Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Higgenbotham wrote:Still bootstrapping. I was slowed down quite a bit when I dropped off to sleep in the middle of a trade. You might have an edge in the market but it's irrelevant if you can't stay awake. When I have big positions on, I repeat the mantra "Stay Awake, Stay Alive."

The obvious comment somebody might make is if I added over 10% to the account why not put a lot of money in. It doesn't seem to work that way.

Also, the most probable outcome is that after considerable struggle I don't get this off the ground.

I'm going to end the day and the week here and wait for some more turbulence to develop before making another move.

Higgenbotham wrote: > The Dow futures opened a few minutes ago and are up 180. The
> stock indices haven't cleared last week's high yet, though they
> are close. It will probably take confirmation from Asia and
> Europe with no additional news overnight of much consequence to
> get over that hump.

> It seemed like most of the forums were bearish on the weekend
> news. It's important to remember that the vast majority of what
> you read on the Internet comes from the 99+% who can't beat the
> market averages (and I can't beat the market averages
> either).

John wrote: > Continuing with the theme that I've been discussing for the last
> few weeks, the market has been in wild swings the last few weeks,
> down 572 today. As I wrote a couple of weeks ago, since the
> market peaked on January 26, the market has been following a
> similar pattern to the period prior to the 1929 panic.

> The S&P 500 price/earnings ratio [on Friday morning was 24.92].

> http://www.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_30 ... dc_h_usshl

> The earnings period is going to start in earnest this week. The
> expectations are an astronomical earnings increase. If those
> astronomical expectations are not met, that could be the trigger.

> One theory is that the October 28, 1929, panic occurred because
> earnings were below expectations. If we want to guess at when
> there might be a panic this year, it would be on April 28,
> 2018.

WSJ wrote: > The Bar Has Gotten High for Earnings Beats

> One problem with the ever-rising optimism surrounding
> U.S. corporate earnings: it’s becoming harder for companies to
> deliver results that boost their stock prices.

> Earnings season kicked off in earnest Friday when banks including
> JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. and PNC Financial Services
> Group Inc. reported their results for the first quarter.

> Each of those companies reported double-digit profit growth for
> the period, but ultimately failed to impress investors.
> JPMorgan shares declined 3.6% Friday, while Citigroup fell 3% and
> PNC shed 4.5%.

> Analysts warn that other companies will likely face
> similarly-scrutinizing investors as they report earnings in the
> weeks ahead. That’s in part because expectations for profit growth
> among U.S. firms have gotten so lofty after a corporate tax-rate
> cut and a strong run for global growth.

> "Investors may have expectations that are simply impossible to
> meet," said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at
> Commonwealth Financial Network, in an emailed market
> commentary. "If this kind of reaction is common this earnings
> season, that could weigh on the market."

> S&P 500 firms are forecast to report profits grew 17% in the first
> quarter of 2018 from a year earlier, according to data from
> FactSet Inc. That would be the strongest quarter of earnings
> growth since 2011.

> High hopes for earnings growth make it harder for companies to
> surprise investors with strong results, which can be a catalyst
> for a stock rally. At the same time, uncertainties over
> geopolitics, trade and tech regulation continue to loom over the
> market.

> Morgan Stanley thinks the earnings recovery will top out this year
> as the recent pace of growth puts companies up against tougher
> year-over-year comparisons. That could turn to a drag on the
> nine-year-old stock bull market, Morgan Stanley warns.

> "It’s more likely that we simply see an exhaustion in the earnings
> cycle as tax cuts and economic stimulus create comparisons that
> essentially sow the seeds of its own demise," the analysts
> wrote.

aeden wrote:How does Facebook track non-users?
Facebook can get data from non-users when a Facebook account holder uploads email addresses of friends, for example. Other information comes from “cookies,” small files stored via web browsers that track people on the internet, Reuters reported.