Russia's Win-Win-Win Game in Ukraine
Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 7:19 am
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What would the Win-Win-Win outcome in Ukraine be for Russia and for Russia's political allies within Ukraine ?
First, the Russian areas of Ukraine, including Crimea would technically remain in Ukraine and their large numbers of pro-Russian voters would continue to have a plurality roll in choosing the Ukrainian President and the Ukrainian Parliamentary Majority ( the Ukrainian Prime Minister and Government ) of Ukraine, and,
Second, Russian troops could stay in areas of Ukraine where most Ukrainians speak Russian, as UN monitors, and they would no longer be an illegal foreign occupying force, but, instead a UN authorized "monitoring force". All legally authorized, 2014 style, to make Mr Obama and Mr. Kerry happy, by a UN Security Resolution, and,
Lastly, all changes to the national Ukrainian government that were implemented since the elected President fled. and required Presidential approval would be rolled back: the restoration of the 2004 Ukrainian constitution would be canceled, all other acts of the parliament allowed only by the restoration of the 2004 constitution would be null and void, and the pro-Russian Ukrainian constitution that replaced the 2004 constitution would be restored. The upcoming Ukrainian elections would be held under the pro-Russian Ukrainian constitution that replaced the 2004 Ukrainian constitution.
Nato countries and the UN would force these concessions on the interim government of Ukraine under the threat that if they did not agree the international community "would be unable to guarantee the Russians would not occupy large parts of Ukraine by force".
The biggest win for Russia in all this would be that many Ukrainian, Moldavian, Georgian, and Armenian citizens of the former countries of the Soviet Union would see that Putin's Russia stands by and protects it's friends in the former countries of the Soviet Union; and that Western leaders, and western countries, sell their "friends" out.
The west will be proven to be led by two faced, weak cowards, at just the moments when their friends in the former Soviet Union countries need them most.
Putin is playing the long game. Obama just wants this all to go away, as fast as possible, whatever it takes, so he can work full time on the next election in the United States.
.
What would the Win-Win-Win outcome in Ukraine be for Russia and for Russia's political allies within Ukraine ?
First, the Russian areas of Ukraine, including Crimea would technically remain in Ukraine and their large numbers of pro-Russian voters would continue to have a plurality roll in choosing the Ukrainian President and the Ukrainian Parliamentary Majority ( the Ukrainian Prime Minister and Government ) of Ukraine, and,
Second, Russian troops could stay in areas of Ukraine where most Ukrainians speak Russian, as UN monitors, and they would no longer be an illegal foreign occupying force, but, instead a UN authorized "monitoring force". All legally authorized, 2014 style, to make Mr Obama and Mr. Kerry happy, by a UN Security Resolution, and,
Lastly, all changes to the national Ukrainian government that were implemented since the elected President fled. and required Presidential approval would be rolled back: the restoration of the 2004 Ukrainian constitution would be canceled, all other acts of the parliament allowed only by the restoration of the 2004 constitution would be null and void, and the pro-Russian Ukrainian constitution that replaced the 2004 constitution would be restored. The upcoming Ukrainian elections would be held under the pro-Russian Ukrainian constitution that replaced the 2004 Ukrainian constitution.
Nato countries and the UN would force these concessions on the interim government of Ukraine under the threat that if they did not agree the international community "would be unable to guarantee the Russians would not occupy large parts of Ukraine by force".
The biggest win for Russia in all this would be that many Ukrainian, Moldavian, Georgian, and Armenian citizens of the former countries of the Soviet Union would see that Putin's Russia stands by and protects it's friends in the former countries of the Soviet Union; and that Western leaders, and western countries, sell their "friends" out.
The west will be proven to be led by two faced, weak cowards, at just the moments when their friends in the former Soviet Union countries need them most.
Putin is playing the long game. Obama just wants this all to go away, as fast as possible, whatever it takes, so he can work full time on the next election in the United States.