Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aeden
Posts: 13965
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

I understand H. I am 26.3% Stocks 5.0% Bonds 68.7% Short-term reserves.

I am the last person on the planet to Johns dilute maximum ruin and current publication.
I will also convey we agree to disagree on razor thin differences.
Doing the math based on current public awareness would be intellectual suicide
even in a broader context to the arc of instability. They should of read John recent
publication for some broader context.

My initial bias route was the 1974 paper from Mr. Harold Vance was linear function cost analysis which in concept was non linear as we know in Pareto functions we seen coming.
Even before April 1974 back to 1961 the tide has barely begun to turn.
The New World Order will have to be built from the bottom up rather than from the top down ... but an end run on national sovereignty, eroding it piece by piece will accomplish much more than the old-fashioned frontal assault."
Richard Gardner - Council on Foreign Relations Journal, April 1974, Page 558

When my Mothers Dad left Europe in 1918 he conveyed lessons they will learn the hard way.
He was essentially correct on what was coming to these shores.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7984
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:The reason that this worked for you is that you were 40, and 40 year olds are supposed to be stupid.
I was 52, almost 53, when I got my last job in 2014, but that doesn't at all negate what you're saying in general. I felt as if I was barely under the wire for being unemployable. I believe I was given an interview because they had some interview slots that hadn't been filled. There was no intention to hire me. During the interview, I was friendly and gracious, and dumbed myself down to the appropriate level. There was a woman who was 70 plus years old on the interview panel (i.e. a Silent) and I found out later she was the department head and a week from retirement. About 10 minutes into the interview, she looked at the Gen X managers and gave them the signal that "you're going to hire this guy" and got up and walked out of the room. An hour after the interview ended, I had barely gotten home and got a call from the Gen X manager that I was being offered the job. Obviously, while that scenario was still barely possible in 2014, it is not possible in 2019.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aeden
Posts: 13965
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

I think your correct H as in .1 paradox.
The technician would say the 10 of 10 you did was impossible.
Of each particular thing ask, what is it in itself?
“The object in life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.”
Marcus Aurelius, Roman Emperor

I will only consider eighty percent and more only got educated to the point they could not understand what History they will repeat.

Thread: Z-scores filters
UTF, BUI, DPG and UTG
Sun Jul 29, 2018 7:53 am

All closed for now. The oil contracts closed as conveyed was roi for the year.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xFrsMMEQt2w
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote: > I was 52, almost 53, when I got my last job in 2014, but that
> doesn't at all negate what you're saying in general. I felt as if
> I was barely under the wire for being unemployable. I believe I
> was given an interview because they had some interview slots that
> hadn't been filled. There was no intention to hire me. During the
> interview, I was friendly and gracious, and dumbed myself down to
> the appropriate level. There was a woman who was 70 plus years old
> on the interview panel (i.e. a Silent) and I found out later she
> was the department head and a week from retirement. About 10
> minutes into the interview, she looked at the Gen X managers and
> gave them the signal that "you're going to hire this guy" and got
> up and walked out of the room. An hour after the interview ended,
> I had barely gotten home and got a call from the Gen X manager
> that I was being offered the job. Obviously, while that scenario
> was still barely possible in 2014, it is not possible in
> 2019.
In fact, I got a contract job a couple of years ago in exactly
this way. The Silent wanted to hire me, and the Gen-Xer hated me,
so I was hired, but when the Silent was transferred to another
city, the Gen-Xer sabotaged me.
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote: > Update on my short position. Currently down 49K.

> I have no plans to cover anytime soon. Still expecting a massive
> generational crash. In my opinion, the higher it goes and the
> more rabid the bulls become, the higher is the likelihood of a
> more severe crash.
Isn't this how you lost everything in 2013?
aeden
Posts: 13965
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Can you waste your time at community college with a smile J
Overqualified does not mean you cannot change one life.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7984
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Early on, one of the Gen X managers wrote on my work product, "This shows you can learn new things." This shows you how strong the bias is against older workers in technology, as I was only about 13 years older than my managers, rather than the 25-30 years of a typical Boomer.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7984
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:
Higgenbotham wrote: > Update on my short position. Currently down 49K.

> I have no plans to cover anytime soon. Still expecting a massive
> generational crash. In my opinion, the higher it goes and the
> more rabid the bulls become, the higher is the likelihood of a
> more severe crash.
Isn't this how you lost everything in 2013?
I lost 255K in 2013, but have made 255K trading over the past 2 years. Minus the 49K.

A better spin to put on this is I'm the last short standing on this board and one of the few retail shorts left standing in the entire world.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7984
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Every trader I know who was short in the 2009 and 2010 time frame is either broke, dead, or afraid to short. I'm the only one left standing that I know of who has a large short position. The market is near its top and I am unscathed, either monetarily, physically, or emotionally.

I would add that will likely be true where ever the top comes in and when ever it comes, but there are no guarantees.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7984
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

2017.
John wrote: Hi Higgie,

How are you doing? We haven't heard from you in a long time. Have
you been victimized by the Principle of Maximum Ruin? Are you living
in a trailer because you spent all your money responding to margin
calls? Or did you figure out a way to cash in?

John
How are you doing? OK

Have you been victimized by the Principle of Maximum Ruin? No

Are you living in a trailer because you spent all your money responding to margin calls? No

Or did you figure out a way to cash in? Not yet, but stay tuned.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
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