Financial topics

[aeden]

No mercy to pandemic-hit states as ECB chief says canceling Covid debts ‘unthinkable’.
search.php?keywords=spain&t=2&sf=msgonly
Presstitutes offer view on eligibility criteria's.
https://sites.google.com/site/breivikmanifesto/
Xiden Chamberlin.

The conscription and armaments ramping was not seen as credited to him properly.
They already knew since really are you that naïve.
http://antonysutton.com/suttonbibliography.html

Lincoln was clear who and what was going on.
1861 Internecine Slaughter, not a civil war.
The children are asleep.

https://academic.oup.com/ajcp/article/154/1/23/5842018
important cause of cerebral palsy and are frequently associated with epilepsy and abnormal cognitive,
neurosensory, and behavioral outcomes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Z4uITELiqw

[aeden]

(translation: models had no idea what they were doing)

Quant funds pose a danger when they are marketed as bear proof or based on short strategies.
Predicting downturns using derivatives and combining leverage is what Muppets are only good for.

Two or more conditions to determine cause effect relationship designed on human subjects.

The relationship cannot be determined from the information given.
That why it is sold.

Nothing stopping y or z > 0
being negative.

[Higgenbotham]

S&P 500 percentage above its 200 day moving average


January 2010 ~15.6%
February 2011 ~15.4%

September 2020 ~16.1%
Current ~15%


Just a thought and a possible approximation. Things are moving faster now than they were at that time. Maybe about twice as fast.

A couple more recent charts to go along with this. The charts cover more recent deviations from the 200 day moving average. Implicit in the second chart is my opinion that the pattern may be an ABCDE expanding triangle (which is embedded within a larger such pattern from the year 2000). This is an ending pattern which should result in a fast collapse when it is finished. Theoretically, the coming collapse should be faster and deeper than the two that have already happened.





Big picture showing the possible expanding triangle from the year 2000 with the more recent possible expanding triangle embedded within it.

[Higgenbotham]

Perspective on gambling

To cover all bases, holding US dollars is gambling too because Powell has told you he's going to debase it 2%+ faster than the interest rate on an annual basis, and has stated repeatedly in press conferences that he is very determined to do so.

Nixon's 1971 comment that we are all Keynesians has morphed into we are all speculators (or gamblers if one prefers). It's important that people keep that perspective day to day as they are constantly being told otherwise. I think it's also true that in a speculative environment winnings get distributed much more unevenly than in an investment environment.

The statement "We're all Keynesians now." was attributed to Nixon after he ended the international gold standard in 1971. In doing so, Nixon laid the foundations for the current reality that "We're all gamblers now."

[aeden]

failed to understand
they fine tuned
beast is predictable
13987
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vj1pYVuxynA

[Higgenbotham]

In the bigger picture a 1000 period moving average or thereabouts might be a reasonable approximation to how extreme the market could get. I'm not smart enough to try to draw a comparison between the year 2000 with its higher growth rate and lower debt levels, etc., and the present to be able to say how much the market can deviate from a fixed moving average now compared to the 2000 bubble, or whether the moving average would need to be flexible to correctly compensate for changing conditions (I suspect that is the case). Something like a best fit trendline under the lows might be more appropriate. Even that is difficult given how herky jerky the market has been the past few years. Doing that would also show that we're about maxed out here (my best guess).

[aeden]

The regression analysis of the plot curve indicated it does not matter to them.
It started way before you did not build that cutout nut case and the porous border traitors.
The fit they are crowding into will end in tears.
American's still cannot fathom they are under attack internally and externally.
The current gamed transition has been under way for some time.
The inflection point is and was the we will starve you into another demshevik nirvana
since we are that stupid. Befehl ist Befefl retards.
Businesses are being murdered in plain site from these gain of function lunatics
even from the white papers we seen early before 1990.
Like I said it took 6 years to get money back from these lunatics on a audit.
The funny part is they contracted a collection agency since they are so damned incompetent.
It was hoot to talk to the gals supervisor who said Ill be damned.
The employee was so confused how can that be it was staggering.
This does not even consider the other reasons we switched gears watching this
train wreck called politics of these thieving half wits.

Quantitative candidates from the database of 500 are just targets now.
Any thing of value is already placed behind the velvit rope phase we garner.
The quants guarantee that. SEC are just march of the penguins.

Invest in a select group. lulz

US Department spokesman Ned Price requested that the Haitian Parliament conduct
"free and fair legislative elections so that lawmakers may resume its rightful role." lulz

[aeden]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pG5xpejUgRQ

The globalists are killing the dollar, punishing savers, and implementing the Green New Deal that will ensure gas will be $7
The real retards think plastic is from corn stalks.

[Higgenbotham]

To start, we can compare the deviation from the 200 day moving average during the year 2000 bubble. Eyeballing the chart, it appears the maximum deviation may have been about 16.7% in April 1999, with slightly smaller max deviations and more volatility as the top was approached. April 1999 may correspond most closely to September 2020.

My conclusion from this is that it may be OK to short here as long as I expect that the market can bump its way to higher highs over the next few months. Maybe. But I will stay small and flexible for now.

[aeden]

Maybe. But I will stay small and flexible for now.

Agree.
Adapt frequency.
FOF always follows the same route.
reliability engineering you know well H

H they have to kill it to save it just like Nam. Its baked in.
The market is not the market. I sold my shorts the same day on noise.
The only duration positions held are transition funds to time intervened market based transitions.
Its like being sucked into passive investment based on technical movements.
Bash the bot on rotations to build cash if we decide what and were to go.
Locally its full retard watch.

The "Soybean Car" was actually a plastic-bodied car unveiled by Henry Ford on August 13, 1941