Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aedens
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Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Never underestimate how much shit is in the stables and why it was produced as Hercules went to King Augeas, and without telling anything
about Eurystheus, said that he would clean out the stables in one day, if Augeas would give him a tenth of his fine cattle.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/ ... story.html

Taxpayers indeed are the dumbest cattle ever produced in this day.

I still agree on the $1400.00 window we noted around Jan 21, 2014 that stalled at ~$1343 as do you H but it fell short when we posited that view as we seen. How was a given, since that hoof was sticking out of Reagans pile of it with the side show of Triffin. As we also noted back then it went up the food chain as the cloistered butchers and maniacs play paddywack on the taxpayers dole to the actual problem of events.
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Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Joseph Tainter wrote:Peer polities [i.e., groups of mutually competing states] tend to undergo long periods of upwardly spiraling competitive costs, and downward marginal returns. This is terminated finally by domination of one and acquisition of a new energy subsidy (as in Republican Rome and Warring States China), or by mutual collapse (as among the Mycenaeans and the Maya). Collapse, if and when it comes again, will this time be global. No longer can any individual nation collapse. World civilization will disintegrate as a whole. Competitors who evolve as peers collapse in like manner.
I believe Tainter is correct and that is why there will be no US stock market surge as Europe and Japan collapse. One Dark Age theorist has stated that the world economy has always been global and there is nothing new here. I would say that today's coordinated global electronic interventions demonstrate that the financial system is now truly global and will collapse slowly at first, then all at once. When the collapse gets rolling, there will be no capital flows from one country or set of countries to bolster the market in the US until late 2015, as Armstrong claims. Maybe for a few days, and that is it.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
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Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

No doubt about the effect we seen before even in our Western view as FDR and Harry White wanted from commodity flows to starving people away from internalized retards. Same thing we read on clay tablets from Summer. Stupid is unrepairable at any juncture of time since they educated students to be just that in it.

While the haves and the have-nots struggle over the division of existing wealth, it is the business of the State to improve itself at the expense of both; it picks up the marbles while the boys are fighting. That has been the story of men in organized society since the beginning.

"The New World Order will have to be built from the bottom up rather than from the top down ... but an end run on national sovereignty, eroding it piece by piece will accomplish much more than the old-fashioned frontal assault."
-- Richard Gardner - Council on Foreign Relations Journal, April 1974, Page 558
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Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote:The 1290 day loss of faith cycle I proposed a few weeks back may be starting to take hold in Japan. This is from my notes: "Katrina (August 28, 2005) to the Lehman collapse of September 15, 2008 is 1114 calendar days. Fukushima plus 1114 calendar days is March 29, 2014. Look for a collapse in Japan to begin at that point." I think of this as more of a guideline or something to watch for than a prediction. After the Chernobyl accident, a similar loss of faith happened in the USSR but there was no comparable financial system to measure a disturbance. We only know that enough faith was lost that the Berlin Wall was torn down about 1290 days after the Chernobyl accident. So the second area I will be watching is, if the financial system in Japan begins to collapse this Spring, for some type of civil commotion or loss of faith in government to take hold in Japan in the second half of the year. Or perhaps they will try to head that off by going to war with China.
It seems like things are kind of moving along in this direction, slowly. I marked March 29 on this chart of the Nikkei.
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Though Japan is leading the mess down slowly, it can be seen that the US market is moving in lockstep with Japan, which indicates that it may also collapse in lockstep.
Last edited by Higgenbotham on Sat May 17, 2014 10:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

We will see what reg t margin does this week as it appeared to adjust last week into fridays close.
I expect sidways and window dressing into June close. I expect the mexican market and banks there to drain some
as the DOJ attacked the local inflow here to local banks "now legal" weed cash to increase. What I mean the dope weed price took a
400 percent hit and we remember here what happened in the late 70's to early 80's. The black ops three letter alpha bite soup agencys are
writhing in terror and gnashing of teeth over the lost drug cash cows. At least the Russ poisoned the well in the motherland
to ride thenselved of the plague since they just simply die as there flesh rots off there bones with Desomorphine addicts.
Last edited by aedens on Sun May 18, 2014 3:54 am, edited 2 times in total.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

NIKKEI.gif
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While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Higgenbotham
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Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

aedens wrote:I expect sideays and window dressing into June.
I still expect up into about May 21, then the collapse to start after that. I'm still watching for the Nikkei to break 14,000 and see what happens then. I think Friday's rally had to do with housing starts; it moved the market a lot early morning. Then I think the rally faded out for awhile due to residual from Tepper's comments, where some had a epiphany and said, maybe that guy is right, what the hell am I doing so long. I couldn't see any other reason for the market to be down 40 points versus 20 given the inputs. My inputs were the super low VIX at the Wednesday close and the activity in the credit markets indicating that it was mainly Tepper's Wednesday night comments that drove the market activity.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

I hear that 21st window thought and the context it is given in. On that effect I increased my short ratio as noted
to duck and cover for now. I did increase two positions after the 30 day window for the analyst effect I have watched
on watch positions since they are predictable for the most part. I watch the DCF very close now. Given the holiday that
should factor in true H. Things are very edgy and maybe the reg t margin boost was warranted early to lets say extract
some facts on direction of colors to actual definition. Since oil did not tank Putinville may be receptive to trade flows but
that is outside my area.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 920#p24021

I think the capital Citys are to corupted to change the evil they are. He was right when he said stop praying, they are sealed.
Last edited by aedens on Sat May 17, 2014 11:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Higgenbotham
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Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

aedens wrote:I hear that 21st window thought and the context it is given in.
I'm worried it is getting a little too popular. But since nothing has gone majorly wrong for 5 years (besides Fukushima) it seems like an inevitable end point and even the Fed seems to think they may have done too good of a job. It seems as if the flow is set to head back downhill and the Fed wants to appear to be on the right side of the inevitable.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
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