Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

The dreaded 360
Shall what is formed say to the one who formed it, ‘Why did you make me like this?
Higgy I agree on the etf short sheep pens for now are shear zones.
We ran over some dates and I agree on the window view IMO.
I found some pages back a link on that. The newer article was a nice review for a snapshot today.
But opinions are like waves. I am at 7 of 12 on my chart and its mine to conditions.
We are moving forward and low hanging fruit is not our plan anyway and never has been at work.
This move reminds me off 1981 for what I see somewhat.
The Driver is Policy thinking the rear view worked as always. To bad they never learned how to shift.
The problem is the Bus drivers on the Hill have there moment of reflection to world opinion.
We see the memme now also about we are closer to balance. This has already been captured
and the imposed taxpayer burden in context to plant for the know we have a Detroit comment
noted in the forum.
Jd's link covers some old thoughts on the analog to digital some of us lived through
battered but still kicking about produtivity.
https://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2011 ... aphic.html

Going forward now for the "no man" edification we all know this and look for margin on the paper for clusters.
Shareholders are ranked by network control (according to the threshold model, TM)
This finding is extremely important since there was no prior economic theory or empirical evidence regarding whether
and how top players are connected. Finally, it should be noted that governments and natural persons are only
featured further down in the list.
http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/arxiv/pdf/110 ... 5728v2.pdf
829 of the type: A > B > C > A
4395 of the type: A > B > C > A
8963 of the type: A > B > C > A
3129 of the type: A > B > C > A

Sun Nov 06, 2011 10:04 pm
I would posit proper supports are under way. I worked under verticle and now horizontal structures.
It would take much time to cover over three decades of observation in action. The Fed is aware
and it will be sorted. Management Teams are aware IMO and the sun will
come up tommorow. Would you rather support verticle failures or horizontal realities.
Good Hunting those with a ear and avoid mirrors since reflections are your means.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NPkW2LGf ... re=related

aedens wrote:We ran over some dates and I agree on the window view IMO.
But opinions are like waves. I am at 7 of 12 on my chart and its mine to conditions.

Chart from the 2007 high.

Reference Points

May 19, 2008
March 6, 2009 (the 2009 low)
April 26, 2010
July 1, 2010 (the 2010 low)

The July 18, 2011 low is 1295.92.

The key reference points intersect at the June 2011 low and at the point where the August 2011 down move begins to accelerate.

The chart indicates that the October 27 move over 1275 broke important resistance, then fell below that resistance. This resistance was tested on November 8. October 27 and November 8 are key short term dates mentioned earlier.

Now to the opinion. There are strong opinions both ways at this juncture which is understandable. It reminds me a lot of the late April 2011 time period. I still have to lean to a resolution down. Having said that, my opinion a week ago was the same and the fact is that the market was up this week. I can remember reading a guy every week in 2004 and 2005 who was saying the same thing, that the market would turn down. He died of a heart attack before the market topped out. This is an extreme example of how markets grind people out. Nobody thinks it can happen to them.

John claims he is the gloomiest person in the world. This is funny. There was a 5 month counter trend move from the 1929 low. If this counter trend move ended in May, then we have just seen a 26 month counter trend move from the 2009 low. If John wants to claim the title of gloomiest person in the world, here's how I think he can do it. The move from the 1930 high to the 1932 low took 27 months. It's my suggestion that the gloomiest person in the world should extrapolate and say that since the counter trend move this time was 5 times as long, that the bear market will take 5 times as long to strike a low versus the 1930's, or 135 months. This would be August 2022, 40 years from the August 1982 low.



http://i39.tinypic.com/qpggn5.gif

I will check later the tech break I noted of the breakdown.
If I remember off hand it was a 11 percent leakage I noted. Sat Oct 29, 2011 7:39 am

Z/H reminded here and has a essay which I would convey to price to earning scaling.
I have a few days to consider but they summed very well as they do. I cannot
regard ngnp, to much pain to consider for the working people even as we are.
Its just the day and thought for myself for now.
I have lost interest in the folly as many have also and will hold.
Got some reading to do and november is of no interest. Eddy currents...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NPkW2LGf ... re=related

The turndown in VMT noted in July and recently will correlate to a turndown in GDP with a lag. Up to date graphs just found for reference. I track this myself.
http://www.scribd.com/doc/51841381/Vehi ... March-2011

http://silverdoctors.blogspot.com/2011/ ... .html#more

poll was removed.

Politics will become a major issue with further QE cycles. The Feds about out of moxie.

Going to be a very strange election season. Anyone betting on how many will be running?

An interesting interview by Max Keiser of Catherine Austin Fitts, the former Assistant Secretary of Housing under the first Bush administration.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EE3K7SiO1U

Catherine Fitts indicates that there is massive financial fraud, possibly committed under the National Security Act of 1947.
The amount of money involved is trillions of dollars, much possibly used to fund the black budget. The amount of this money in 2008 is about enough to pay off all of the private home mortgages and all of the state debts. One of the fraud devises used involved home mortgages, where a home would be foreclosed FIVE times in one year.
Another of her passing comments, toward the end of the interview, is about suppressed technology. Is this where the money may come from to fund " Area 51", aka "Dreamland" and the other operations ?
If there is a major global war, we may see some interesting developments.

We watch a lot of financial and geopolitical trends. I'd like to
mention a couple of mini-trends that I see in my little world in the
last few weeks:

• Traffic to web site has fallen about 25%.
• Number of web site messages (including google alerts, spam)
  has fallen 30-40%.
• Number of articles posted on BigPeace.com and related web
  sites has fallen about 50%. (I cross-post to BigPeace.com,
  and I've become the biggest contributor.)

In fall of 2008, I had the feeling that the earth was coming to a
halt. Today I'm getting a similar feeling.

In the meantime, the situation is deteriorating in the Mideast, the
situation is deteriorating rapidly in Europe, left-wing protests and
violence are increasing in Europe and America, and the "Super
Committee" is deadlocked. And yet, the biggest news story is
political gaffes.

John

Appartently the EFSF bond sale is bust. Zero Hedge reporting that EFSF had to buy several hundred billion of ITS OWN bonds to make it appear that a demand existed. Thats a ponzi scheme. Euro is doomed, I say, doomed!

This is not quite like the FED buying trillions of dollars in treasuries. Because the US is soveriegn, the US can print $$ through the Treasury Dept, the FED buys the $$ and resells in the open market. The EFSF is essentially a newly formed bond issuer, and no banks or soveriegns will buy their bonds, therefore no euros coming in to fund the bailouts of PIIGS and the rest of Europe.

Not just one domino is teetering in the string, many dominoes are teetering. Whichever one falls first, where ever located, massive scramles for payment will ensue. I just want plenty of popcorn, and to sit high on a hill overlooking the landscape. I'm still short euro/usd an ES futures.

"The transmission as in terminal velosity is only checked by the size of the conduit
irregardless of the inital pool." Aadens

The mother of all conduits in regards to making good on derivative bets would be the FDIC.

The FDIC has three tasks: insure our deposits, examine the health of our banks, and to smoothly manage banks that fall into receivership.
That's it.

The FDIC is not AIG, or any of the other marks at the trillion dollar derivatives gambling table. It is one of the few federal entities that
has very much retained the trust and admiration of the citizen (the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the U.S. Military coming immediately
to mind, amongst others) that is tasked with the one federal monetary responsibility that is literally at street level for the average citizen.

To be clear, the bulk of the derivative bets out there are fraudulent because the parties that would collect on the derivatives have no insurable
interest in the failure of the entities and instruments insured (a contract of insurance with no insurable interest is gambling. Period.)

Sometimes, moments of great consequence are veiled in our day to day experience. I believe this is one of those quiet moments.

I am not fond of people who create extra work for me, and I apologize for posting this,

https://writerep.house.gov/writerep/welcome.shtml

http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_i ... rs_cfm.cfm

but we would do well to immediately write a brief email or letter to our congressmen and senators to backup our fellow brave citizens
who work for the FDIC who are willing to push back against guaranteeing $75 trillion in derivatives. Even if 99% of these cancel each
other out, which will not happen, the insurable interest of the bulk of the remainder is suspect and can only be proven by looking at the actual
contract. Are you aware of any contracts that were examined before payout with AIG? Not likely this time either.

Just a brief note expressing support for the FDIC not insuring anything other than actual deposits at America's banks.