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Re: 22-Apr-18 World View -- North Korea suspends all nuclear, missile tests, shuts down nuclear test site
Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2018 3:08 pm
by thomasglee
CH86 wrote:thomasglee wrote:CH86 wrote:
What's the purpose of Iran's Nuclear program at Bushehr and elsewhere, then.
They develop the nukes but then have them tested in north Korea by the norKs. It gives Iran plausible deniability.
Just a theory I've carried for quite some time. Having the norKs do the testing allows Iran to feign suspension of their program, thereby taking the head off and letting them get the money they got from the Obama administration. The norKs obtain hard currency for conducting the tests and Iran gets to see how their development is progressing.
But there is No Reason For either Iran or North Korea to Hide their capabilities. Being declared Nuclear powers would effectively Make both countries invulnerable to any preemptive strike under the existing unspoken rules. The open development of such capabilities would also make their threat credible.
There are myriad reasons why keeping their programs secret benefit them. Especially Iran.
Re: 22-Apr-18 World View -- North Korea suspends all nuclear, missile tests, shuts down nuclear test site
Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2018 4:49 pm
by Tom Mazanec
CH86 wrote:thomasglee wrote:CH86 wrote:
What's the purpose of Iran's Nuclear program at Bushehr and elsewhere, then.
They develop the nukes but then have them tested in north Korea by the norKs. It gives Iran plausible deniability.
Just a theory I've carried for quite some time. Having the norKs do the testing allows Iran to feign suspension of their program, thereby taking the head off and letting them get the money they got from the Obama administration. The norKs obtain hard currency for conducting the tests and Iran gets to see how their development is progressing.
But there is No Reason For either Iran or North Korea to Hide their capabilities. Being declared Nuclear powers would effectively Make both countries invulnerable to any preemptive strike under the existing unspoken rules. The open development of such capabilities would also make their threat credible.
Does that same logic apply to Israel?
Re: 22-Apr-18 World View -- North Korea suspends all nuclear, missile tests, shuts down nuclear test site
Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2018 4:57 pm
by John
When North Korea made its spectacular announcement that it would end
testing, it really had no choice:
South China Morning Post wrote:
> North Korea’s nuclear test site has collapsed ... and that may be
> why Kim Jong-un suspended tests
> North Korea’s mountain nuclear test site has collapsed, putting
> China and other nearby nations at unprecedented risk of
> radioactive exposure, two separate groups of Chinese scientists
> studying the issue have confirmed.
> The collapse after five nuclear blasts may be why North Korean
> leader Kim Jong-un declared on Friday that he would [1]freeze the
> hermit state’s nuclear and missile tests and shut down the site,
> one researcher said. ...
> One group of researchers found that the most recent blast tore
> open a hole in the mountain, which then collapsed upon itself. A
> second group concluded that the breakdown created a “chimney” that
> could allow radioactive fallout from the blast zone below to rise
> into the air.
>
http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomac ... im-jong-un
** 1-Nov-17 World View -- Chinese geologists warn of looming nuclear disaster from North Korean tests
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e171101
** 17-Dec-17 World View -- Chinese experts warn China to prepare for nuclear war in North Korea
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e171217
Re: 22-Apr-18 World View -- North Korea suspends all nuclear, missile tests, shuts down nuclear test site
Posted: Thu Apr 26, 2018 2:44 pm
by CH86
More Excuses by Boomer globalist "leaders" to justify not nuking North Korea. Boomers ideologues are clearly using emotional and Ideological thinking in formulating "strategy", not using objective analysis. Either the NORKs want nukes to attack the US, or they don't want war. All evidence so far backs up the former opinion therefore a nuclear carpet-bombing first strike on NK is clearly the best option available.
Re: 22-Apr-18 World View -- North Korea suspends all nuclear, missile tests, shuts down nuclear test site
Posted: Sat Apr 28, 2018 11:11 am
by CH86
Tom Mazanec wrote:CH86 wrote:thomasglee wrote:
They develop the nukes but then have them tested in north Korea by the norKs. It gives Iran plausible deniability.
Just a theory I've carried for quite some time. Having the norKs do the testing allows Iran to feign suspension of their program, thereby taking the head off and letting them get the money they got from the Obama administration. The norKs obtain hard currency for conducting the tests and Iran gets to see how their development is progressing.
But there is No Reason For either Iran or North Korea to Hide their capabilities. Being declared Nuclear powers would effectively Make both countries invulnerable to any preemptive strike under the existing unspoken rules. The open development of such capabilities would also make their threat credible.
Does that same logic apply to Israel?
But the Iraqi Nuclear program will still in its early development stage when Israel bombed Osirak. If Iran had Already developed Nukes, there would be no reason to hide that it had done so. There would be Nothing the west could really do unless Iran Rashly makes direct specific threats. North Korea is a partial exception because it has routinely threatened several countries will all out nuclear war while simultaneously openly expanding its capabilities that make those threats credible. A "quieter" Iran could simply develop an arsenal and other apparatuses (potential terrorist surrogates) without fear of retaliation.
Re: 22-Apr-18 World View -- North Korea suspends all nuclear, missile tests, shuts down nuclear test site
Posted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 8:58 am
by Guest
How long do you think it will take before the North Korean ruse is exposed?
The South Korean president is a total goof ball. He won't figure out what is going on until they place is head on the chopping block. And even then he'll probably think the North Koreans just want to give him a close shave.
I'm waiting for Donald Trump to walk out of the summit.