are concerned because it's surging much earlier
this year than last year.

http://www.arabnews.com/saudi-arabia/news/707061

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/ ... AQ20150220