Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

"Everything is changing. People are taking the comedians seriously and the politicians as a joke."
-- Will Rogers

Florida Republican Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who chairs the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, recently said. “The Obama administration wants to simply throw money at an Egyptian government that the president cannot even clearly state is an ally of the United States.”
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/163789
The order for the Lockheed-Martin planes is another win for the American military-industrial complex.

"This is a great day for Lockheed Martin and a testament to the enduring partnership and commitment we have made to the government of Egypt," said John Larson, vice president, Lockheed Martin F-16 programs.

Pentagon spokesman Lt. Col. Wesley Miller explained to Fox, "The U.S.-Egypt defense relationship has served as the cornerstone of our broader strategic partnership for over thirty years. The delivery of the first set of F-16s in January 2013 reflects the U.S. commitment to supporting the Egyptian military's modernization efforts. Egyptian acquisition of F-16s will increase our militaries' interoperability, and enhance Egypt's capacity to contribute to regional mission sets."
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/164282
President Barack Obama had distanced himself from the Muslim Brotherhood until it became clear that it was a driving force following the fall of Mubarak. In a radical shift of foreign policy, Obama’s advisors, some of whom support a more liberal policy towards Hamas, began making contacts with the Muslim Brotherhood and eventually established open contacts with the radical Islamic party. http://www.israelnationalnews.com

The hinge I noted before. The entire political culture there is beyond redress.

Algeria was always a pariah state. The generals needed to update their military hardware, and after 9/11 they saw their opportunity. They went to G.Bush and said "oh oh we have terrorists here", GW sent $620 million in arms & training to a variety of governments and groups in the region. Of the 4 main groups we financed and armed, 3 turned around, did military coups, and then lined up with the bad guys. Oops

No, not surprised at all, taxpayers are retards. h/t hal

Higgenbotham wrote:http://www.consensus-inc.com/002001i/kn ... c-pesc.htm

Another one taking a stab at it. He's been at this for decades and is no lightweight. I noticed some of his analysis was similar to what I posted here. My preference was to project from the lows. He projects from the 1937 high. It does give a cleaner result.

peak is ~25th - my window in feb appears to be missing. As indicated it was feb13. From Sat Dec 01, 2012 observance.

effort to shake off the anchoring biases that so strongly hold us as our nominally-priced markets. t/y t

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TFCGOCal ... r_embedded#! <-------

I've run across some Gann quotes that say the 1937 high was on March 8. I can't argue with him using that reference point versus using the 1937 crash low. I used the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis low in October, whereas he used the low from June, which was lower. We both used the 1987 crash low. My main thesis would be that all of those years put in crash lows in the fall of the year spaced 25 years apart, where the market also got to reasonable valuations, whereas in 2012 the Fed had created an artificial multi year high into that same area. I believe the trendline analysis he did verifies the technical precision and correctness of his approach. That's excellent work in my opinion. He also makes the appropriate cautions.

John quoted the directive to the PLA this weekend and a google search of that quote brought up 93 web pages that have quoted that, of which probably 5 were this site. That level of complacency, where that directive has been so widely ignored, seems to be reflected in the stock market also.

Agree H, either way we are now at the mercy of a bundle of white birch rods. I can see the trees in any forest.
We shall see very soon on many topics. The White House will not be able to spin this away in the eye of History.
The best pain we can endure is for him to dig into the true middle spectrum and hold it since we tried to
warn the lost.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-0 ... tives.html

Perfume does not save you in the end.

Le secret des grandes fortunes sans cause apparente est un crime oublié, parce qu'il a été proprement fait
Honoré de Balzac, Le Père Goriot (1835)

Mohandas Karamachand Gandhi warned
Wealth without Work, Pleasure without Conscience, Science without Humanity, Knowledge without Character, Politics without Principle
Commerce without Morality, Worship without Sacrifice

aedens wrote:http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-0 ... tives.html

Perfume does not save you in the end.

The sale cut Agricole’s risk-weighted assets -- which must be protected by a capital buffer -- by $18 billion, the bank says.

“We think there will be more of those types of transactions,” Siderow said in his Bloomberg Television interview.

Bernanke wrote: First of all, we can try to strengthen our financial system, say, by increase--as I mentioned earlier, by increasing the amount of capital liquidity the banks hold, by improving the supervision of those banks, by making sure that every important financial institution is supervised by somebody. There were some very important ones during the crisis that essentially had no effective supervision.

Hey Bernanke, care to stop lying long enough to tell us who is supervising Blue Mountain?

They want good citizens since we are bad. We are to insular for them to question since they have a plan now.
The land will flow with milk and honey since they said so because we sent them people home who had a mission
statement to stop the insane spending. Law, order, legal status, funding is so passe Republic. Trust them
they will save you from yourself. Oh great news, the Biden drones are pushing him for President.

2013 estimate 17,547,936
2014 estimate 18,499,909
2015 estimate 19,426,503
2016 estimate 20,391,198
2017 estimate 21,325,493

http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default ... st07z1.xls

These people have no idea what the rest of the world thinks on exporting inflation. I do not
see it going well. They will just seal the borders on the fiat. Darwin was correct on a few things.
ZIRP flooding to export reserve only goes so far. Even the charts note this effect on durations.

decline in the velocity of circulation of money = repudiation
nash game theory in action = he who first

Inflation can be pursued only so long as the public still does not believe it will continue. Once the people generally realize that the
inflation will be continued on and on and that the value of the monetary unit will decline more and more, then the fate of the money is sealed. LVM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANyo4yn5GRs

update: rail traffic http://twitter.com/Not_Jim_Cramer- yep the Democrats will hope and change indeed. Pain train is on a roll.
rfed http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-01-2 ... tions-2009

ataxpayer: Nobody said poor people are destroying the country. What is destroying this country is the social programs designed to turn the poor people into dependents of the state. Once the ruling class has a Free Shit Army big enough to hide completely behind, we're fucked. If you can't see that, you're a fucking retard.

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/20 ... er-musings
http://generationaldynamics.com/forum/v ... uit#p10675
http://generationaldynamics.com/forum/v ... omo#p11272

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NPkW2LGf ... re=related

Higgenbotham wrote:

aedens wrote:http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-0 ... tives.html

Perfume does not save you in the end.

The sale cut Agricole’s risk-weighted assets -- which must be protected by a capital buffer -- by $18 billion, the bank says.

“We think there will be more of those types of transactions,” Siderow said in his Bloomberg Television interview.

Bernanke wrote: First of all, we can try to strengthen our financial system, say, by increase--as I mentioned earlier, by increasing the amount of capital liquidity the banks hold, by improving the supervision of those banks, by making sure that every important financial institution is supervised by somebody. There were some very important ones during the crisis that essentially had no effective supervision.

Hey Bernanke, care to stop lying long enough to tell us who is supervising Blue Mountain?

context: http://generationaldynamics.com/forum/v ... uit#p10684
http://generationaldynamics.com/forum/v ... 370#p10699
review http://www.finra.org/Industry/Complianc ... gulationT/
http://generationaldynamics.com/forum/v ... omo#p11276
Update to rev's observations on our reg t discussion and our current query again...
To be clear, the bulk of the derivative bets out there are fraudulent because the parties that would collect on the derivatives have no insurable
interest in the failure of the entities and instruments insured (a contract of insurance with no insurable interest is gambling. Period.)
Sometimes, moments of great consequence are veiled in our day to day experience. I believe this is one of those quiet moments.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANyo4yn5GRs
978-1-5955-5246-4