Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7983
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

aedens wrote:The real American shitstorm hasn't even started yet...
I just went 100% short for the first time in about a year. All my cycles are spent so I am groping in the dark. You might remember a month or two back March 6 was mentioned as logical average and looking back at this page you mentioned March also. A lot of the various speculations that were made are matched by the dates that the various indices turned over as Hussman notes below. http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... =2&p=22232

I think this week Hussman has finally identified what can really put the top in on this market. The log periodic equation, which didn't really fit, wasn't it but these things can be. Also the S&P made a higher high on Friday but the other indices didn't. The Nasdaq sold off hard (down 42 to 2 points below the key level I had mentioned) which is indicative of tops.
As for non-confirmations, we observe, for example, that the Dow Utilities peaked on April 30, the Nikkei peaked on December 30, the Dow Industrials peaked on December 31, the Dow Euro Stoxx 50 Index peaked on January 15, the German DAX peaked on January 17, the London FTSE peaked on February 24, Russell 2000 peaked on March 4, the Nasdaq 100 peaked on March 5, the NYSE Composite peaked on March 6, the S&P 500 and Dow Transports peaked on March 7. All of these peaks may be breached, of course, but we’ve always noted that a loss of uniformity tends to precede major market declines, and this sort of action is of particular concern in the context of an overvalued, overbought, overbullish, rising-yield syndrome.

For more on such considerations, see the July 30, 2007 weekly comment Market Internals Go Negative. That comment also includes a discussion of an interesting technical warning - a double top in the Coppock Guide (sometimes called a “killer wave”) – which we observed at the 2007 peak and see again at present, for the first time since that 2007 instance.
http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc140324.htm

It's been my guess for a long time that the homebuilders might need to get smashed before this beast can be dead. It appears that happened Friday...
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While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7983
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

These 2 patterns are about as close as they can be.

The relative highs marked are:
2011: May 2, Jul 7, Jul 21
2014: Dec 31, Mar 7, Mar 21

The moon cycles match also:
2011: New Moon May 2, Full Moon July 14 (between the double top in July)
2014: New Moon January 1, Full Moon March 16 (between the double top in March)
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While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7983
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

This is what followed in 2011.
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While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7983
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

This is the big picture diagram. The vertical red lines are all exactly 32 months apart. The first line is the November 21, 2008 crash low.

I suspect the generational crash may happen between now and April 9.
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While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7983
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

If the stock market starts moving down this week, it might be wise to stand back and look at that big picture diagram. It could be hundreds of S&P points down to the first resting place, and hundreds more points after that before there is a rebound worth playing for. The 2011 crash may have been a small blip in comparison to what may be coming. I just see possibilities, that's all. This is unknown territory; nothing remotely like this has ever happened before.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Rainbows are from God.

http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.co ... vides.html

We will see if the carnage stops there so be on your toes.... Monday may be a tight window so...

http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2014/03 ... tlook.html I expect some chop also in the first mid week of April.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNzIKoAy2pk checking the usual suspects also. http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=CG+I ... G;range=1d carefull......

CORR
Last edited by aedens on Mon Mar 24, 2014 5:42 am, edited 3 times in total.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

http://www.euronews.com/2014/03/06/esto ... pposition/

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-2 ... taxes-rome

http://tarpley.net/online-books/against-oligarchy/

http://tarpley.net/online-books/against ... l-warfare/ financial warfare

On August 23, Norman (who was nursing one of his periodic nervous breakdowns in Canada) talked by telephone with Harrison of the New York Fed. Harrison asked Norman if he though that the austerity program proposed by the new British National Government were adequate. Norman replied that he believed that the austerity program was not adequate, and that any inadequate program was bound to cause trouble within a year or so. Norman recommended exploiting the current crisis to force through an economic adjustment featuring a drastic reduction in wages and in the cost of production, so as to make British goods competitive again.

No accidents in politics ever....

The worldwide shock was severe. In the words of Jackson E. Reynolds. then President of the First National Bank of New York, “when England went off gold it was like the end of the world.”

Imagine when it goes back on gold balance of payment sdr just maybe.

http://solari.com/blog/sir-james-goldsm ... 4-warning/ fundamental needs of the economy as millions are crushed again... bulldozed to induced poverty piles
===================================================================================================================
http://www.scribd.com/doc/66281284/Frbn ... -Media-Rfp from the sea of peoples
The market bribe will keep the neo pagans content.
The agenda to eliminate "fringe" groups seems to be progressing nicely.
Now the charade of a two party system is over things will kick into high gear.
Cloward-Pliven plan, Phase II.
Phase I - breed 2-3 generations of dependent Democrats in your inner cities. When they reach 50% of the voters, you can take over all 3 branches of government. check
Phase II - politicize health care delivery, kill off all non-Democrats by denying health care. No bullets in the police station basement needed. check
Phase III - Socialist Utopia. check
Prove it wrong, the total surveillance society is one way street. You are to young, or to stupid to deny this.
===================================================================================================================

The only way the economy can heal is through the market. However painful the healing process, only the market can bring about full recovery. Government cannot do it. Friedrich Hayek offered a remarkable explanation of this in The Fatal Conceit. He wrote: “The creation of wealth is not simply a physical process and cannot be explained by a chain of cause and effect. It is determined not by objective physical facts known to any one mind but by the separate, differing, information of millions, which is precipitated in prices that serve to guide further decisions.” In other words, wealth is created by the market. Hayek further warned: if you do not trust the market, then you no longer believe in freedom or capitalism. In that event you are a socialist on the road to serfdom.

Economist are just paid payroll optimists of deceit. As we noted the 10 zones will rise.
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... ten#p15825 not much needs to be changed on that time line....

Daniel 7:23-25, "He gave me this explanation: 'The fourth beast is a fourth kingdom that will appear on earth. It will be different from all the other kingdoms and will devour the whole earth, trampling it down and crushing it. The ten horns are ten kings who will come from this kingdom. After them another king will arise, different from the earlier ones; he will subdue three kings. He will speak against the Most High and oppress his saints and try to change the set times and the laws. The saints will be handed over to him for a time, times and half a time.

Only one knows what is, and that is enough for me.
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aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

The examples are legion. The economic freedom index is going in the opposite direction for Russia and the United States.
This all started when Ms. Clinton yelled reset button as NATO ran up and missiled up the borders.
If we are not vaporised the facts will come out about takeovers on many levels if the inbreds
asserting political ideologies do not go hot.

CAUSE A NEW IRON CURTAIN TO FALL ON EUROPE
And we have seen nothing of what Washington and Brussels would be capable of in this area. The Ukrainian crisis was probably triggered for no other reason than, ultimately, to force us to buy US shale gas (13), to sign the TTIP (without which the former can’t be sold in Europe (14)) and to justify a renewed increase of American-NATO military budgets (15) thanks to the restarting of a Cold War between the West and emerging nations (except for this detail that it’s the West which will be on the wrong side of the Iron Curtain this time).

http://www.leap2020.eu/GEAB-N-83-is-ava ... 15801.html

Globalist maniacs are using the States, and Putin is no Angel but the German banks will collapse and the EU will blame them. The Bear wants free markets as the rhetoric heats up.

Why are we supporting neo nazis. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30LQnDL6i_Y
as others pay the slave tax jizya or jizyah a the per capita tax.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-2 ... sdjpy-ramp

One more day they haven't lost control.

You may begin buying stawks.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCsm5m89SVM conditioning the herd for slaughter.

It ended in 2010 and the Calvary is not coming to save you.
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Reality Check
Posts: 1441
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2011 6:07 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Reality Check »

aedens wrote:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCsm5m89SVM conditioning the herd for slaughter.

It ended in 2010 and the Calvary is not coming to save you.
This guy is predicting intentional hyperinflation ( relative to the dollar ) and the U.S. voluntarily replacing the U.S. controlled FED with an internationally controlled IMF board where the countries of Russia and China having a veto.

Where is Vince to weigh in on this one?
Last edited by Reality Check on Tue Mar 25, 2014 5:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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