Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aeden
Posts: 13971
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

We posted both views on the 13.7 years technical breakdown and the longer view you conveyed.
I agree with your dynamics view as we factor ours as the frequency waves offset effects
upcoming. I think your correct and as forwarded closed 1/3 of the short book 4
since earning is still about the 10 tall guys and the 5 foot guys Father Malachi Martin
pointed out very clearly. I reminded one who pointed out recent affair but I reminded
him Andropov then already had it underway since few have even gauged that effect.
We are not jumping into anything unless sifted. I will post current short term ratio
and as indicated only has a .1 positive bias we knew a action item was warranted.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YtbOr-IerBA
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7985
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

We remember the Pokemon Go phenomenon of a couple summers ago.

What I'd like to see for a signal of a top of this bull market is some type of new app where the Millennials turn the stock market into some kind of game that creates a short term frenzy of activity and buzz, maybe around late August or early September.

That would be an easy short. This is not.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aeden
Posts: 13971
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04- ... ublic-life

Long is the game since 1202

context: The fourth crusaders earlier set the stage and helped the Venitian's dethone Alexius III a usurper in Constantinople in 1202 -1204 for payment of transport to Egypt. Zara from Hungary was conquered first for them also for the trade networks east. Baldwin of Flanders was made Emperor. When Constantinople fell later the West literally had to go West and the main flux period was 1532 to the unfolding of the new currency shift in power.
Walker 1918

A few can discern the implications we see as we go into July.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7985
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Zero Hedge headlines this weekend look like either a crash is coming or this is a low.

I do not expect an easy short. But that's approximately how I think one might look.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aeden
Posts: 13971
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Sifting global is key. Number three on the list was the Brits for the technically inclined engineered material split timelines. "edit" Going forward will be India and is moving along just like China but is precisely 13 years behind. Its economy today is the same size as China's was in 2006. China started real reforms in 1979 and India started real reforms in 1992. If their growth patterns are any indication, they are almost exactly the same. China started their infrastructure modernization around 2002, and India started its infrastructure modernization around 2015. India will be running around 12-15 years behind China until China plateaus around 2030, and India will probably catch up with China around 2045-2050.

Its just simple trendlines. I already been sifting looks and mentioned a few smaller moves in to utility/industrial sane actors for investment.
I am not a doom clinic if the sane actors show up but we can see what regional heads are filled with.

The blue team forgets when global growth turns south coupled with inflation you get "stagflation", and when the result is an abrupt halt to the "late cycle" economic expansion, recessions begins. Cost push will annihilate more since the tax burden cannot support Housing tax landed total cost.
We see the rent factors and the consumers have already lost a decade in actual nominal terms. Zones cannot sell Housing since the tax burden eliminated the actual cost basis to living in the dead rings zone we seen coming.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/04 ... hts-in-us/

Cost will spike since you cannot accommodate unlawful residence. Bad enough in some areas if a tomato plant is in flower bed.
Socialist are simply insane since it is choosing suicide instead of Marxist out right murder.

The Silver Way: China, Spanish America and the Birth of Globalisation, 1565–1815, China, 2017, ISBN 978-0734399434
The silver trade marked the era of commercial capitalism and became the bridge between late medieval and modern times. Despite their best efforts, by 1759, and because of the changing Atlantic trade highway(seaway), Spain could no longer compete successfully with Britain and France in the international economy.

Europeans were considered “vassals” of the Emperor and had to pay tribute and acknowledge subordinate position to the Emperor and the Chinese. Because he considered the Europeans to be barbarians, he didn't want them to influence Chinese society and culture, keeping them to specific ports. This was a turning point in Anglo-Chinese relations.

The point China indicates and flatly ignore they caused pollution in zone impossible to cost manage now and could actually careless with any infiltration process of rational design implied as a tragedy of the commons plunges forward. Party cutouts since six percent control the psycho babel a few have to manage to survive.

Today President Donald Trump on Sunday said he sees an end to the escalating trade dispute with China, after tit-for-tat retaliatory tariffs and threats that rattled markets.
"China will take down its trade barriers because it is the right thing to do," Trump said in a tweet.

"Taxes will become reciprocal & deal will be made on Intellectual Property. Great future for both countries!"
President Xi and I will always be friends, no matter what happens with our dispute on trade. China will take down its Trade Barriers because it is the right thing to do. Taxes will become Reciprocal & a deal will be made on Intellectual Property. Great future for both countries! Newsmax.com

The World Trade Organization (WTO) is an intergovernmental organization that regulates international trade. The WTO officially commenced on 1 January 1995 under the Marrakesh Agreement, signed by 123 nations on 15 April 1994, replacing the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)

China has filed two complaints at the World Trade Organization.
aeden
Posts: 13971
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default ... 0index.jpg
pf interval

We will leave it to the experts who put us in this quandary with maximum brain power.

Failure is a process, not an event.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7985
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote: I called my broker this afternoon and told him about how I am bootstrapping my account. He decided to put me on day trading margins so I can carry on with the e-mini S&P, which requires $6,380 initial margin.

I didn't ask him to. That's an indication to me that the industry doesn't feel extremely risk averse.
Nope. The day trading margins were taken off over the weekend. Full margin required. Must have been some fears out there.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote:
Higgenbotham wrote: I called my broker this afternoon and told him about how I am bootstrapping my account. He decided to put me on day trading margins so I can carry on with the e-mini S&P, which requires $6,380 initial margin.

I didn't ask him to. That's an indication to me that the industry doesn't feel extremely risk averse.
Nope. The day trading margins were taken off over the weekend. Full margin required. Must have been some fears out there.

They must have read the Hussman article.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7985
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:
Higgenbotham wrote:
Higgenbotham wrote: I called my broker this afternoon and told him about how I am bootstrapping my account. He decided to put me on day trading margins so I can carry on with the e-mini S&P, which requires $6,380 initial margin.

I didn't ask him to. That's an indication to me that the industry doesn't feel extremely risk averse.
Nope. The day trading margins were taken off over the weekend. Full margin required. Must have been some fears out there.
They must have read the Hussman article.
What I got out of it today was the FCM (futures commission merchant) wanted a written guarantee from the IB (introducing broker) that it's his nickel if the account goes debit and they can't collect from me. So somebody at the FCM switched it over Friday, then got overruled and it was switched back until that guarantee was received. I'm reading between the lines a bit, but I think I got it right.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7985
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Today was a good day for me to stay out of the market.

I looked around noon, near the high with the S&P up 44, and thought all that brainpower got it right. Pokemon Go analog, here we come.

At the end of the day with most of those 44 points lost, I thought who would have predicted that, looks terrible.

I don't believe I would have sold that high.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
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