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Re: Fantasy World

Posted: Wed Apr 10, 2013 5:04 pm
by at99sy
at99sy wrote: If the Market can sustain 13K+ levels for a few weeks that should bring the rest of the suckers in and then down it goes. But the fix is in. nothing until after the election.

sy
I made this observation back in 2012 and in January the market punched through 13,000 with the Obama reelection, read status quo in place, and the market has maintained it and continued to build regular highs. I don't read many charts, but I do know that what happened several centuries ago is not relevant today as far as predicting tops and bottoms. Today's markets are being manipulated with devious devices that those in the past could not have ever dreamed up, but would likely admire today. We may see a small pull back here and there but tptb are going to pimp this bitch till she pops and then look out. It is going to be spectacular.

Meanwhile in NK, multiple threats coming together, young untested child dictator, starving people, alliance with Iran, 60th anniversary of the "end" of the Korea-American war, Birthday of the first Great Leader coming up on the 15th I believe. GD says that he just may go for it. He has little to lose and has an ideological and youthful desire to unify Korea. His father got away with all kinds of crap and he wants to show his people that he has the marbles to one up the old man. However he has not the experience nor the intellect to know how far is too far.

should be a grand show whatever he does.

cheers

sy

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Wed Apr 10, 2013 9:30 pm
by aedens

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 6:00 am
by aedens
While every European leader, banker, street-sweeper has made a point to use the phrase "Cyprus was not a template" in the last few weeks since D-Boom dropped his tape-bomb, it appears that in reality plans continue to push ahead to indeed 'legalize' these confiscations. As Reuters reports, European Union ministers will consider a proposal this week to impose losses on short-term interbank deposits of lenders. The proposal is part of wider talks to consider when depositors should be bailed-in. Of course, it makes sense that banks should 'not' get special treatment for their overnight lending operations to one another, but the EU leaders want to ensure that these 'sacred' deposits do not escape confiscation. t

Credit growth in the real economy stated by BIS

Cyprus was ranked 61st. That sums up the current "paper tigers" we noted.

1983 paper noted CCI of account "EU bond modeling" defined the cost of credit intermediation (CCI) as being the cost of channeling funds from the ultimate savers/lenders into the hands of good borrowers.

Central planning, debt paper = seize gold

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 4:05 pm
by aedens
1,597.35 good luck no ideas based on the good faith of gosplan.
one market close off on estimation of peak - peak
Im out now as noted and taking delivery on net paper and spot locks.
Good luck and I think you may need it soon.
I was wrong on the call of 1590 for the tenth that was 1,587.73 close and peak 1620
be carefull
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 620#p18888

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DBuMl-FHAtI

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 5:41 pm
by Higgenbotham
aedens wrote:1,597.35 good luck
one market close off on estimation of peak - peak
Yup, last 65 points up I've lost 30 as of last trade and will need to add money to my account. Your estimation would have probably been right but per your post from Anna Schwartz long back Ben is "creating new sensations every day" as Anna accurately stated. Yesterday's was intended of course to direct public attention to the Fed minutes so as to incite a reaction for another day or two. An act of desperation as I read it. Still 100% short. I won't take it beyond that and back to 200% until trouble appears in an obvious way.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 6:03 pm
by Higgenbotham
a, the 1987 pattern is a match to today on the last run and also on the woof-woof (going one day past). That wasn't a crisis period though so I gave it lesser probability.
1987_dow_crash.gif
1987_dow_crash.gif (28.6 KiB) Viewed 3424 times

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 6:59 pm
by aedens
I will spend time looking at numbers over the weekend and have alot to consider since as we know here we trade our book only.
We have been rather close hitting more nails than not, so we need to maintain a clear view moving ahead.
They are winding up leverage in areas of concern in my view. This push is to be watched closely. I will start with Dr Copper
and work my way up since as we know also credit warns and equity confirms. We have stuck our necks out far to long and been severly
reproached from participants who have not ventured out as we have done. It just that simple and forumed. Be carefull...
We will note maybe a dome reversal in the next late week. Like we noted IMO the distortions and why rather so.
woof

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 7:50 pm
by Higgenbotham
This one came in yesterday and again I put less weight on it because it is in the wrong spot on the generational cycle.
Depression Cycle.jpg
Depression Cycle.jpg (69 KiB) Viewed 3412 times

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 8:17 pm
by aedens
We are at a crossroads on many topical complications H. To easy going forward for the confused ones to dig in as even keynes warned
for the wrong reasons.

t noted what we alluded to with the drilldown to the fisher mutliplier effect when we posted romers work.
But in fact they are bending over backwards to help governments to finance their deficits," and guess what, "this is nothing new in history."
After World War II, all countries that had a big debt overhang relied on financial repression to avoid an explicit default.
Only when inflation picks up, which is ultimately going to happen, will it become obvious that central banks have become subservient to governments." Nations "seldom just grow themselves out of debt," as so many believe is possible, "you need a combination of austerity, so that you don't add further to the pile of debt, and higher inflation, which is effectively a subtle form of taxation," with the consequence that people are going to lose their savings. Reinhart succinctly summarizes, "no doubt, our pensions are screwed."


Our sniplet was the backdrop from Jun 21, 2009, and theres, to effects and the onramp to the dialectic of thought map which was a clear representation
to why we have noted the direction and calculation under socialism which is correct and will work on that presentation of reality since it is nearing completion in context of the damages we are trending. This is why and how these cargo cult cannibals in DC will take us under, and have in "seen and unseen dialog" we understand here clearly as do a few others on task.

Re: Financial topics

Posted: Thu Apr 11, 2013 9:10 pm
by aedens
2009 personal view is still hold true.

To sum up, then, We may lay it down as a general and lasting law that working men's associations should be so organized and governed as to furnish the best and most suitable means for attaining what is aimed at, that is to say, for helping each individual member to better his condition to the utmost in body, soul, and property. It is clear that they must pay special and chief attention to the duties of religion and morality, and that social betterment should have this chiefly in view; otherwise they would lose wholly their special character, and end by becoming little better than those societies which take no account whatever of religion. The arrow of time properly indicates who omits relevance to the common good. It has been said give to the authorities without malice since it is not the most important thing in life and I agree to the extent we must and are hidebound to hold them accountable. The differences in direction of that arrow are no different in any time. We were clearly told what it would bring. Abraham’s seed has no excuses as in the three pillars we see today to freedom’s regard to stability. The dead letter proscribed a viable path to reason since the lack of it is the definition of hell.
http://www.vatican.va/holy_father/leo_x ... um_en.html

L notes the sheepdogs are corupted as we know. Ah yes, I see that Wolf the "I made and hid my millons but god damn it yours aren't taxed enough" paper-pusher is still posting shit that lacks any critical thinking. Prosecute the fraud, put those that profitted from the fraud in a real prison, bankrupt the bad companies
Taxpayers are beyond redemption and will passaway like a season as warned from the book. Different ways to see the the same effect I garner only.
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 200#p18877
The key word was confication and the Justice Department notes to big to prosecute. As we read they will seek to and fro and shall not find.
Distill it to compass and the seal in the forehead. No other illustration suffices in this season. For GD purposes of context which notes the
half turning and consequences. Today, the U.S. national debt is more than 5000 times larger than it was when the Federal Reserve was originally created
back in 1913. Some details forward seen are to difficult to express at the moment.