Financial topics

[aeden]

I don't see the connection. Why would an increase in attendance at
the Berkshire carnival on its 50th anniversary mean a market top this
year, as opposed to next month or next year? If there's no increase
in attendance, does that mean that there won't be a market top this
year, and the market will keep going up?

Generally speaking, we saw today that Buffett's comment that he bought 75 million shares of Apple in the first quarter appeared to trigger lots of animal spirits today, along with a record close in Apple stock, which had languished in a trading range for several months.

To paraphrase aeden, I don't think that was an accident.

random forest algo model will predict cluster failure
cannot see another outlier effect to redirect this outcome H
it does not mean it does not exist
it means we cannot see given data filtered fragility
what is meant the complexity is known to gss failure
as gd predict overlapping failures in percentages of
data interpretation.

to simplify it further the interlineated log function is already ignored

the oracle also stated recording standards already shifted dcf output

I don't think that was ans accident.

You seen it also....

[aeden]

I don't see the connection. Why would an increase in attendance at
the Berkshire carnival on its 50th anniversary mean a market top this
year, as opposed to next month or next year? If there's no increase
in attendance, does that mean that there won't be a market top this
year, and the market will keep going up?

Generally speaking, we saw today that Buffett's comment that he bought 75 million shares of Apple in the first quarter appeared to trigger lots of animal spirits today, along with a record close in Apple stock, which had languished in a trading range for several months.

To paraphrase aeden, I don't think that was an accident.

random forest algo model will predict cluster failure bias
cannot see another outlier effect to redirect this outcome H
it does not mean it does not exist
it means we cannot see given data filtered fragility
what is meant the complexity is known to gss failure
as gd predict overlapping failures in percentages of
data interpretation.

to simplify it further the interlineated log function is already ignored
the oracle also stated recording standards already shifted dcf output
I don't think that was an accident.

You seen it also....

hedonic quality adjustment so they can sort it for now would suffice

Also from the toolbox malignant pseudoidentification.
The process by which the agency consciously imitates or simulates a certain behavior to foster the targets identification with him/her, thus increasing the targets vulnerability to exploitation. On a more subtle level, the agency will simulate affects and mannerisms of the target which promotes identification via mirroring and feelings of "twinship". It is not unheard of for targets, enamored by the perceived helpfulness and competence of a good agent, to find themselves considering ethical violations and perhaps, even illegal behavior, in the service of their target/handler agency.
The other forty eight rules apply to needs analysis as such.

http://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/index.php

[Higgenbotham]

"I was working at a financial firm in New York City with a bunch of very smart people, and I had a brilliant boss that I much admired," recalled Bezos in a commencement speech he gave at his alma mater, Princeton, in 2010. "I went to my boss and told him I wanted to start a company selling books on the Internet. He took me on a long walk in Central Park, listened carefully to me, and finally said, 'That sounds like a really good idea, but it would be an even better idea for someone who didn't already have a good job.'"

Bezos did think about the decision carefully.

"That logic made some sense to me, and he convinced me to think about it for 48 hours before making a final decision. Seen in that light, it really was a difficult choice, but ultimately, I decided I had to give it a shot," said Bezos in his speech.

"I didn't think I'd regret trying and failing. And I suspected I would always be haunted by a decision to not try at all," he explained. So he "took the less safe path to follow my passion, and I'm proud of that choice," he said.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/02/jeff-be ... lainternal

It's hard to overestimate the extent to which the "lottery economy" is promoted. The media always wants to interview the rare people who have won in the "lottery economy" instead of the multitudes who have lost. Why doesn't the media venture into the miles of homeless tents and interview a few dozen who ended up homeless after they put their last nickel into a failed venture?

[John]

> https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/02/jeff-be ... at-80.html

> It's hard to overestimate the extent to which the "lottery
> economy" is promoted. The media always wants to interview the rare
> people who have won in the "lottery economy" instead of the
> multitudes who have lost. Why doesn't the media venture into the
> miles of homeless tents and interview a few dozen who ended up
> homeless after they put their last nickel into a failed
> venture?

Everything today is overwhelmed by politics. Bezos hates Trump
so he gets quoted. The multitudes in homeless tents would be
blamed on the Obama administration, so they're ignored. As soon
as people are in homeless tents because of a Trump policy, then
we'll hear about them.

By the way, I posted something about EMP strikes and farming
for Trevor in the Nuclear Winter thread.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 505#p39505

If you have any insight, feel free to contribute.

[aeden]

You covered the yellow cake issue.

Even by the extremely low to nonexistent standards of today's journalists and today's politicians, the statements made about the Iraq war on a daily basis are abysmally ignorant, saying that it was a catastrophe and the worst war in American history and other idiotic things. Actually, it's the people who opposed the Iraq war in 2003 who owe the world an apology, since they were unwilling to stop Saddam Hussein from using WMDs to kill thousands of people.

Iran already stated only idiots do not have them.

So by doing Iran a purported favor we are still satans little helper as Iraq killed almost a 1 million Iranians.
I guess it's time to print the pictures of iranian children running over the minefields to clear the way for the ground troops.

We spent blood and treasure for stalled pipelines projects.

[Higgenbotham]

Everything today is overwhelmed by politics. Bezos hates Trump
so he gets quoted. The multitudes in homeless tents would be
blamed on the Obama administration, so they're ignored. As soon
as people are in homeless tents because of a Trump policy, then
we'll hear about them.

I hadn't put it through that lens, but it does seem to correlate.

For example Buffett, a known Democrat and Hillary supporter, routinely gets asked leading questions designed to slam Trump's decisions. This weekend the media took it further, asking Buffett to "rate Trump" to which Buffett replied rather brusquely "I'm not going to rate the President". Buffett also stated this weekend that it is wrong for investors to consider politics when investing or to try to impose their political will on companies they invest in. He was referring specifically to gun manufacturers.

[Higgenbotham]

https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/86 ... at-80.html

Bezos' mother was 17 and unmarried when she gave birth to him. If the media want to carry the promotion of the lottery economy circus further, they can promote the idea of more 17 year old girls getting knocked up because maybe one will get lucky and give birth to "the next Jeff Bezos". After all, that might be the best way to get a secure retirement.

[Higgenbotham]

Buffett on investing in NRA-affiliated companies: 'I do not believe in imposing my political opinions on the activities of our businesses'

Buffett on socially responsible investing: I don't believe in imposing my political opinions on Berkshire investments

When posed with a question about investing in companies that support controversial organizations such as the NRA, Big Tobacco and other politically-charged entities, Buffet took a very clear stance on his belief that one's personal beliefs do not necessarily need to correlate with that of the company which they represent:

"I don’t think I’m speaking for Berkshire, I’m speaking as a private citizen. [Berkshire Hathaway has] never made a political contribution and I don’t go to our suppliers or do anything of that sort … I do not believe in imposing my political opinions on the activities of our businesses. I think if you get into what businesses are pure and which are not pure, it is very difficult to make that call."

https://www.yahoo.com/news/buffett-inve ... 07853.html

[Higgenbotham]

I didn't see anything out of Omaha this weekend that gave any insight into more closely pinpointing when a stock market top may take place.

[aeden]

I didn't see anything out of Omaha this weekend that gave any insight into more closely pinpointing when a stock market top may take place.

https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/DXY:CUR
The oracle was told to report and criticized the new accounting rule he said would “severely distort” the company’s
future net-income figures and render its bottom line “useless” for analytical purposes.

The market understood that as did Powell to leave rates unchanged for now.

It will not matter.

The arithmetic makes it plain that inflation is a far more devastating tax than anything that has been enacted by our legislatures.
The inflation tax has a fantastic ability to simply consume capital. ... If you feel you can dance in and out of securities in a way that defeats the inflation tax, I would like to be your broker — but not your partner." wb

The period we are in is as we noted as the warm up to 1974 in my view also.
This “cost-push” inflation also got passed through the chain of production into higher retail prices.
We already noted that here also.

Good luck on capital purchases since the untech as we say will produce enough to survive as the overhead consumes the closed loop
over head monopolies. As we know point blank the untax is to counter the decline to stabilize. The current oil price tax is the precursor
to the actual decline of net working capital.

Non tech tractor have doubled. We just sold a spare at low premium since we are not rude to customers.
When the tornado annihilated us they got on a school bus and pulled every nail and stacked evey board
and only took a thank you. Our future contracts are a handshake for decades.

Our accountant told us red is only returns for ag seen and guys are past pissed off being shut down for days for a sensor failure.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Ze3qnBpyZs