** 27-Feb-2022 World View: Bombing populations and chemical weapons
Now that Russia's forces are advancing a lot more slowly than planned,
the fear is that Putin will double down with much more vicious attacks
to force capitulation.
(By the way, Russia and Ukraine are going to have some kind of "peace
conference" on the border between Ukraine and Belarus. This is
expected to be something of a farce, with the Russian delegation
demanding full capitulation. We'll see tomorrow.)
Navi has suggested that Putin might order the use of nuclear weapons.
That's a possibility, though it has the disadvantage that the
nuclear fallout could go into Nato countries and trigger nuclear
retaliation.
I think it's more likely that Russia will follow the same path
as in Chechnya and Syria -- massive bombing, combined with
chemical weapons -- Sarin gas and chlorine gas.
I've described in previous articles how this was done. The following
are extracts from two articles from the past.
** 19-Feb-16 World View -- Russia's attacks on civilian hospitals in Aleppo follow the 'Grozny model'
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e160219
The massive attack on the city of Aleppo by Syrian and Russian
warplanes pounding civilians with missiles and barrel bombs, in
conjunction with ground attacks by YPG militias, is said to be a
Russian army tactic known as the "Grozny model."
Turkish security officials say that in Russia's 1990s war with
Chechnya, Russian warplanes bombed schools and hospitals in order to
create a refugee crisis, and to empty the urban residential areas.
Once that was achieved, heavy weapons could be deployed to eradicate
opposing forces, entailing widespread destruction of homes and
infrastructure.
It's becoming increasingly apparent that the purpose of the "Grozny
model" strategy being followed by Russia and al-Assad is to create a
de facto Kurdish state in northern Syria along the border with
Turkey. This strategy is completely intolerable to Turkey, and even
if it succeeded, it would certainly lead to continued war.
However, even without succeeding, this Russian strategy is leading to
war. Turkey's tanks have been shelling YPG positions in Syria, as
we've reported several times in the last week.
** 6-Feb-18 World View -- Syria's Bashar al-Assad steps up use of chemical weapons on his own people
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e180206
Rescue workers are reporting that warplanes from the regime of Syria's
president Bashar al-Assad and from his ally Russia have stepped up
bombing attacks on civilians in densely populated neighborhoods in
Eastern Ghouta and Idlib, and the use of chlorine gas has been stepped
up. At least 29 people were killed.
Typically chlorine gas is delivered through the use of barrel bombs.
The barrel bombs are filled with metal and chlorine gas in order to
kill as many people as possible.
Al-Assad has used Sarin gas in the past to kill dozens or hundreds of
people at a time. As a chemical weapon, chlorine gas doesn't
immediately kill as many people as Sarin, but it's used in a different
way. When warplanes start bombing, women and children particularly
hide in basements of buildings. Since chlorine gas is heavier than
air, it seeps down into the basements and forces the choking women and
children out into the open, where they can be targeted by missiles and
gunfire.