Financial topics

[aeden]

I am the true vine, and My Father is the keeper of the vineyard. He cuts off every branch in Me that bears no fruit, and every branch that does bear fruit, He prunes to make it even more fruitful. You are already clean because of the word I have spoken to you. Remain in Me, and I will remain in you. Just as no branch can bear fruit by itself unless it remains in the vine, neither can you bear fruit unless you remain in Me.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zq0Yc2SwLnA

https://history.state.gov/milestones/19 ... curity-act

Mr. Pompeo and the Office will not compromise to the Mueller firewall. That would be time.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/che ... 2b53ae2795

His file speaks for itself. Robert Mueller actual mission may surprize us. No clue.

The Allegory of the Cave performances are not legendary.
Plato is trying to make us understand that we see shadows and we think they are the real thing.
Thus, the main theme of the allegory is that we are ignorant about the true nature of reality.

God is not mocked by the time frame of our minute condition.

The Office has our support.

[aeden]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qJpo4YHyad0 certain type of loans

and the self important
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLqHv0xgOlc
the rest will be removed

The compound consists of sixteen items - plots of land, homes and buildings more than 880 million rubles ($13.9 million) worth.
Earlier, TASS reported that the defendants had disagreed with the lower instance court’s ruling and filed an appeal at the St. Petersburg city court. In particular, they argued that substantive law had been violated and anti-extremist law sanctions were used against them without a reason.
Russia’s Supreme Court had declared Jehovah’s Witnesses an extremist organization and outlawed its activity in Russia.
http://tass.com/


Former FBI director James Comey, who was fired, said during a question and answer session that there is no deep state right before describing the existence of the deep state perfectly. He simply called it a “deep culture” instead.

Taxpayers are clueless about here, or basically elsewhere.

Opposition leader Alexei Navalny has published a video investigation claiming that Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska acted as a messenger between U.S. President Donald Trump’s ex-campaign chief Paul Manafort and a top Kremlin foreign policy official.

old news
manafort-posesta-dnc
Manafort-Tony Podesta-Hillary Clinton-
https://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/p ... i-scandals

https://www.buzzfeed.com/anthonycormier ... oyqzNL4lXQ

https://www.libertarianinstitute.org/sc ... ed-russia/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... _hDyx-WX08

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8syPt8oHCr8 prove the spirits

[aeden]

https://bombardsbodylanguage.com/2018/0 ... ret-baier/

omission pays one trillion per year

[Higgenbotham]

Over the past few weeks, some of my themes have been:

• Anybody who has been playing the overvalued stock and associated markets of the past 2+ decades is gambling, not investing, whether they want to admit it or not
• Less than 1% of all gamblers can beat the market averages (and I am NOT part of that 1%)

So let's examine how that has worked out since March 28, when talk of a crash was rampant. On that day, I said I didn't want to gamble big money on a crash, but would try to bootstrap my futures account to take advantage of a possible crash.

Since the close on March 28, the S&P 500 index is up 2.4%.

As posted here, my futures account had $4,611 on March 28, at which time I noted the attempt to bootstrap into a crash would likely fail (whether the market crashed or not). That attempt did in fact fail. My futures account now has $4,710 in it and incurred a substantial loss yesterday when I pressed my position near the low looking for a crash.



After losing even more money early in the day today, I made that loss back because at that point anybody could see the market was going to continue higher.

In addition to that (to my surprise it's this good) my stock trading account is up 0.81% over that time period (March 28 to the present), lagging the S&P 500 index by 3-fold.

[Higgenbotham]

This also helps to answer the question of being lucky versus smart. A lot of people who make a lucky hit in the markets are considered to be smart. Reading the forum regularly over the past few months, it could be seen that I wasn't bearish until January, sold short near the January and March highs with pretty good size, then got our near the low. And due to that, I've also beaten the market over the past 12 months, roughly doubling the performance of the S&P 500 (across all my accounts). But I was unable to beat the market since then or even come close, despite considerable effort. Before the most recent 12 months, the last year I beat the market was in 2008, when the market was down about 40% and I was up about 5%.

[Higgenbotham]

Warren Buffet said in an interview this morning that he is expecting record attendance at Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting tomorrow. He said the previous record attendance of 42,000 was at the 50th anniversary annual meeting of the company a few years ago (2015). I will be looking at record attendance, if it does indeed happen, as another possible indicator of a stock market top occurring this year.

More information on this topic:

http://lexch.com/news/statewide/live-st ... 5cb90.html

Today's interview where he said 42,000:

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/05/04/b ... view-.html

[Higgenbotham]

http://www.businessinsider.com/how-berk ... ent-2018-4

The big picture subtitle of this article could be:

"How the August 15, 1971 Dissolution of Bretton Woods Set Off A Gambling Mania That Continues To This Day"

How Warren Buffett's annual Q&A meetings exploded to become a must-go extravaganza for Berkshire Hathaway shareholders around the world

At the first meeting in 1973, Buffett and other shareholders huddled in an employee lunchroom at National Indemnity, an Omaha-based insurance company that Buffett acquired in 1967. To avoid interrupters such as people who wanted to get coffee, they taped a simple sign on the door that said "Meeting in Progress."

[John]

> Warren Buffet said in an interview this morning that he is
> expecting record attendance at Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting
> tomorrow. He said the previous record attendance of 42,000 was at
> the 50th anniversary annual meeting of the company a few years ago
> (2015). I will be looking at record attendance, if it does indeed
> happen, as another possible indicator of a stock market top
> occurring this year.

I don't see the connection. Why would an increase in attendance at
the Berkshire carnival on its 50th anniversary mean a market top this
year, as opposed to next month or next year? If there's no increase
in attendance, does that mean that there won't be a market top this
year, and the market will keep going up?

[Higgenbotham]

I don't see the connection. Why would an increase in attendance at
the Berkshire carnival on its 50th anniversary mean a market top this
year, as opposed to next month or next year? If there's no increase
in attendance, does that mean that there won't be a market top this
year, and the market will keep going up?

"If there's no increase in attendance, does that mean that there won't be a market top this year, and the market will keep going up?"

I think no increase in attendance makes the possibility that the market will top later this year or after that more likely.

It's often been discussed that a sign of the 1929 top was shoe shine boys giving stock tips and lots of small margin accounts. I think the equivalent of that was seen in 2000. In 2007 it was flipping condos and houses. I think enthusiasm about this high and final blowout could manifest in one of two ways since wealth is more concentrated and stock ownership more narrow. In January, I read there was a rash of people posting snips on social media showing their retirement accounts had topped $1 million. I saw that as a possible sign of a top. A possible sign things could get even bigger would be a blowout extravaganza in Omaha tomorrow with breathless excitement evident in the Q & A, media coverage, etc. Another possible sign would be a stock market app that takes off among the Millennials similar to the Pokemon Go phenomenon.

"Why would an increase in attendance at the Berkshire carnival on its 50th anniversary mean a market top this year, as opposed to next month or next year?"

If we see a blowout extravaganza tomorrow that level of excitement will be difficult to sustain for another year.


Generally speaking, we saw today that Buffett's comment that he bought 75 million shares of Apple in the first quarter appeared to trigger lots of animal spirits today, along with a record close in Apple stock, which had languished in a trading range for several months.

To paraphrase aeden, I don't think that was an accident.

[aeden]

http://g-2.space/

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/com ... t_the_dnc/