Financial topics

[aedens]

In recent times, the application of Operations Research to the study of the public economy has been obvious for anyone
who understands the principles of shock testing.

By shock testing, it is found that there is a direct relationship between the availability of money flowing in an economy and the psychological outlook and response of masses of people dependent upon that availability.

http://educate-yourself.org/cn/silentwe ... ay79.shtml

[gerald]

To Higgenbotham :

All very true, -- however -- as irrational as it may seem -- from various sources -- as loony toon as you wish -- What is true-? What is real?--- We appear to be in some kind of phase shift -- as has been mentioned for several "decades", into something very different. The future has been blocked -- videos of ancient Rome have been made, -- but not the future -- interesting.

It is said -- we are immortal ( not our bodies )--and we need to deal with boredom, --- therefore --

The coming events shall be --amusing -- enjoy.

Best wishes,

gerald

[aedens]

I enjoy the comments when all they have is a pair of pliers and a screwdrivers in the so called real world. As John conveyed the cognitive dissonance
is just what it is. If you look at the trends and no where do we cover as many than here at times you have to smile about it.
If you look at the science behind some numbers you just get more out of it in time. The peak to peak trends and some quarters do repeat sentiment inflections and just because we mention a facet such as phases does not negate the spread sheet facts as price channels on some books entrys. We trade our capital here not others. Deciding whether it makes sense or not, you should start by observing what happened during past and then begin observing these phenomena and remember not all traders use a gregorian calender either in all observances to other pursuits. People will always reach into the bottom of the perpetual productivity and growth models to justify their religion they are economically married to. We all know this to be true as barrier cost increase for simple reasons in political economys.
Just as you all noted before what statist parasites do. http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?st ... nfiscation

http://victorthecleaner.wordpress.com/2 ... il-market/ review

[aedens]

We will get confirmation by the 10th. I tend to agree with his opine.

http://books.google.com/books?id=z7xLh0 ... %22&f=true
In a review of this book, Neal himself said the share price topped out in June and I agree with Neal. The other guy doesn't understand how futures markets work.
http://eh.net/book_reviews/first-crash- ... sea-bubble quote]

As the book conveys you linked "the political parties did not , however, reflect the deepest social division"
It is intent to do this since they simply do not care. http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~kass/papers/bigpic.pdf

Statisticians are now more inclined to argue about the extent to which a method succeeds in solving a data analytic problem. Much statistical
practice revolves around getting good estimates and standard errors in complicated settings where statistical uncertainty is smaller than the unquantified aggregate of many other uncertainties in scientific investigation.

Somewhere between we agree on wave theory and inductionary modeling that is Basic Orientation, Instructional Practice, and School Transformation.
That would be another risk theory and derived mathematical nonsense execise since we already know the landscape that they need to decieve the participants. How I kept the kids nuetral was test outside the public school realm independantly and the knowledge gap analysis was filled with hungry graduate student tutors. Overall the current education system failed 83% percent and they still want more money to fix it.

[aedens]

http://spot.colorado.edu/~stallard/Ice.htm Since 1/3 of most species is in the Amazon basin I consider the fate of so called mankind anyway
other than the petrol tribal wars soon to be the remnants of the last water war cults of eurasian survivors
as they are going today. Whole regions are incapable of sustaining nondeseased clusters over there.

[aedens]

Danny Ayalon, Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister [Next Meeting in June 2013 for finalization] To those with an ear.

[aedens]

Gibbons Volume IV: "Every law, either human or divine, was trampled under foot; and as long as the party was successful, its deluded followers appeared careless of private distress or public calamity."

Today the fabric tearing is not that hard to see: http://books.google.be/books?id=z_tJVjV ... milarbooks

[aedens]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-0 ... nd-day-row

checking es spillover h --- i.e ES emini and SPY ETF

[Higgenbotham]

Well, as you guys know, I think the top is in on the stock market. Or, put a better way, I am behaving as if it is by holding short with no intention to try to do another 1000 trades this month to counter any remaining up trend.

The reasons are always many for coming to a conclusion like that. Does the South Sea Bubble correlation to the moon cycles make a difference to me? Combined with other factors, I would say yes. There are probably 30-40 other factors I could list off the top of my head which I think all combine to indicate that for me (not talking about anyone else) holding short futures and sitting on it is the right strategy until something says differently. That might mean taking a bit more loss for awhile.

Among the more mundane factors, let's consider the one factor of employment. On October 5, 2007, with the S&P 6 days away from it's all time high of 1576.09, the employment report was released and came in at about 110,000 jobs if my memory is right. Meanwhile, claims had been running about 370,000 per week. As of now, with the latest data, the employment statistics as a whole are irrefutably worse than when the S&P was at a comparable level 5 years ago. If 370,000 claims are filed this week versus a comparable week in 2007, it's not the same because the layoffs are coming off a smaller job base, so are higher as a percentage. I think every piece of information contributes to an overall view of saying the stock market is more than high enough - even if the numbers are real and sustainable, which we all know they are not, but the rest of the world is pretending that they are.

What is true-? What is real?

I think as far as the stock market goes, those who have a vested interest in the status quo are trying to do exactly that - maintain the status quo in the stock index by taking it back to the all time high by any means possible, then pointing to that as if to say, see, nothing has changed.

[aedens]

The asylum wants 1620 for the sheep and out at ~1590, the print on jobs report was smoke to cool it down some.

could list off the top of my head which I think all combine to indicate that for me (not talking about anyone else) holding short futures and sitting on it is the right strategy until something says differently.

Your correct the overall issues are proxy and as Minsky correctly pointed to "effect'