by NoOneImportant » Tue Feb 25, 2014 12:03 pm
Guest wrote:
The Chinese navy might not be as good as it pretends (or even itself believes). Japan and Korea have state of the art militaries. The average Japanese and Korean soldier is a fairly well educated and well trained soldier. Can the same be said of Chinese recruits? How good are China's submarines and weapon systems? Compare those systems to the what the Japanese and Koreans have. How do they really stack up? I think you overestimating China's capabilities. (Yeah, yeah, I know. Maybe I'm underestimating the Reds...)...
...Has anyone here actually been to China? I have. It's a train wreck. (On every level.) Water you can't drink. Air you can't breathe. Food you can't eat. Medication you can't trust. Police you don't even bother to call. Civil servants who just want to steal everything you have. And a judicial system that is nothing but a façade. There aren't enough women for the shrinking male population to marry. The list goes on.
All true, but there are 1.3 billion of them. To get a feel for the problem visualize, if you will, the singularly unimpressive subterranean termite - something so insignificant should present little to no problem, correct? While individually the termite is not all that impressive, put twenty or thirty thousand of them together, and any home owner has a real problem.
Another analogy might be the AK47 vs the AR15. There is little quality comparison between the two; one is polished, machined, and accurate, the other is made of stamped metal, with loose tolerances, but it fires all day, every day, rain, or shine, wet or dry, dirty or clean.
To underestimate an effective Chinese threat is a mistake. All of the issues you cited are reasons for the Chinese to look outward so that they might redirect internal discontent against an enemy of their making. The Chinese spend more for internal security than they do for defense. China's external policy of confronting its neighbors is as much about the internal survival of their communist system, as it is about the acquisition of land.
China has an enormous demographic male/female problem - they will realize, because of their one child policy, a 60 million female deficit over the upcoming decade, or two. That translates into 60 million men with no effective marriageable women - 60 million Chinese men with no hope of ever being able to wed, or procreate - that is a serious internal Chinese problem that external combat may "fix."
[quote]Guest wrote:
The Chinese navy might not be as good as it pretends (or even itself believes). Japan and Korea have state of the art militaries. The average Japanese and Korean soldier is a fairly well educated and well trained soldier. Can the same be said of Chinese recruits? How good are China's submarines and weapon systems? Compare those systems to the what the Japanese and Koreans have. How do they really stack up? I think you overestimating China's capabilities. (Yeah, yeah, I know. Maybe I'm underestimating the Reds...)...
...Has anyone here actually been to China? I have. It's a train wreck. (On every level.) Water you can't drink. Air you can't breathe. Food you can't eat. Medication you can't trust. Police you don't even bother to call. Civil servants who just want to steal everything you have. And a judicial system that is nothing but a façade. There aren't enough women for the shrinking male population to marry. The list goes on.
[/quote]
All true, but there are 1.3 billion of them. To get a feel for the problem visualize, if you will, the singularly unimpressive subterranean termite - something so insignificant should present little to no problem, correct? While individually the termite is not all that impressive, put twenty or thirty thousand of them together, and any home owner has a real problem.
Another analogy might be the AK47 vs the AR15. There is little quality comparison between the two; one is polished, machined, and accurate, the other is made of stamped metal, with loose tolerances, but it fires all day, every day, rain, or shine, wet or dry, dirty or clean.
To underestimate an effective Chinese threat is a mistake. All of the issues you cited are reasons for the Chinese to look outward so that they might redirect internal discontent against an enemy of their making. The Chinese spend more for internal security than they do for defense. China's external policy of confronting its neighbors is as much about the internal survival of their communist system, as it is about the acquisition of land.
China has an enormous demographic male/female problem - they will realize, because of their one child policy, a 60 million female deficit over the upcoming decade, or two. That translates into 60 million men with no effective marriageable women - 60 million Chinese men with no hope of ever being able to wed, or procreate - that is a serious internal Chinese problem that external combat may "fix."