Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Yes, the zero day options are the rage.

McClellan over at Wealthion (Friday interview) thinks the depression is coming, and the recession part starts in earnest April 1.

Not trying to fool you, either

https://ycharts.com/indicators/3_month_t_bill

clueless

Cool Breeze wrote: Mon Mar 06, 2023 4:05 pm Yes, the zero day options are the rage.

McClellan over at Wealthion (Friday interview) thinks the depression is coming, and the recession part starts in earnest April 1.

Not trying to fool you, either

This got my attention because Tom McClellan has not been one to be calling for a recession or worse at any time in the past 10 years that I am aware of.

Net is going tbills from option pits theta carry for tbills as they blather about just trade between the lines as they kill
what was left of uknazi and broken window issues as feed the alligator that eats you last.
No winners just the usual suspects torment the common people from above.
If/then the discount window will draw sweeps. We have leaked some into ggn as very modest in modest pullbacks.
Fifth bear markets. I took the old view. We had hard times but produce and a freezer. Not much as we watched
the good old and young learn values. Her point was really the bear eats the slowest one. That was between the ears.
Corporate just icepicks you then encapsulants themselves with the six inches between their ears and losses.
As we seen before when change from the outside is faster than inside guess what.
At least the hillbilly highway people have a sincere love of mankind. Her tribe is blessed.

We have to respect that successful test and now need to try and decide what it means. wilson

They left us to die.
Oryxspioenkop.com


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e2SJ8iFHTgQ

Higgenbotham wrote: Mon Mar 06, 2023 4:38 pm

Cool Breeze wrote: Mon Mar 06, 2023 4:05 pm Yes, the zero day options are the rage.

McClellan over at Wealthion (Friday interview) thinks the depression is coming, and the recession part starts in earnest April 1.

Not trying to fool you, either

This got my attention because Tom McClellan has not been one to be calling for a recession or worse at any time in the past 10 years that I am aware of.

Sharp dude. I agree with him. His prediction on 2H 2024 collapse is that there is a 10 year lag with bottoming of oil prices (fracking, 2014) and a market collapse.

My prediction still is 20% down for markets his year, maybe 30%. That just takes them to historical valuations, in any case.

If USA goes into recession later in 2023 then 20% down from 4000 is a fair forecast i.e SP500 is circa 4000 less 20% = 3200
30% down is also easily possible
But this is not the generational dynamics prediction; their prediction is much, much lower when things really implode; P/E ratio below 10, earnings in tatters, panic at a peak, and a low at 10% of the 4800 peak is possible i.e. 480

Vince,
With respect to your recent post I am seeing a current 2023 S&P 500 chart similarity to the 2000 to 2003 bear market

There was a failed break in April of 2002 and then the index dropped another 27%

This observation may or may not be valid. Lets see

short Mon Mar 06, 2023 5:53 pm if/because into
Yld Worst: 07/05/2023 5.142% Mar 08, 2023 9:36 AM ET
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=912797FR3%2F+ ... ave&ia=web
fooled again into 2025 if/then lucky since spending is the root of apathy to uniparty stupidity

The unencumbered realist concludes that there are no solutions within a status quo structure. tyler

thread: l8ter, 30xx

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/credi ... l-time-low

The death of Credit Suisse is all but set in stone at this point. My question for the people here is will what impact will it have?

infiltrated rot

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/20 ... _male.html

diseased brain operational to marxist normalcy bias

https://www.foxnews.com/media/twitter-l ... ame-ladies