Financial topics

[Phong Tran]

I'd like to close the gap and we'll probably do that soon, but I think we're still in pink 4 instead of ending (2). So that could mean after this retrace, we get another low below 4119 and then get a second retest of 4200 in early September. This count aligns more with the S&P daily chart where we need to break some bullish trendlines, which if we do, could involve some channel backtests.

[Higgenbotham]

4200 plus or minus would be a reasonable place for the market to turn down. I'm mindful of the fact that the market will hang on every word coming out of Jackson Hole and may even misinterpret hawkish words as dovish in the short term. In my positioning ahead of Jackson Hole, I am assigning a 1/3 probability that the market will exceed 4325. Therefore, I am short 2/3 as much as I was at 4325. If I'm right that the market will continue following the 1929/1930 time cycles, there is lots of time to get short and be short and there is a long long way to the bottom of the coming decline.

I've been watching house prices. In my area, there were some huge cuts in house prices this week. I saw one house in my area that was cut from $1 million to $850K. 15 percent in one fell swoop! I have never seen these kind of cuts in house prices so early in a housing market decline. I am astounded by this.

[Higgenbotham]

Consult H and the red headed one for guidance report. Its very accurate.

If this is your best evidence of intelligent thought, I don't find it convincing. I have yet to see a several step logical argument with supporting evidence in links.

aeden is a human doing a reverse Turing test, posing as a bot. That's my theory anyway.

[richard5za]

I follow 8 traders who have a good record of calling intermediate term trends in the market.

big, fast reversal in August.

I've been asked to provide the links to these traders. They are below:

1. https://www.siliconinvestor.com/subject ... ctid=57872
2. https://twitter.com/MacroCharts
3. https://twitter.com/Trader_NAV
4. https://www.tradingtheline.com/
5. https://twitter.com/CarlFutia and http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/
6. https://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index. ... /?p=873320 (most recent post)
7. https://twitter.com/SevenSentinels
8. https://twitter.com/xtrends

Their methods are listed below:

1. Astro, Lindsay, Fib Pattern Analysis
2. Sentiment, Trader Positioning, Macro
3. Price Based Trend
4. T Theory, Price Based Trend
5. Sentiment, Price, Fed
6. Fed, Macro
7. Breadth and Volatility Based Trends
8. Breadth, Sentiment, Trendlines

Thank you kindly, good Sir, much appreciated

[richard5za]

If this is your best evidence of intelligent thought, I don't find it convincing. I have yet to see a several step logical argument with supporting evidence in links.

aeden is a human doing a reverse Turing test, posing as a bot. That's my theory anyway.

Interesting thought, but how does he manage the volume? I spent a little time going through a Turin test and I really don't think that Aeden would pass

[richard5za]

4200 plus or minus would be a reasonable place for the market to turn down. I'm mindful of the fact that the market will hang on every word coming out of Jackson Hole and may even misinterpret hawkish words as dovish in the short term. In my positioning ahead of Jackson Hole, I am assigning a 1/3 probability that the market will exceed 4325. Therefore, I am short 2/3 as much as I was at 4325. If I'm right that the market will continue following the 1929/1930 time cycles, there is lots of time to get short and be short and there is a long long way to the bottom of the coming decline.

I've been watching house prices. In my area, there were some huge cuts in house prices this week. I saw one house in my area that was cut from $1 million to $850K. 15 percent in one fell swoop! I have never seen these kind of cuts in house prices so early in a housing market decline. I am astounded by this.

I think that we are talking about a recesssion, yes or no, and if yes then a timing issue. Too lengthy to go into detail but I believe that USA and rest of world will suffer a serious recession. In which case debating what level in the 4000's pales into insignificance, and inflation will be cured; in fact John's prediction of deflation will come true. History will not be kind to the politicians and economic experts who printed so much money

[Cool Breeze]

4200 plus or minus would be a reasonable place for the market to turn down. I'm mindful of the fact that the market will hang on every word coming out of Jackson Hole and may even misinterpret hawkish words as dovish in the short term. In my positioning ahead of Jackson Hole, I am assigning a 1/3 probability that the market will exceed 4325. Therefore, I am short 2/3 as much as I was at 4325. If I'm right that the market will continue following the 1929/1930 time cycles, there is lots of time to get short and be short and there is a long long way to the bottom of the coming decline.

I've been watching house prices. In my area, there were some huge cuts in house prices this week. I saw one house in my area that was cut from $1 million to $850K. 15 percent in one fell swoop! I have never seen these kind of cuts in house prices so early in a housing market decline. I am astounded by this.

I think that we are talking about a recesssion, yes or no, and if yes then a timing issue. Too lengthy to go into detail but I believe that USA and rest of world will suffer a serious recession. In which case debating what level in the 4000's pales into insignificance, and inflation will be cured; in fact John's prediction of deflation will come true. History will not be kind to the politicians and economic experts who printed so much money

Of course we are, we are already in one.

And John has been wrong. I was right about the process. Inflation which crushes people and the economy, eventually deflation. I hate to point that out, but it's true and honest. We will see inflation for quite some time, though, which will show John to be further wrong on his prediction, since it's a no-prediction big picture (the deflation one).

[Higgenbotham]

If this is your best evidence of intelligent thought, I don't find it convincing. I have yet to see a several step logical argument with supporting evidence in links.

aeden is a human doing a reverse Turing test, posing as a bot. That's my theory anyway.

Interesting thought, but how does he manage the volume? I spent a little time going through a Turin test and I really don't think that Aeden would pass

Some of the volume is cut and paste with a little variation. Some is practice. Some is aptitude for it. One trader made dozens of similarly inscrutable posts per day on marketforum though they were shorter, posing as a woman, so this is not unprecedented in my experience. Also, hearkening back to my peak posting, there is a lot of volume there too.

[aeden]

https://www.scribd.com/document/1020312 ... ust-1-2011

In plain site to eliminate you.
You watched a six billion dollar company run by AI implode.
Your next. They told you. As we noted it was already written In Amos as we run into Hosea.

Since the Molybdenum massacre for inputs the States went into deep coma.
Elul was just a head slap and it matters not as this villany heads to Judgement.

Went long KRP
Good luck into the September slaughter as the wasting increases.
No clue best guess.

As we all know here the inept always use Godwin's law that is an update of the logical fallacy reductio ad Hitlerum, modern Latin for "reduction to Hitler" and a take on reductio ad absurdum. The reductio ad Hitlerum, or "playing the Nazi card," was coined by philosopher Leo Strauss in 1951. The principle describes the act of discrediting an opponent's view by comparing it to you know who. Pass the oatmeal cookies.

4080 4100 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gq2l32Qq21I&t=736s yea basically

Nothing is so permanent as a temporary government program. Milton Friedman

Best day in over 3 months. Book four short from 14.4% to 13.9%
As noted krp 1.1% so we will hold there that.
Turing backtested Paskal wager.
The difficult legacy of Turing's wager. Journal of Computational Neuroscience. Eric Wieser.

Neighbor's GM batt was $26,000 plus $1600 labor.
Moron Central. https://www.wsj.com/articles/jennifer-g ... 1661379613
The Biden freak show plan is to destroy the American oil and gas industry is a matter of record.
Tard dropped anothern number five today right on que.
https://gangstalkingmindcontrolcults.co ... formation/

[aeden]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZrTe4KQBYM&t=500s

grinding pain more than expected review