Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Guest wrote: Fri Mar 12, 2021 7:13 pm My sister is really leftwing, has a rich husband, and owns a luxurious house in Portland. She told me off last year saying things like "BLM is not the problem!"

Well, I guess it is.

She now lives overseas.

Actually, the problem is all the wesen who live in Portland.

Here is a post on how to prep which is different from most:
https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmar21/su ... m3-21.html

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 8:01 am

John wrote: Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:35 am ** 12-Mar-2021 World View: CPI

Tom Mazanec wrote: Fri Mar 12, 2021 7:10 am > I got the figure from the CPI calculator
> https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl ... ream place
> across the street just sharply rose their prices

So I used your calculator and filled in the fields with $100, February
2020 and February 2021, and pressed "Calculate".

And it says: "$100.00 in February 2020 has the same buying power as
$101.68 in February 2021."

So that would indicate an annual inflation rate of 1.68%.

No, John.
I used January 2021 and February 2021, and got $100.55, then multiplied the 0.55% by 12.
Actually I should have compounded the change, but I figured it would not make a difference in two significant places. If so, the inflation is actually higher.

So did you try Jan-Feb 2020 (0.27%) and Feb-Mar 2020 (-0.22%)?
What would you conclude from those figures?

** 15-Mar-2021 World View: Myanmar / Burma violence continues to grow explosively

Over 50 peaceful protesters were shot dead by security forces in
Yangon, Myanmar / Burma, over the weekend.

According to reports by BBC correspondent Jonathan Head, the security
forces (police + army) are becoming extremely contemptuous of the
peaceful protestors. They shoot people without provocation, picking
them off from bridges with high-powered rifles, and then picking off
someone who tries to help. According to Head, they're posting videos
expressing contempt of ordinary civilian protesters.

This is the same kind of contempt that the army showed for Rohingya
Muslims, when they were conducting genocide and ethnic cleansing.

If this isn't a real sign of an impending civil war, then I don't know
what is. The next step would be for someone to supply weapons to
protesters.

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 8:09 am Here is a post on how to prep which is different from most:
https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmar21/su ... m3-21.html

Sounds like he read Navigator's book. Navigator talks about the basic "survival unit" being at least a couple hundred people who work together, swap skills, cooperate with defense, etc. Main point is, you're a goner by yourself, or even with a few people, you need a community to survive. In some situations, it may be as simple as talking to other people in your neighborhood.

John wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 9:29 am ** 15-Mar-2021 World View: Myanmar / Burma violence continues to grow explosively

Over 50 peaceful protesters were shot dead by security forces in
Yangon, Myanmar / Burma, over the weekend.

According to reports by BBC correspondent Jonathan Head, the security
forces (police + army) are becoming extremely contemptuous of the
peaceful protestors. They shoot people without provocation, picking
them off from bridges with high-powered rifles, and then picking off
someone who tries to help. According to Head, they're posting videos
expressing contempt of ordinary civilian protesters.

This is the same kind of contempt that the army showed for Rohingya
Muslims, when they were conducting genocide and ethnic cleansing.

If this isn't a real sign of an impending civil war, then I don't know
what is. The next step would be for someone to supply weapons to
protesters.

Exactly ten years after the civil war in Syria began under similar circumstances. Could history repeat? And if it does, could it drag in the US, China, and India into a proxy war?

** 15-Mar-2021 World View: Syria vs Burma/Myanmar

DaKardii wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 10:51 am > Exactly ten years after the civil war in Syria began under similar
> circumstances. Could history repeat [in Burma]? And if it does,
> could it drag in the US, China, and India into a proxy
> war?

There are significant differences.

The Syria civil war began during a generational Awakening era. The
war would have fizzled, and in fact al-Assad was losing the war in
2015, but Russia, Iran and Hezbollah moved in to support al-Assad. So
the war was internationalized when other countries entered to support
al-Assad, and also when young Sunnis from some 80 countries traveled
to Syria to fight against al-Assad, eventually forming ISIS.

Myanmar/Burma is well into a generational Crisis era, so there is no
chance of the civil war fizzling. Other countries may get involved,
but not because they need to support junta leader Min Aung Hlaing.

China may get drawn in because the protesters are blaming China for
supporting the junta. Over the weekend, two China-owned factories in
Yangon were burned down.

India may get drawn because Burma refugees may flee across the border
into India. Already, about a dozen Burmese policemen have crossed
into India seeking asylum because they don't want to kill civilians,
and Burma is demanding that they be extradited. If India gets
involved, it may be on the side of the junta, since India also has a
lot of Rohingya refugees.

John wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 8:34 am

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 8:01 am

John wrote: Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:35 am ** 12-Mar-2021 World View: CPI



So I used your calculator and filled in the fields with $100, February
2020 and February 2021, and pressed "Calculate".

And it says: "$100.00 in February 2020 has the same buying power as
$101.68 in February 2021."

So that would indicate an annual inflation rate of 1.68%.

No, John.
I used January 2021 and February 2021, and got $100.55, then multiplied the 0.55% by 12.
Actually I should have compounded the change, but I figured it would not make a difference in two significant places. If so, the inflation is actually higher.

So did you try Jan-Feb 2020 (0.27%) and Feb-Mar 2020 (-0.22%)?
What would you conclude from those figures?

The 1.9T$ stimulus was only a (virtually) sure thing this year, so it would not impact things that early.
Really, the last few months stand out as at least a blip, if not the beginning of a trend.

John wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 8:34 am

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 8:01 am

John wrote: Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:35 am ** 12-Mar-2021 World View: CPI



So I used your calculator and filled in the fields with $100, February
2020 and February 2021, and pressed "Calculate".

And it says: "$100.00 in February 2020 has the same buying power as
$101.68 in February 2021."

So that would indicate an annual inflation rate of 1.68%.

No, John.
I used January 2021 and February 2021, and got $100.55, then multiplied the 0.55% by 12.
Actually I should have compounded the change, but I figured it would not make a difference in two significant places. If so, the inflation is actually higher.

So did you try Jan-Feb 2020 (0.27%) and Feb-Mar 2020 (-0.22%)?
What would you conclude from those figures?

Lumber package to build a house in January 2021: $30,000

The same Lumber package today: $62,000

The same lumber package last October (2020): $18,000

Seems to be more than 1.68% inflation.

I Am Done.

https://www.reckonin.com/oh-mama/i-am-done

Excellent take on what has happened to the country from a disillusioned Millennial. Worth reading.