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** 24-Nov-2019 World View: 'Stunning upsets' in historic Hong Kong elections

• Long queues of people waiting to vote at the Aberdeen Sports
  Centre in Hong Kong on Sunday (SCMP)

In Hong Kong, Sunday's local district council elections are headed for
a historic wipe-out in favor of the Pan Democrats pro-democracy camp,
and terrible for city leader Carrie Lam, and a huge rebuff to the
Beijing-based Chinese Communist Party (CCP), according to reports on
several tv channels, as of this time As of this time (Sunday 1 pm ET =
Monday 2 am in Hong Kong).

The Hong Kong based South China Morning Post is saying the same thing,
pointing to a "stunning upset," with well-established pro-Beijing
candidates Junius Ho and Michael Tien already losing their seats.

These local district council elections are considered extremely
significant because they're open to any candidates that choose to run.
This is in contrast to the regular legislative elections and the
election for city leader, where the only candidates permitted to run
have to be approved by the CCP.

Sunday's elections had a record turnout of 71.2%, while previous
similar elections had turnouts of 49%. Many of those turning out
were young first-time voters.

These reports are all preliminary, but are expected to hold unless
there's a massive reversal in the official vote count.

These historic upsets are going to "put wind in the sails" of the
pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong and the pro-separatists in
Taiwan.

The CCP in Beijing is already close to full-scale panic over what's
happening in Hong Kong and Taiwan. Sunday's vote will prove to the
CCP that their worst fears and anxieties are coming true, and it may
cause them to panic.

As I keep pointing out, the CCP has a record of doing one incredibly
stupid thing after another. I don't know what the CCP will do about
the situation in Hong Kong, but I can say with certainty that whatever
they do, it will make the situation worse.

John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2) Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

---- Sources:

-- Hong Kong elections: Junius Ho and Michael Tien lose district
council seats in stunning upsets
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/pol ... sults-blog
(South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, 25-Nov-2019)

-- Hong Kong’s district council elections traditionally handle
municipal matters. This year it was a global event as almost 3
million residents clamoured to be heard
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/pol ... lly-handle
(South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, 25-Nov-2019)

-- Massive turnout in Hong Kong vote seen as pro-democracy test
https://apnews.com/de8a8e79d7a640ccbf80e96c79e41828
(AP, 24-Nov-2019)

Taiwan is now a mixture of euphoria and terror. Half the country is intoxicated with dreams of true independence, and the other other is in the state of panic at the prospect of mainland invasion of the island.

John wrote:

Guest wrote:If China collapses there won't be any trade deal, it will likely be a war.

Many things are going wrong for China, which means that China is
increasingly trapped and desperate. This makes China very, very
dangerous.

If you ever needed yet another horror to keep you up at night, remember that we could slaughter ONE BILLION of them and they would still be the second most populous nation on Earth.

So we kill a billion of them on the first day and the rest on the second.

Beijing (AsiaNews/Agencies) – China’s industrial sector lost about five million jobs last year, including almost 1.9 million as a result of the trade war with the United States, this according to China International Capital Corp (CICC) economists Liang Hong and Yi Huan.

CICC’s research did not factor in the effect of tariff increases of 10 to 25 per cent on US0 billion of Chinese imports, which came into force in May. That omission suggests that job losses will continue to grow.

The two analysts suggest that the job market is not as stable as the government claims.

http://www.asianews.it/news-en/China-lo ... 47605.html

The Chinese have been brutalized by communism for decades and have no love for it. If jobs disappear, it will be bad news for Xi. In the US we can blame our troubles on the president and cast him off every four years to instill a new optimism again. Xi has made himself King and there's only one way out for a king.

Trump. Winning.

MAGA

Did Trump stop the obliteration of HK?
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/president- ... 019-11-22/

25-Nov-19 World View -- Historic Hong Kong elections throw relations with China mainland into disarray


Taiwan's separatists boosted by Hong Kong election

** 25-Nov-19 World View -- Historic Hong Kong elections throw relations with China mainland into disarray
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e191125



Contents:
Historic Hong Kong elections throw relations with China mainland into disarray
Hong Kong pro-democracy activists renew their 'Five Demands'
Taiwan's separatists boosted by Hong Kong election


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, China, Hong Kong,
Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Carrie Lam,Legislative Council,
Pan Democratic party,
Democratic Alliance For The Betterment Of Hong Kong,
Junius Ho, Michael Tien,
Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen, Democratic Progressive Party, DPP,
Han Kuo-yu, Kuomintang, KMT

You might find this interesting. As the saying goes "follow the money."
How to Conduct Business with Chinese Companies That See a Dark Future By Dan Harris on November 13, 2019
https://www.chinalawblog.com/2019/11/ho ... uture.html

What day is Taiwan's election in January?
EDIT: I checked.
Sat Jan 11.

** 25-Nov-2019 World View: Hong Kong's Carrie Lam speaks

At Monday 9 pm ET = Tuesday 10 am in Hong Kong, I watched Hong Kong's
leader Carrie Lam live on tv give a brief speech about the disastrous
elections.

If I understood her correctly, she's decided how to react to the
massive election loss: She's going to appoint a commission to
determine the root cause why there are pro-democracy demonstrations.

I didn't hear a word even acknowledging the pro-democracy concerns, or
any word of compromise. Instead, there will be a commission whose
foregone conclusion will be to absolve the government and the CCP of
any responsibility.

I said that I didn't know what the CCP was going to do, but I could
guarantee that whatever they did would make the situation worse, and
it looks like we're on our way. Incredible!

John wrote:** 25-Nov-2019 World View: Hong Kong's Carrie Lam speaks

At Monday 9 pm ET = Tuesday 10 am in Hong Kong, I watched Hong Kong's
leader Carrie Lam live on tv give a brief speech about the disastrous
elections.

If I understood her correctly, she's decided how to react to the
massive election loss: She's going to appoint a commission to
determine the root cause why there are pro-democracy demonstrations.

I didn't hear a word even acknowledging the pro-democracy concerns, or
any word of compromise. Instead, there will be a commission whose
foregone conclusion will be to absolve the government and the CCP of
any responsibility.

I said that I didn't know what the CCP was going to do, but I could
guarantee that whatever they did would make the situation worse, and
it looks like we're on our way. Incredible!

I have relatives in Taipei. I would like to ask the writer of this blog (and any others who read it) how long an interval would there be between a violent crackdown in Hong Kong and an invasion of Taiwan? This is a serious question.