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John may be right about a few things here and there, but always keep in mind someone that has expressed a desire to die isn't exactly the most unbiased and non emotional analyzer.

The war breaks out next year or the year after, if there is a bad one.

And as I predicted, it will be because of INFLATION causing the problem. Nailed it.

So would you say a regeneracy has broken out in Ukraine?

** 07-Mar-2022 World View: Biases about Ukraine

Cool Breeze wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:10 pm > John may be right about a few things here and there, but always
> keep in mind someone that has expressed a desire to die isn't
> exactly the most unbiased and non emotional analyzer.

> The war breaks out next year or the year after, if there is a bad
> one.

> And as I predicted, it will be because of INFLATION causing the
> problem. Nailed it.

Totally disagree. If I'm not afraid to die, especially at my
Methuselean age, then I'm not beholden to any political or ideological
view. So I'm free to be completely analytical and unbiased, and to
look at the events of the world unemotionally, which I do.

Actually, I do have one major bias -- I want Generational Dynamics to
be correct. Fortunately, it's been correct so far.

On the other hand, if several weeks ago I had predicted that Putin
wouldn't dare invade Ukraine, then Generational Dynamics would have
been wrong, I would have been wrong, and I would have looked like a
complete idiot, completely full of crap, and a biased troll.
Fortunately for me, I didn't make that mistake.

Oh, I do have one other major bias. I'm pro-American and pro-freedom.

** 07-Mar-2022 World View: Japan, Russia and China

tim wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 2:56 pm

> Japan has declared today that the southern Kurils is their
> sovereign territory.

> The Prime Minister of Japan Fumio Kishida announced it during his
> speech in the parliament on March 7,–JIJI reports
> https://t.co/GUy5ZksJnc

> Euromaidan Press Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) March 7,
> 2022

I assume you posted this announcement because you believe that it's
highly significant. I agree.

In 2016, Japan and Russia agreed to a process for peacefully resolving
the dispute over the Kuril Islands.

** 3-Sep-16 World View -- Japan and Russia may settle post-World War II Kuril Islands dispute
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e160903


The new announcement indicates that Japan is abandoning the "peace process,"
and is willing to fight for the Kurils. Combined with support for the
international sanctions against Russia, it's a major signal to Russia.

It's also signal to China. Japan has previously said that they would
fight to defend Taiwan if attacked by China.

** 28-Jun-21 World View -- Japan's plans for defending Taiwan from an attack by China
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e210628


The announcement that Japan will fight to defend the Kurils reaffirms
its previous announcement to defend Taiwan.

** 07-Mar-2022 World View: Regeneracy in Ukraine

Trevor wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:25 pm > So would you say a regeneracy has broken out in Ukraine?

Absolutely. This morning, there was an interesting tv interview with
Petro Poroshenko, former president, whom Xelenskyy defeated in 2019.
The interviewer asked him, "You and Zelenskyy used to be major
political enemies, but now it sounds as if you're on the same side.
Is that true?"

Poroshenko said something like, "All Ukrainians are united now."

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John wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 4:16 pm ** 07-Mar-2022 World View: Biases about Ukraine

Cool Breeze wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:10 pm > John may be right about a few things here and there, but always
> keep in mind someone that has expressed a desire to die isn't
> exactly the most unbiased and non emotional analyzer.

> The war breaks out next year or the year after, if there is a bad
> one.

> And as I predicted, it will be because of INFLATION causing the
> problem. Nailed it.

Totally disagree. If I'm not afraid to die, especially at my
Methuselean age, then I'm not beholden to any political or ideological
view. So I'm free to be completely analytical and unbiased, and to
look at the events of the world unemotionally, which I do.

Actually, I do have one major bias -- I want Generational Dynamics to
be correct. Fortunately, it's been correct so far.

On the other hand, if several weeks ago I had predicted that Putin
wouldn't dare invade Ukraine, then Generational Dynamics would have
been wrong, I would have been wrong, and I would have looked like a
complete idiot, completely full of crap, and a biased troll.
Fortunately for me, I didn't make that mistake.

Oh, I do have one other major bias. I'm pro-American and pro-freedom.

Most of that post is honest, so I think it's legit. The last parts are garbage, of course. I'm pro-American and pro-freedom, but as is evidenced by covidism and our leaders, many of our fellow citizens do not love liberty very much at all anymore.

I've been right about quite a few things around here but as usual, people bring up other issues to stifle the correct stances I have, which are manifold. I didn't think VP would invade Ukraine, so I was wrong there, yes. But will all the other doomsayers admit they are wrong when this just turns out to be a Ukraine operation solely? I doubt it, but anything is possible. You did at least admit you were wrong about the inflation.

Vince, Tom and I shined. And my thesis has been spot on economically (which will lead to real war troubles potentially later down the road - not now).

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 12:48 pm 11 Ways That Western Powers Are Escalating The End Times War In Ukraine
March 6, 2022
http://themostimportantnews.com/archive ... in-ukraine

It amazes me how many sources are saying things like this. Is this Russian propaganda? Where do these Satan-loving apologists come from? How can any sane moral person blame the West for "escalating" the Ukraine situation? Resisting Putin by aiding Ukraine might well cause him to escalate further, but if there's a viable long-term alternative, someone please explain it clearly in terms that even an apparent "dunce" like myself can understand. Does anyone REALLY believe that if we let him have Ukraine, as morally repugnant as that is, he will stop there? I don't think we should intentionally incite him to launch a nuclear strike, but we have to take some risk to deter him, or the situation will only INEXORABLY get worse. And for those who try to infer a moral equivalence between what Russia (and soon to be China) is doing, and the U.S. invading Iraq, or Israel defending itself against aggression launched from Palestine, or many countries opposing China in the South China Sea, please apply this simple test: where would people rather live? More often than not, they want to live where freedom is valued.

spottybrowncow wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 10:49 pm

Tom Mazanec wrote: Mon Mar 07, 2022 12:48 pm 11 Ways That Western Powers Are Escalating The End Times War In Ukraine
March 6, 2022
http://themostimportantnews.com/archive ... in-ukraine

It amazes me how many sources are saying things like this. Is this Russian propaganda? Where do these Satan-loving apologists come from? How can any sane moral person blame the West for "escalating" the Ukraine situation? Resisting Putin by aiding Ukraine might well cause him to escalate further, but if there's a viable long-term alternative, someone please explain it clearly in terms that even an apparent "dunce" like myself can understand. Does anyone REALLY believe that if we let him have Ukraine, as morally repugnant as that is, he will stop there? I don't think we should intentionally incite him to launch a nuclear strike, but we have to take some risk to deter him, or the situation will only INEXORABLY get worse. And for those who try to infer a moral equivalence between what Russia (and soon to be China) is doing, and the U.S. invading Iraq, or Israel defending itself against aggression launched from Palestine, or many countries opposing China in the South China Sea, please apply this simple test: where would people rather live? More often than not, they want to live where freedom is valued.

It's not excusing Putin to express concern that some of the response, even if well intentioned, may have catastrophic effects. I was heartened by the quick cooperation by West to put the squeeze on Putin, but at a certain point making it impossible for ordinary Russians to buy food isn't going to help anything and will likely push Russians to rally around the flag. It's especially stupid when it's done just to virtue signal - as with companies like Facebook, Twitter, Paypal, etc. shutting down. You think the oligarchs use Paypal? You think Russians are going to rise up because they can't watch Batman? How are people supposed to organize without independent social media or ways to make/transfer money?

There's this painfully naive notion out there that somehow these sanctions are going to push Russians to "rise up," oust Putin, install some savior like Navalny and we'll have world peace. I sincerely hope these are just dopes on social media and that the people making real decisions aren't living in that fantasy land. Even if Putin were overthrown odds are he is replaced by someone more crazy, more ruthless and/or more reckless.

I'm not saying that I know exactly what should be done and I don't envy the position of our leaders - but given the gravity of the situation at the very least we could be tactful. Of course, I have no reason to expect better from the clowns running our world.

Even if Putin were overthrown odds are he is replaced by someone more crazy, more ruthless and/or more reckless.

I wonder how true this argument really is.

It seems something that Putin himself would say. Putin himself is evil. Not only that, he is a greedy and selfish leader that used his power to steal virtually everything he can get his hands on. He is said to worth more than 200 billion dollars. He committed mass murder in Chechnya, has turned one enemy into a living dirty bomb in London, used nerve gas on his opponents in rural England, and has had numerous journalists and even an ex-prime minister murdered. How much more ruthless can one be? Yeah, yeah, I know. it can get worse, but how much would modern Russian society tolerate? This isn't 1917.

How could a new guy be even more reckless than Putin? Would he launch a nuclear attack on his first day in office?

I don't think Putin is wild eyed madman, not yet.

I think Russia could breakup even further after Putin's removal, perhaps even have a civil war, but I doubt it. Maybe the Russians will just want a break?

Why would the army and oligarchs support someone worse than Putin? I don't see it.

Russia could be deep in a war with China in the Pacific, then a warlord would be needed, but Putin isn't that person.