Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Higgenbotham wrote:I think if/when a pandemic happens they will let it drop. Reason being, they can say, "It was out of our hands. We could not stop people from panicking over this pandemic." They know they've created an unsustainable bubble. A pandemic gives them an excuse to let the air come out. The $64 trillion dollar question is would they create a pandemic on purpose or not put out the resources to stop one to give themselves an out before the market drops from some other cause that they could get blamed for? My answer is yes.
t posted the numbers on some Probability events, interesting until you consider only five perecent is left in the sistern for some areas.
Log three effects rather care less about the Probability of 0.01%.
Until then plantation economic for the masses. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-eifPUv ... A&index=12
Meanwhile on the Island of the Green-Eyed Tribe, blue eyes are taboo. ;-/

"the EU will crush, and kill, and destroy nation state democracy," have gone unheeded... Nigel Farage
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gerald
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Joined: Sat May 02, 2009 10:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by gerald »

John wrote:

Just a suggestion: I was able to read the ZeroHedge link that you
posted earlier, but I can't read the WSJ link because I don't have a
WSJ subscription.
John, to get around the WSJ subscription only issue, go to aedens link, click on the link, copy the headline, and put the headline into Google search. you should be able to then read the article. I just did.
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

gerald wrote:
John wrote:

Just a suggestion: I was able to read the ZeroHedge link that you
posted earlier, but I can't read the WSJ link because I don't have a
WSJ subscription.
John, to get around the WSJ subscription only issue, go to aedens link, click on the link, copy the headline, and put the headline into Google search. you should be able to then read the article. I just did.
Doesn't work for me.
aedens
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Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

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John
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

John wrote:Doesn't work for me.
I take it back. I tried it a different way and it did work for me.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Long the crack spread
Buy $10,000 of UHN
Buy $20,000 of UGA
Sell $30,000 of USO

3:2:1 ratio.

If you think the spread is going down .

Sell $10,000 of UHN
Sell $20,000 of UGA
Buy $30,000 of USO

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/ ... dbook.html

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-02-1 ... s-next-oil

I smell lighter fluid, we cautioned decending triangle. Will recheck indices ratio's rsi. stamp Jan 31, 2015

current ratio no smoothing 45.77 -- bias down peak jun172013

http://www.discoveryinvesting.com/blog/ ... his-before ty t

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MxB8Z7GL6yc Never confuse spot price with long term value.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

jevons https://hbr.org/2015/03/vision-statemen ... 2g17t20w15

1803: Say - Treatise on Political Economy
1808: Fourier - The Social Destiny of Man
1813: Owen - New View of Society
1817: Ricardo - Principles of Political Economy and Taxation
1819: Sismondi - Nouveaux Principes d'economie politique
1844-77: Walras - Elements of Pure Economics
1845: Engels - Condition of the Working Class in England
1846: Proudhon - Philosophy of Poverty
1847: Considérant - Principe du socialisme
1848: Mill, J. S. - Principles of Political Economy
1848: Marx/Engels - Communist Manifesto
1859: Mill - On Liberty
1862: Spencer - First Principles
1865: Bakunin - Revolutionary Catechism
1867: Marx - Capital (Vol. 1)
1869: Mill - The Subjection of Women
1871: Jevons - The Theory of Political Economy

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly
Jevons paradox and the socioeconomics bias theater.
As we warned the left indicates its only actual attribute is consuming fixed capital as we monitor noske moments.

The objective isn't to control the conflict, it's to control the debt that the conflict produces.
You see, the real value of a conflict, the true value, is in the debt that it creates. You control the debt, you control everything.

If you want to peel the ethical onion we have to start here that moral nihilism is distinct from moral relativism, which does allow a moral statements to be true or false in a non-objective sense, but does not assign any static truth to values of a moral statements, and of course moral universalism, which holds moral statements to be objectively true or false. Insofar as only true statements can be known, moral nihilism implies moral skepticism. This translates to goal seeking and modeling for contrived group think.

As the saying goes be so Independant the threat cannot be denied and the opportunity limiteless. The human conditions is a process of understanding the fact that the word meaning of natural economy has a older definition. As Athens understood thats fine until they come over over the Hill.

Avoid idiots "if possible in the spirit of this age" at all costs because they always reveal the true price of the decrepid middle men of the
jagged pills they can be.
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Middle class Americans are carrying an average debt load of $84,000, an increase of 161% from 1992

t notes the Grexit effect may uncoil to a meltup. I noted options are relaxing somewhat. Of course we keep
the usual suspects in view. ---> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-02-2 ... -out-there

http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc150216.htm

Repressionary asset stripper regimes as the NEOtools que up for the desolations boulevard to the
formless asymmetric solution.

The objective isn't to control the conflict, it's to control the debt that the conflict produces.
You see, the real value of a conflict, the true value, is in the debt that it creates. You control the debt, you control everything.

http://www.naij.com/388389-boko-haram-k ... llage.html
http://www.naij.com/387487-more-than-30 ... nguno.html

Broken glass and debt, but hurt not thou the oil and the wine.
http://vixandmore.blogspot.co.at/2015/0 ... -2014.html
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

•DENMARK'S CENTRAL BANK WILLING TO USE CAPITAL CONTROLS IF NECESSARY TO DEFEND DKK PEG

This has sparked the biggest drop in DKK against EUR since 2001 and as SEB chief strategist Carl Hammer exclaimed, "currency markets are extremely nervous."

Progressives are in charge in the land of the Danes.....gonna squeeze the shit out of their people for the sake of criminal bankers who screwed up......it's the bloody progressive way, the way of criminality and murder.

The progressive end game is always death, death of millions. Power kills, and government kills more than any other.
http://www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/MURDER.HTM
FOAD progressive murdering scum. We are truly fucked, not a goddamn constitutional conservative in sight.
Well thats another way to see it also....

"he’d have more economists at the central bank working on the issue if he were still there, adding this would be a “productive”

Any society that apathetically stands by as one President after the other tramples on the Constitution will be subject to a litany of increasingly tyrannical, and even insane, leaders. If you still had any doubt, today we learn that Jeb Bush is actively surrounding himself with the exact same people who under the George W. Bush administration, masterminded the terrible tragedy known as the Iraq war.

So, napalm and pb will foster growth with daisy cutters for the jagged pills mentats. They where correct that first whom the Gods grow angry the rest lobby. We got a scdo for that.

Since 2012 a sophisticated but bizarre online neo-fascist movement has been growing fast. It's called "The Dark Enlightenment". Its modus operandi is well suited to a digital society. Supporters are dotted all over the world, connected via a handful of blogs and chat rooms. Its adherents are clever, angry white men patiently awaiting the collapse of civilisation, and a return to some kind of futuristic, ethno-centric feudalism, says Jamie Bartlett in this article, Meet The Dark Enlightenment: sophisticated neo-fascism that's spreading fast on the net, at The Telegraph.

So the says the other easter island ideologue on the Island of the Green-Eyed Tribe, blue eyes are taboo Noski water carrier.

Rule number 1 to parlance speak > Sidetrack opponents with name calling and ridicule … Associate opponents with unpopular titles such as “kooks”, “right-wing”, “liberal”, “left-wing”, “terrorists”, “conspiracy buffs”, “radicals”, “militia”, “racists”, “religious fanatics”, “sexual deviates”, and so forth. This makes others shrink from support out of fear of gaining the same label, and you avoid dealing with issues.

Meanwhile:

We can underpin it with Klingberg and his cycle of political deviats. Doctor Quigley seen it early just saying.

Impossible to move the ball down the field now. Tactical consolidation as we warned from day one to preserve capital to avoid
the carnage of the FSA consuming fixed capital. The issue is not emerging markets but the parable of the four soils.

Dietrich was right. Cheap faith, and the actual cost of it.

Anchoring
Underreact
Bubbles and crashes
Sudden acceleration in the market deterioration

"Psychologists have documented that when people make quantitative estimates, their estimates may be heavily influenced by previous values of the item. For example, it is not an accident that a used car salesman always starts negotiating with a high price and then works down. The salesman is trying to get the consumer anchored on the high price so that when he offers a lower price, the consumer will estimate that the lower price represents a good value. Anchoring can cause investors to underreact to new information."
"It is important to note that different heuristics (anchoring and overconfidence) cause underreaction and the conditions under which investors are vulnerable to these heuristics are different from the conditions that cause investors to be vulnerable to overreaction."
"If the analysts are overconfident and also anchored to their most recent estimate, they may be reluctant to give as much weight as they should to the information in the current earnings announcement and not raise their estimate."
"Again, it is important to note that analysts are unlikely to be vulnerable to the heuristics biases associated with anchoring and overconfidence, except under unusual conditions."
Thus, the keys to exploiting the true source of the earnings surprise alpha are determining under what conditions analysts are likely to be overconfident and anchored, and whether the earnings change associated with the surprise is permanent in nature.
"Underreaction is likely due to biases associated with the overconfidence and anchoring heuristics and may be the source of the alpha for most momentum and earnings surprise strategies." Fuller (2000)
aedens
Posts: 5211
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

http://psycnet.apa.org/journals/psp/87/3/327/

Jevons paradox and the socioeconomics bias theater.
Often a "nominal" value is "de facto" rather than an exact, typical, or average measurement.
As they state "the two series cross in 2009, reflecting the fact that the real dollar series is based on 2009 prices"
And before the corrosive effect of inflation and recessionary policies of design, not to control but to destroy others
as FDR told us no accidents.

The planed liquidation rate of taxpayers sums it better. Business will automate until they leave or go bankrupt.
I have watched real time for over three decades. The relentless focus on maintaining margins continues, even though
profit and revenue have never been higher.

search.php?keywords=jevons&t=2&sf=msgonly
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/paym/t2/html/index.en.html

The World Order adopted the Hegelian dialectic, the dialectic of materialism, which regards the World as Power, and the World as Reality. It denies all other powers and all other realities. It functions on the principle of thesis, antithesis and a synthesis which results when the thesis and antithesis are thrown against each other for a predetermined outcome.
The notion became established that the state is no longer to be regarded as the importunate poor relation and fobbed off grudgingly with a tithe, but that it is entitle to dispose of the capital and income of all its members at its own free will. Rathenau’s dictum was enacted into law by the far-reaching and multi-billion entitlement programs of Lyndon B. Johnson’s Great Society, when he persuaded Congress to levy against all of the capital and income of the American people placing it at his disposal to achieve World Order political goals, and finally forcing the nation to the verge of bankruptcy. Eustace Mullins

Rathenau wrote “In Days to Come”, 1921,

“No part of the world is now closed to us. No Material tasks are beyond our powers. All the treasures of earth are within our grasp. No thought remains hidden. Every undertaking can be put to the task and realized. The fertilizing distribution of the possessions of the world is our task. We must discover the force that will effect and up and down movement of the masses.”

This is the portion of them that spoil us and the lot of them that rob us.”–ISAIAH 17:14.
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