Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Pakistan and India on brink of war again:
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-04- ... ady-strike

** 04-Apr-2019 Breaking news on China-Japan Book



The moment has come.

During the last week, I've been pushing very hard to keep working
on my book. Yesterday, I finished writing one section, and looked
to see what I had to do next, and I discovered, amazingly, that
there was nothing left. The book was finished.

• 
  World View: War Between China and Japan
  Why America and the West must be prepared
  

Well, there are a few small sub-sections that need to be filled
in, and the whole book needs to be reviewed and edited, but
basically the book is finished.

The current draft can be read here:

http://generationaldynamics.com/pg/ww20 ... .gx113.htm

If you want a .doc file, then copy the entire web page and
paste it into Microsoft Word. It's not beautiful, but it's
quite readable.

This book is monumental. It's the best book available today
for anyone who wants to understand China. Unfortunately, that
makes little difference, as it probably won't sell more than a
few dozen copies, like the Iran book. For me, it will just
be another dead end. That's the realistic assessment, based
on 15+ years of bitter experience.

I now have 2-3 weeks of work to do to resolve some formatting issues,
do a complete edit, and then get the book into Amazon. The changes
will be reflected online as I make them. There are about 103,000
words, and in printed form it will be 300+ pages.

If there's anyone willing to take a few hours and review the entire
book errors and typos, that would be greatly appreciated. If that's
too much, then just review one part of the book that interests you.

Thanks.

** 04-Apr-2019 World View: Libya close to war, as Haftar's army moves west

• Map: Libya oil and gas infrastructure

After the fall of long-time dictator Muammar Gaddafi, Libya evolved
into a country with two governments.

In the West, including the capital city Tripoli, Prime Minister Fayez
al-Serraj leads the Government of National Accord (GNA),
internationally recognized by America, Europe and the United Nations.
In the east is Khalifa Haftar (Hiftar), a military strongman and
former Gaddafi ally, who is considered an international "renegade."

Haftar has been taking control of more and more of Libya, and some
reports say that Haftar's army controls 80% of Libya and, more
important, 80% of the oil production.

On Thursday, Haftar ordered his forces to move west and march on
Tripoli. It's not entirely clear what his intentions are, but it's
possible that Libya is on the brink of war between Haftar's forces and
the UN-recognized government of Fayez al-Serraj.


--- Sources:

-- Hafter / Hifter / Key OPEC oil producer Libya is on the brink of
war as general orders forces into Tripoli
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/04/libyan- ... o-war.html
(CNBC)

-- Libya: renegade leader Haftar orders forces to march to Tripoli
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/04/ ... 17912.html
(Al-Jazeera)

-- UN chief urges restraint as Haftar forces draw closer to Libya's
Tripoli
https://www.france24.com/en/20190404-gu ... i-fighting
(France24/Reuters)

--- Related:

** 14-Nov-18 World View -- Italy's Libya peace talk conference ends in drama but no resolution
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181114


** 3-Sep-18 World View -- Libya declares state of emergency, closes Tripoli airport
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e180903

Based on the conversations I've had, I get the impression that a lot of people know that we're facing a war with China, at least on some level. It's just not something anyone wants to think about. We'd rather close our eyes to the inevitability and deal with trivial issues instead.

We'll probably win, yes. That doesn't mean we won't be in ruins by the time it's all over. This is just speculation on my part, but I think this is how many people felt in the 1930s with Germany and Japan's increasingly obvious intentions. Just like now, people intentionally closed their eyes and ignored the incoming calamity.

** 04-Apr-2019 World View: MIT cuts ties with China's Huawei

The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has severed ties with
Huawei Technologies and ZTE Corp. However, the reason given is not
security or espionage, but to avoid sanctions violations.

According to the announcement by Maria T. Zuber, Vice President for
Research:

"MIT faculty naturally and enthusiastically seek out
international projects and collaborators. Because these
relationships can present a distinctive set of risks and
questions, MIT has long had processes for identifying such issues
for any given project. Given the increase in quantity and scope of
global collaborations, in fall 2017 we launched an effort to
strengthen our internal process for evaluating and structuring
proposed international engagements. Most recently we have
determined that engagements with certain countries – currently
China, Russia and Saudi Arabia – merit additional faculty and
administrative review beyond the usual evaluations that all
international projects receive.

NOTE: At this time, based on this enhanced review, MIT is not
accepting new engagements or renewing existing ones with Huawei
and ZTE or their respective subsidiaries due to federal
investigations regarding violations of sanction restrictions. The
Institute will revisit collaborations with these entities as
circumstances dictate.

This story interests me because I used to be an MIT student, and
because my apartment building is next door to MIT.

--- Sources:

-- Elite U.S. school MIT cuts ties with Chinese tech firms Huawei, ZTE
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa- ... SKCN1RG0FS
(Reuters)


-- Maria T. Zuber / Huawei / MIT / New review process for
'elevated-risk' international proposals
http://orgchart.mit.edu/node/27/letters ... -proposals
(MIT)

Do you self-publish your books, John?

I bought your Iran book. I'll buy this one too.

Trevor wrote: > Based on the conversations I've had, I get the impression that a
> lot of people know that we're facing a war with China, at least on
> some level. It's just not something anyone wants to think
> about. We'd rather close our eyes to the inevitability and deal
> with trivial issues instead.

> We'll probably win, yes. That doesn't mean we won't be in ruins by
> the time it's all over. This is just speculation on my part, but I
> think this is how many people felt in the 1930s with Germany and
> Japan's increasingly obvious intentions. Just like now, people
> intentionally closed their eyes and ignored the incoming
> calamity.

Do most people expect a war with China? People I've spoken to
think it will come, but not for 15-20 years, which is the same
as thinking that there won't be a war at all.

The other thing is that few people understand the security
issues with Huawei's chips. The Chinese simply say, "Provide
the evidence." But as I've shown, a person with my skills could
easily implement a "backdoor" that uses encryption techniques
that are impossible to detect.

I really believe that at a time of China's choosing, China's military
will be able to completely shut down the internet and other networks
in countries that have allowed Huawei's low-cost devices to be used.
This will create enormous worldwide chaos that the Chinese military
will take advantage of.

Guest wrote: > Do you self-publish your books, John?

> I bought your Iran book. I'll buy this one too.

Yes, I self-published the Iran book using Amazon's KDP service. The
way it works is that I submit a DOC file for the book, supply
an ISBN number, and fill out all the forms. Then when somebody
wants to buy the book, Amazon simply prints one out and sends it.

Skimmed.
Only quibble I see so far is the title of 5.1:
5.1. China's biggest resource: billions of expendable people
"billions" implies plural billion, ie 2 billion. Maybe change it to "A billion expendable people", since I doubt even China would want to lose more than that?
-Your friendly grammar nazi

John wrote:

Guest wrote: > Do you self-publish your books, John?

> I bought your Iran book. I'll buy this one too.

Yes, I self-published the Iran book using Amazon's KDP service. The
way it works is that I submit a DOC file for the book, supply
an ISBN number, and fill out all the forms. Then when somebody
wants to buy the book, Amazon simply prints one out and sends it.

Do you keep the copyright? How much does Amazon charge?