Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

** 25-Feb-2021 World View: Selloff

aeden wrote: Thu Feb 25, 2021 11:52 am > For those unfamiliar with convexity hedging/flows and why it is a
> potentially disastrous feedback loop where selling begets more
> selling, think stock gamma only to the downside. Here is a quick
> primer from Bloomberg: tyler

> There comes a point in any big selloff in Treasury bonds when the
> move becomes so pronounced that it starts to feed on
> itself. Increases in yields force a crucial group of investors to
> sell Treasuries, which in turn leads to further increases in
> yields. Two months into this rout, that moment appears to have
> arrived, and it’s beginning to send shudders throughout all
> corners of U.S. financial markets.

There is a selloff going on in both stocks and bonds. There is also
something of a stock rout in China.

As I've pointed out many times, even though 90 years have passed,
nobody has ever figured out why the panic of 1929 occurred on October
28, rather than a few months earlier or later.

I've often wondered if it had something to do with the fact that
October 28 was about seven weeks past the end of the third quarter.
During those seven weeks, Q3 corporate earnings are published, and
there is time for hopes and dreams of investors to die, and to realize
that the earnings are not nearly as high as they had hoped. Hence
they panic.

So right now we're at around seven weeks past the end of Q4. So the
volatility in different markets could be a sign that some sort of
panic is occurring. Whether it's the "big one" remains to be seen,
but the high volatility indicates that some sort of anxiety is playing
a part.

Smashed the bots for $325 and am out. I'm not short. Will post results in the morning.

Researchers have found a critical vulnerability, CVE-2021-21148, in Google Chrome.
We recommend addressing it as soon as possible because cybercriminals are already exploiting it.

Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Feb 25, 2021 1:31 pm Smashed the bots for $325 and am out. I'm not short. Will post results in the morning.

Hell of a navigation H.

It should be no surprise that the teach-heavy index is tumbling as hedgies are forced to sell their most liquid and
largest holdings to meet risk/margin needs on the other side of the ledger. tyler

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cj3U0z64_m4

book 4 closed

John wrote: Thu Feb 25, 2021 1:16 pm ** 25-Feb-2021 World View: Selloff

aeden wrote: Thu Feb 25, 2021 11:52 am > For those unfamiliar with convexity hedging/flows and why it is a
> potentially disastrous feedback loop where selling begets more
> selling, think stock gamma only to the downside. Here is a quick
> primer from Bloomberg: tyler

> There comes a point in any big selloff in Treasury bonds when the
> move becomes so pronounced that it starts to feed on
> itself. Increases in yields force a crucial group of investors to
> sell Treasuries, which in turn leads to further increases in
> yields. Two months into this rout, that moment appears to have
> arrived, and it’s beginning to send shudders throughout all
> corners of U.S. financial markets.

There is a selloff going on in both stocks and bonds. There is also
something of a stock rout in China.

As I've pointed out many times, even though 90 years have passed,
nobody has ever figured out why the panic of 1929 occurred on October
28, rather than a few months earlier or later.

I've often wondered if it had something to do with the fact that
October 28 was about seven weeks past the end of the third quarter.
During those seven weeks, Q3 corporate earnings are published, and
there is time for hopes and dreams of investors to die, and to realize
that the earnings are not nearly as high as they had hoped. Hence
they panic.

So right now we're at around seven weeks past the end of Q4. So the
volatility in different markets could be a sign that some sort of
panic is occurring. Whether it's the "big one" remains to be seen,
but the high volatility indicates that some sort of anxiety is playing
a part.

Markets are fragile, there is a real chance for quaking to come soon in March.

John wrote: Thu Feb 25, 2021 1:16 pm ** 25-Feb-2021 World View: Selloff

aeden wrote: Thu Feb 25, 2021 11:52 am > .

There is a selloff going on in both stocks and bonds. There is also
something of a stock rout in China.

As I've pointed out many times, even though 90 years have passed,
nobody has ever figured out why the panic of 1929 occurred on October
28, rather than a few months earlier or later.

I've often wondered if it had something to do with the fact that
October 28 was about seven weeks past the end of the third quarter.
During those seven weeks, Q3 corporate earnings are published, and
there is time for hopes and dreams of investors to die, and to realize
that the earnings are not nearly as high as they had hoped. Hence
they panic.

So right now we're at around seven weeks past the end of Q4. So the
volatility in different markets could be a sign that some sort of
panic is occurring. Whether it's the "big one" remains to be seen,
but the high volatility indicates that some sort of anxiety is playing
a part.

In a previous recent post I stated that I had a head and shoulders down to 3835 on the S&P 500. That happened as forecast.
We now have 3820 as a support level and 3900 as a resistance. The market is also below the 15 EMA which is now 3872, so with potential weakness ahead.
My hunch is that there is whats called a "gap" at 3780 and my current prediction is that the market will head there.
I suspect that this market favours declines but no indication of crash yet.
Reasonably clear that the market is seeing greater risk; dollar seems to be turning stronger, clearly still seen as safe haven, could have a strong run while market declines

richard5za wrote: Fri Feb 26, 2021 3:23 am

In a previous recent post I stated that I had a head and shoulders down to 3835 on the S&P 500. That happened as forecast.
We now have 3820 as a support level and 3900 as a resistance. The market is also below the 15 EMA which is now 3872, so with potential weakness ahead.
My hunch is that there is whats called a "gap" at 3780 and my current prediction is that the market will head there.
I suspect that this market favours declines but no indication of crash yet.
Reasonably clear that the market is seeing greater risk; dollar seems to be turning stronger, clearly still seen as safe haven, could have a strong run while market declines

The other possibility is that in a volatile over reaction the market makes another all time high and then sets about declining and finally crashing. This may be more likely that the view I expressed above. Time will tell

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/cal ... collapsing
People and legacy only thought maps in avarice.

The Frogs
He finally decides to take the poet who gives the best advice about how to save the city.
Euripides gives cleverly worded but essentially meaningless answers while Aeschylus provides more practical advice,
and Dionysus decides to take Aeschylus back instead of Euripides.

Numerous Counties in Oregon vote to join Idaho.
Good.
As they ignore at the Sabbatian-Frankists to this very day over decades.
Dialectical materialism called Hollywood for a simple example.
Logic is as a Weinstein is forgiven at the border as sexual predators excused at Xiden's open border.
You voted for complete evil of imbeciles.

GOP voters aren't forgetting as filth hardens over the land.

Guy forwards Idaho could be cut off and no one would care as they await 86 billion of tax dollars in the pension guaranteed trust.
Between stupidity and delusional cult worshipers we have democrats dressed as demsheviks.

While talk of accountability is encouraging, bringing unruly leaders to heel is often complex, time consuming, and fraught with obstacles.
Still courageous Americans are motivated to recapturing their rights, lives, and livelihoods.
They know who took them, and it was not Trump.
https://amac.us/democrat-governors-in-trouble/

Stench of the rotted fruit bowl.

https://ago.mo.gov/docs/default-source/ ... 8dffe4c1_2
Xiden signing Exec orders saying "I don't know what I'm signing".

thread: amos

Yesterday's bot smashing.