Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

The question that's still unfolding is the role that Biden's
incompetence and cognitive problems are playing in whatever occurs.
Biden took a series of energy-related decisions that have been
disastrous for the US -- canceling the Keystone XL pipeline, canceling
oil leases, approving Russia's Nord Stream 2 Pipeline -- have given an
enormous amount of power to Putin over Europe. Both Putin and Xi are
carefully analyzing the Afghanistan catastrophe and reaching
conclusions about it.

And then there's the open southern border. Millions of illegal
immigrants from many countries are pouring into the country, aided by
the administration working together with paid migrant smugglers and
sex traffickers. In addition, tons of fentanyl and meth are pouring
into the country via drug smugglers. This is driven by China, which
sees this as an opportunity to get revenge for the 1840s Opium Wars,
and also to infiltrate the country with Chinese military cells.
A devastating critique of the Left's failed policies.

Only God can save us now.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Navigator wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:52 pm
John wrote: Wed Jan 26, 2022 4:22 pm
As I've said before, I think that a possible scenario is that Putin
won't attempt a full-scale invasion, which could go on for years, but
instead would take Biden's suggestion of a "limited incursion." In
2014, Russia invaded and occupied Donbas, and invaded and annexed
Crimea. In 2018, Russia completed a bridge over the Kerch Strait,
controlling access to the Sea of Azov. Today, a "limited incursion"
would be an invasion of the seaports Mariupol and Berdyansk, in order
to create a land bridge from Russia to Crimea.
I have seen another good option coming from UK reporting, that Putin intends to install his own puppet as the "true" Ukrainian president.

This would solve the problem of Russian "occupation" and just have ethnic Russians in the Ukraine run and police everything.

The Russians would recognize this puppet and their supporting regime, and provide them with the muscle they need to enforce their rule. This way Putin could even say that Ukraine was still an "independent" nation.

Given the rather long and somewhat successful (albeit not permanently successful) example of the post WW2 communist eastern European regimes (with which Putin has lots of experience, BTW) this is probably his ultimate strategy for the Ukraine.
Post WW2 Russian was a military juggernaut, modern Russian is not. Little Chechnya thrashed them. The Russians did, however, install a group of Quislings in Chechnya and let them largely (but not entirely) defeat the rebels. The Russians only resorted to this after losing huge numbers of Russian troops and spending billions of dollars that they could not afford to spend. Even now Russia shells out billions of dollars for the puppet regime in tiny Chechnya.

That policy wouldn't work for the massive Ukraine. it is too big and well armed (unlike the lightly armed Chechens). Also, Chechnya is buried deep inside of the Russian federation, far away from Western borders; the Ukraine is very close to the West.

Time to get serious about defeating the Russians.

Or be defeated and suffer the horrific consequences.

There are so many ways to easily derail the Russians.

#1 Arm the Chechen rebels. They can be supplied through the Pankisi Gorge in Georgia. Easy.

#2 Close the borders to Russia and Belarus and expel all of their nationals from the West. Real Estate in London, New York, and Miami will become affordable.

#3 Freeze the assets of the oligarchs and all Russians in the West. Use the money to fund NATO rearmament.

#4 Build a statue of Baroness Thatcher on the ruins of the former Russian Embassy in London. Shoot anyone who tries to vandalize it.

#5 Do the same with Chinese and Serbian citizens. Real Estate everywhere from LA to Melbourne to Vancouver will become much cheaper and young people will be able to buy a decent home at an affordable price.

The West needs to take concrete steps to the new Axis Powers of Russia and China; otherwise, they will be fighting wars in the Baltics, Poland, Ukraine, Bosnia, Kosova, Croatia, Macedonia, Albania, Serbia, Montenegro, and all of the Asian pacific. OR, America can sit on it's hands and let 1938-39 repeat itself and rick losing everything.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/24/worl ... syria.html
WASHINGTON — The artillery barrage was so intense that the American commandos dived into foxholes for protection, emerging covered in flying dirt and debris to fire back at a column of tanks advancing under the heavy shelling. It was the opening salvo in a nearly four-hour assault in February by around 500 pro-Syrian government forces — including Russian mercenaries — that threatened to inflame already-simmering tensions between Washington and Moscow.

In the end, 200 to 300 of the attacking fighters were killed. The others retreated under merciless airstrikes from the United States, returning later to retrieve their battlefield dead. None of the Americans at the small outpost in eastern Syria — about 40 by the end of the firefight — were harmed.
So much for the "Russians are better soldiers than Americans BS"... :lol:
American military officials repeatedly warned about the growing mass of troops. But Russian military officials said they had no control over the fighters assembling near the river — even though American surveillance equipment monitoring radio transmissions had revealed the ground force was speaking in Russian.

The documents described the fighters as a “pro-regime force,” loyal to President Bashar al-Assad of Syria. It included some Syrian government soldiers and militias, but American military and intelligence officials have said a majority were private Russian paramilitary mercenaries — and most likely a part of the Wagner Group, a company often used by the Kremlin to carry out objectives that officials do not want to be connected to the Russian government.
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

January 27, 2022
Wrong War, Wrong Enemy
By Richard B. Speed
https://www.americanthinker.com/article ... enemy.html
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Ukraine and the Western Conscience
Francis X. Maier
THURSDAY, JANUARY 27, 2022
https://www.thecatholicthing.org/2022/0 ... onscience/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

So if Putin invades then it is all change, the USA and gulf states end up successfully supplying Europe with its energy needs, Putin swivels to China for his main customer but finds that they will hold the upper hand on the pricing and Russia becomes even poorer then it is now, as any monies Russia has is spent on subduing Ukraine in a never ending insurgency, which is supported by the west. This ultimately brings down the macho mafiosi government of Russia who slowly embrace western civilization
Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

Guest wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 12:22 pm So if Putin invades then it is all change, the USA and gulf states end up successfully supplying Europe with its energy needs, Putin swivels to China for his main customer but finds that they will hold the upper hand on the pricing and Russia becomes even poorer then it is now, as any monies Russia has is spent on subduing Ukraine in a never ending insurgency, which is supported by the west. This ultimately brings down the macho mafiosi government of Russia who slowly embrace western civilization
More than that: Russia doesn't have the pipeline capacity to send any more gas to China than it already does. China has historically not been willing to pay for pipeline construction meaning that Gasprom would need to front the expense of any increase. Of course it is entirely likely that various European countries would be willing to keep buying Russian gas rather than paying the premium for LNG deliveries. <cough>Germany<cough>

As time goes buy I'm seeing a Russian invasion of Ukraine as a larger and larger potential folly with the prospect of wrecking Russia. I have to wonder how far Putin is willing to take things. Or is there a point at which the various Russian oligarchs see Putin as a threat to their cushy lives and oust him? I wish Russian politics were less opaque.
FullMoon
Posts: 1017
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

What's the chances a Chinese Northern invasion would be allowed by the Kremlin? Or perhaps them moving West with the memory of the Russian Yoke? I'm told that it has a big influence on their culture. Why, if they succeeded at that, Europe would look quite enticing. So we could be at their backs again like WW2. Kazakhstan - Ukraine flow West to East.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

It is remarkable how Europe manages to get themselves into these messes, with no apparent path out. Either advanced planning on defense or energy would help. Now you are relying on America again, while trying to act independent. That is what Vlad is counting on.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Putin has masterfully succeeded in turning the vast majority of Ukrainians against Russia by invading Ukrainian territory in Crimea and Donbas. Ukraine with its people, history and culture, inextricably intertwined with Russia, no longer wants a future with Putin's autocratic Russia. The "statesman" has not succeeded in luring any of the former Warsaw Pact countries away from NATO. USA has won that contest against Putin. They out-manoeuvred him. Now, a desperate Putin tries to intimidate Ukraine as he sees it slipping away to the west permanently. Running rings around NATO? Hardly!
Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 10 guests