Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

@ Fullmoon it wasn't that bad it was actually much worse. If our future is tied into the leadership of Biden and Harris we are royally screwed. By the way it looks like food is now a weapon of war , Russia has put a ban on fertilizer exports. I think a lot of the cosmopolitan crowd that lives in major cities is going to find out the real importance of those backwards rural farmer types.

thinker wrote: Sat Mar 05, 2022 4:51 am @ Fullmoon it wasn't that bad it was actually much worse. If our future is tied into the leadership of Biden and Harris we are royally screwed. By the way it looks like food is now a weapon of war , Russia has put a ban on fertilizer exports. I think a lot of the cosmopolitan crowd that lives in major cities is going to find out the real importance of those backwards rural farmer types.

This. This abuse by NATO for over a decade has been a total foreign policy disaster resulting in this situation, where the US and European economies are going to suffer greatly.

** 05-Mar-2022 World View: UN Security Council condemns Russia's attack on nuclear power plant

• Map of Ukraine

Thursday night's crisis at Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant
finally ended without a feared nuclear disaster. The Russians
bombarded the plant with artillery fire, setting fire to the
administrative buildings. This is the largest nuclear power plant in
Europe, and one of the largest in the world.

There are six nuclear reactors at the site, and if one of them had
been hit, either accidentally or intentionally, it could have
triggered a nuclear thermal explosion larger than the disaster at the
Chernobyl nuclear power plant in 1986.

France called for an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council on
Friday. Attacking a nuclear power plant is a war crime, and one
country after another condemned the Russians. However, the Russian
ambassador said that the Russians were really good guys, since there
was no nuclear disaster. That's like a man who gets drunk and beats
the crap out of his wife, but then claims he's a good guy because he
stopped short of killing her.

Russia has been conducting numerous war crimes, making indiscriminate
attacks on civilians and residential neighborhoods, flattening
villages and cities with illegal cluster bombs, illegal cassette bombs
and illegal thermobaric bombs. Russia hasn't yet begun using illegal
chemical weapons, as they used in Syria and Chechnya, but that's
presumably the next step.

Despite Russia's massive war crimes and genocide, the UN Security
Council did nothing. This was the expected outcome, since Russia has
become extremely skillful at making the United Nations useless.

Ukraine has 15 nuclear power plants. According to the US ambassador
to Ukraine, Russian forces are now approaching Ukraine's second
largest nuclear facility, Yuzhnoukrainsk Nuclear Power Station in the
Mykolaiv Oblast, in southern Ukraine. So now there are concerns about
a nuclear disaster at that plant.

**** Russia's southern campaign

Russia's attacks in the north and east appear to have bogged down, but
the amphibious attacks from the south has been more successful.
That's probably because Russia has a large naval base at Sevastopol in
Crimea, and its forces are better trained. Russia has been making
naval attacks on southern Ukraine from the Black Sea and from the Sea
of Azov. The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is located in
Enerhodar, in southeast Ukraine, just north of Crimea.

The naval attacks are focusing on the cities of Mariupol, Kherson and
Odessa. As expected, Russia is creating a land bridge from Russia to
Crimea along the coast of the Sea of Azov. By attacking the port of
Odessa, Russia is expecting to make Ukraine into a landlocked country.

The Russians may be planning to continue on to Moldova. There's a
Russian-speaking separatist region in Moldova called Transnistria, and
Russian troops may occupy that region and launch an attack on Moldova,
similar to the attack on Ukraine from Donbas.

**** Assassination squads for Zelenskyy

According to reports from Ukraine's security services, Russia has sent
several assassination squads to track down and kill Ukraine’s
president Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

One of them is from the Wagner Group, which is Vladimir Putin's
private mercenary military militia. I've reported on them in the past
operating in Syria and Libya, and they're currently operating in Mali.

Another assassination squad comes from Chechen fighters in the Russian
National Guard Squad, led by the Chechen leader, Ramzan Kadyrov.
These battle-hardened Chechen fighters are thought to be particularly
barbaric.

However, both of these assassination squads, and a third one, were
identified and in killed after they entered Kiev. The reason they
were identified is that turncoats in the Russian army told Ukraine's
security services where to find them. A lot of people in Russia's
army oppose the war in Ukraine, which is one reason why morale is so
low.

Ukraine's army has posted a video showing soldiers greasing bullets
with pig fat. Since Chechens are Muslims, they will not be martyred
and go to heaven if they are hit by a bullet covered with pig fat.

**** Peace talks

One technique that Russian and Chinese aholes use constantly is to
make international agreements to gain concessions, and then ignore
their own obligations while demanding that the West honor theirs.

According to reports, this has already happened. There were farcical
"peace talks" on Friday, at which a ceasefire in Mariupol was agreed,
so that women and children could start evacuating along a so-called
"humanitarian corridor." The ceasefire lasted an hour, and the
evacuating women and children became sitting ducks for Russian
artillery shells.

**** The future

There are now some 1.5 million Ukraine refugees pouring into
neighboring countries, mostly Poland. The UN expects this number to
reach ten million. It appears more and more likely that Russia's
Ukraine invasion will cause a chain reaction that will lead to a major
European war, and within the next few months to a world war and a
global depression. Nuclear weapons will be used.

-- U.S., allies slam Russia at U.N. over its seizure of Ukraine
nuclear plant
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/un- ... 022-03-04/
(Reuters, 4-Mar-2022)

-- Ukraine Uses ‘Pig-Fat Bullets’ To Deflate Russian Aggression While
Moscow Determined To De-Nazify Kiev, Remove Zelensky
https://eurasiantimes.com/ukraine-uses- ... ggression/
(EurAsian, 2-Mar-2022)

Is it possible China will intercede and slam Putin down?
At the precipice point when civilization needs Russia stopped or else WWIII?
And would that put them in the Captains chair of the new world order?
USA could but won't.

Why hasn’t Russia retaliated for the sanctions by waging cyberattacks on the West yet?

Japjeep wrote: Sat Mar 05, 2022 2:57 pm Is it possible China will intercede and slam Putin down?
At the precipice point when civilization needs Russia stopped or else WWIII?
And would that put them in the Captains chair of the new world order?
USA could but won't.

No, not at all. The Chinese want to do the same sort of thing, and are waiting for the USA to reinforce Europe so they can make their own move.

Both Russia and China are run by dictators who no longer fear war.

USA is not ramping up now because its too late to prevent Ukraine invasion and direct conflict with Russia at this point would be WW3.

Tom Mazanec wrote: Sat Mar 05, 2022 6:58 pm Why hasn’t Russia retaliated for the sanctions by waging cyberattacks on the West yet?

Russia is still doing business with the West. Natural gas is still flowing to Germany (Hungary and Slovakia), and they are still making payments to Russian banks.

The supposed shutdown of SWIFT did not impact the largest Russian bank, and German banks don't want to take a massive hit for having to declare loans to Russia as lost.

Russia in turn has not attacked Western banks or infrastructure. Also, NATO has said that it believes that such cyberattacks would cross the line and trigger the big Article 5 "we have been attacked!" clause of the NATO treaty, so maybe some deterrence there.

But I think that Russia still thinks they are going to smooth this over with the West once they have control of what they want.

Navigator wrote: Sat Mar 05, 2022 9:38 pm

Tom Mazanec wrote: Sat Mar 05, 2022 6:58 pm Why hasn’t Russia retaliated for the sanctions by waging cyberattacks on the West yet?

Russia is still doing business with the West. Natural gas is still flowing to Germany (Hungary and Slovakia), and they are still making payments to Russian banks.

The supposed shutdown of SWIFT did not impact the largest Russian bank, and German banks don't want to take a massive hit for having to declare loans to Russia as lost.

Russia in turn has not attacked Western banks or infrastructure. Also, NATO has said that it believes that such cyberattacks would cross the line and trigger the big Article 5 "we have been attacked!" clause of the NATO treaty, so maybe some deterrence there.

But I think that Russia still thinks they are going to smooth this over with the West once they have control of what they want.

And the craven West will do just that.

Navigator wrote: Sat Mar 05, 2022 9:33 pm

Japjeep wrote: Sat Mar 05, 2022 2:57 pm Is it possible China will intercede and slam Putin down?
At the precipice point when civilization needs Russia stopped or else WWIII?
And would that put them in the Captains chair of the new world order?
USA could but won't.

No, not at all. The Chinese want to do the same sort of thing, and are waiting for the USA to reinforce Europe so they can make their own move.

Both Russia and China are run by dictators who no longer fear war.

USA is not ramping up now because its too late to prevent Ukraine invasion and direct conflict with Russia at this point would be WW3.

And they will do the same when China attacks Taiwan.

John wrote: Wed Mar 02, 2022 6:52 pm ** 02-Mar-2022 World View: Response to comments

I'd like to thank tim, Navigator, Xeraphim1, MrGuest, DaKardii,
Trevor, spottybrowncow, Guest, Tom Mazanec, Lightbulb, thinker, and
even the obnoxious Cool Breeze, for all your comments.

Moments like this present me with a problem. I want to feel sorry for
myself because I'm miserable, depressed, in intermitten pain, alone,
surviving on Social Security, disgusted with the Cassandra Curse, and
I have no apparent function in life anymore except moderating this
forum.

However, I have to say that reading all your wonderful messages -- and
they really are wonderful -- I more fully appreciate that my one
remaining function in life, moderating this forum, may be more
important than I imagined. There's some sort of cosmic force going
on, that I don't understand, that's telling me that I'm doing
something unique and I have to go on for a while longer, at least
until WW III begins.

A couple of people suggested that I'm creating some kind of legacy
that will last forever. I have to disagree. The Cassandra Curse is
very powerful. Generational Dynamics will die with me. Upton
Sinclair said, "It is difficult to get a man to understand something
when his salary depends upon his not understanding it." Nobody's
salary depends on understanding Generational Dynamics.

I published four books, thinking that they would create some sort of
legacy that would survive me. And they're really good books, in my
opinion. I'm really proud of them. You would think by this time,
they would have generated some interest somewhere, but they haven't.
I've only sold a few dozen copies of each.

After I'm gone, very few people will even remember Generational
Dynamics, and many of them will remember it only with scorn and
derision as the invention of an old Boomer fossil. There will be
nobody whose selary depends on keeping Generation Dynamics alive, so
it will die.

"'Til I finally died
Which started the whole world living
Oh, if I'd only seen
That the joke was on me" -- the Bee Gees

Hi John,

Sorry I haven't been on the forum for awhile. But I wanted to add on to earlier comments and thank you for all the work you are doing and have done regarding Generational Dynamics.

I came across this website in 2008 when I was in HS, and I've known about the Strauss-Howe Generational Theory since 2005. Over the past 14 years I have learned so much and your work and this website have had a dramatic affect on how I see the world and understand history. I continue to do independent research and theorizing, though I've been bad about posting it on here, especially over the past three years. But following your work and seeing the unfolding/unraveling of international politics to the present moment that is increasingly feeling like a regeneracy moment for America and The West (and I'm quite certain that Ukraine if not Russia has entered into a crisis war) has been meaningful and edifying.

I know that you are discouraged by the Cassandra Curse (and I would add going back to a conversation we had many years ago that you could probably also call it the "Jeremiah Curse" from the Bible), but I echo the comments of many others by saying that your work is not in vain. I've been working as a history teacher for the past 2 and a half years, and each year I've told students about Generational Dynamics and Generational Theory. It has sparked lively debate but there has also always been great interest, and I've had students inquire about current events and whether they align with the predictions of Generational Dynamics. Your work will not die with you, but your memory will live on through me and countless others on this forum, and as long as I'm around I will continue to tell others about your work and Generational Dynamics.

Generational Dynamics has helped me make sense of history that otherwise would be a random and frankly boring set of random dates and weird theories. But seeing history play out in the generational cycles adds clarity and a rhythm to historical events, as well as a sense of drama. I also appreciate how it encourages people to look at the actual motivations and inner lives of people, rather than always viewing history from the outside looking in.

So again, thank you for all the work you have done and continue to do. Your work will not be forgotten, and is deeply appreciated by myself and others.

Thank you, and I will be in touch,
Justin