Generational Dynamics World View News

[John]

** 6-Mar-2019 Rebuilding of North Korea missile site may signal collapse of charm offensive

New satellite imagery shows that North Korea has begun a rapid
rebuilding of the Sohae Launch Facility, used for testing long-range
ballistic missiles.

• Sohae Launch Facility in North Korea, March 2, 2019

The Sohae facility has been inactive since August 2018, when North
Korea committed to dismantle it in order to show "prove" that it was
denuclearizing. North Korea demanded a reduction in sanctions in
exchange. The US agreed to temporarily end large military drills with
South Korea, and has recently extended that to a permanent ban, after
the Hanoi summit ended in failure. At the same time, the US demanded
from North Korea a list of all nuclear and missile development sites,
and a timeline to dismantle all of them.

As with many issues in politics and geopolitics, there's a grinding
logic that means that a problem is insoluble -- not that politicians
haven't thought of a solution, but rather that no solution exists. In
the case of North Korea, denuclearization will never occur.
Therefore, the mutual charm offensive between Donald Trump and Kim
Jong-un had to collapse in disaster at some point. The logic is
inescapable.

So the question is not IF the charm offensive collapse will occur, but
WHEN, and that time may be now. Rebuilding the missile test site
is a clear statement that even the symbolic gestures that have
characterized the charm offensive will come to an end.

U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton warned North Korea it must
be willing to completely give up its nuclear weapons program or
perhaps face even tougher sanctions.

If they’re not willing to do it, President Trump has been very
clear they’re not getting relief from the crushing economic
sanctions that have been imposed on them. And we’ll look at
ramping those sanctions up, in fact.

In December, the US announced new sanctions against three senior North
Korean officials for for human rights abuses and censorship in the
country. The new sanctions were in honor of the Otto Warmbier, the
22-year-old American college student who died after being released
from North Korean custody in June 2017.

Besides South Korea, the Japanese should be very concerned about
further development of nuclear weapons, since Japan more than
the US is the intended target.

It's hard to see what Donald "Art of the Deal" Trump is going to do
next. As I've written many times, Trump's foreign policy completely
baffles the media but makes perfect sense when you understand that
he believes the
Generational Dynamics prediction that we're headed for war with China.

North Korea's goal for the charm offensive was to trick Trump into
agreeing to lift the sanctions without any actual denuclearization.
Trump's goal for the charm offensive was to try to prevent or postpone
the coming war. So it will be fascinating to see what Trump does
next. And I've said many times that I'm not going to criticize Trump
for taking steps to prevent WW III, even if WW III is 100% certain, no
matter what Trump does.

--- Sources:

** North Korea rebuilding missile launch facility, satellite photos show
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/satelli ... d=61491867
(ABC News)

** Bolton Warns North Korea of More Sanctions If It Doesn't Budge
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... sn-t-budge
(Bloomberg)


--- Related:

*** 28-Feb-2019 Report: Trump blindsided Kim Jong-un at summit
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 322#p44322


** 17-Dec-18 World View -- North Korea threatens US with 'exchanges of fire' over new human rights sanctions
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181217

[Guest]

Any idea of how long it will take before NK goes beserk again? I mean do you see missile tests in the next few weeks or months? I can't imagine that the US would do nothing in response. Is war this year in Korea a pretty safe bet?

Also, have you heard that China blew up an ancient Buddha statue a few days ago? It's a big deal in Asia. I'm in Asia.

[utahbob]

John,
I think people give the PLA a little more capacity and capability than they actually have. First they are stocked with “”Princes” or sons of one child families. I think we in the west do not fully understand the family structure in society and cultural in Asia and China. Not many mothers and fathers will want their sons killed in war and end their family or blood lines.
Many of those princes are overweight, out of shape, spoiled and love their phones more than their country. Sounds familiar?
The PLA is still viewed as an instrument/tool of the CPC and geared for defense of borders of the PRC and supplement the PAP.
Here are a few more insights into the PLA: https://warontherocks.com/2015/02/ten-r ... odern-war/
https://warontherocks.com/2015/02/corru ... -problems/
https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/p ... 60.ch3.pdf
https://warontherocks.com/2019/02/the-c ... ng-doubts/

[novictim]

The USA has given the N.Koreans the opportunity to free their people and get rich but in return, hand over the jailer's keys. The alternative was always going to be war and nuclear missile strikes and the end of both China and N. Korea.

Not surprised, really, that that fat slob would choose suffering and death. The likelihood that China and N.Korea were going to pull their own asses out of the fire was always slim.

Radiation is not as dangerous as has been hyped. And all the major cities in the USA and the EU are festering open wounds that need debridement and cautery. So be it.

[novictim]

I don't understand why people on this site care about Poland, Neither Germany or Poland is a US treaty ally. We have no dog in this fight.

Because Europe is the white man's homeland.

"White man"? What's a "white man"?

Sounds like some racist propaganda from a "not white man" to me.

Now if you said it's the homeland of a descendant of people that had many many many families without moving terribly much in the present day Country of Poland,.. THAT would make sense.

But "White Man"!? Really....? <chuckle!>

..out of curiosity: You gotta "Card" that says "White Man" on it, that specifies where "White Man Homeland" is?

You are making no sense whatsoever. Prepare for war. It is coming.

[novictim]

N Korea is China's attack dog. That is all that it is.

And that is why China will be struck equally hard to N. Korea. They have really and truly fucked themselves.

And dear ChiCom princes and princesses living in the West in ill-gotten real estate deals from Vancouver to Palo Alto to LA to London. You will not be forgotten. You will not be overlooked.

[John]

> Also, have you heard that China blew up an ancient Buddha statue a
> few days ago? It's a big deal in Asia. I'm in Asia.

• Photos of Buddha statue before and after it was demolished
  by the Communist Chinese Party (CCP) government.

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3650363

The only God that the Chinese permit is Xi Jinping.

[John]

** 7-Mar-2019 China's Xi Jinping raises concerns over multiple anniversaries

China's president Xi Jinping said this on Tuesday:

> "This year is the 70th anniversary of the founding of new China.
> Maintaining sustained, healthy economic development and social
> stability is a mission that is extremely arduous."

Xi Jinping has been issuing one warning after another this
year. In January he warned:

> "Be on high alert to all kinds of erroneous thoughts, vague
> understandings, and bad phenomena in ideological areas. Keep your
> eyes open, see things early and move on them fast."

At other times, Xi Jinping has repeatedly demanded "loyalty" to the
Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Anyone can be condemned or thrown in
jail for not being loyal, or for having "erroneous thoughts."

Xi referred to the 70th aniversary of the founding of Communist China,
but this is only one of the anniversaries occurring in 2019 that are
concerning him.

Here are some of the major anniversaries coming up this year:

• In March 1959, the invading Communist army conducted a bloody
  crackdown on the Tibetan Buddhists in Tibet. The Dalai Lama fled the
  violence, and crossed the border into India on March 31, 1959. He
  began a permanent exile in India, settling at Dharamsala in Punjab,
  where he established a democratically based shadow Tibetan government.
  The CCP continues its violent crackdown on Tibetan Buddhists to this
  day.
• May 4 is the 100th anniversary of the May 4th movement of 1919.
  The May 4th movement (May 4, 1919), was a massive anti-government
  protest by millions of students in Tiananmen Square, that the
  government brutally put down, but which turned the people into a
  driven population seeking revenge against Japan and the West.
• June 4 is the 30th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square massacre of
  June 4, 1989, after huge student anti-government protests. The
  protests began on May 4 in commemoration of the May 4th movement that
  had occurred 70 years earlier. China's army responded by the mass
  slaughter of thousands of peacefully demonstrating students.
• October 1, 1949, was the founding of Communist China.

So when China warns about "errorneous thoughts," he's referring to
thoughts about the 1919 May 4th Movement, the 1959 Tibentan slaughter,
and the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre.

The CCP is the most paranoid government in the world, and it's leading
to the stupidest policies in the history of the world. The CCP is
committing genocide and ethnic of Muslim Uighurs in East Turkistan
(Xijiang Province), blowing up Buddhist statues, demolishing Christian
churches, and slaughtering Buddhist Tibetans in Tibet Province. The
idiots in the CCP think that this will protect them from the unwashed
masses.

By the way, the CCP are promising Taiwan that it will be permitted to
govern itself if reunifies with China. That's the same laughable
promise they made to Tibet and Hong Kong.

--- Sources:

-- In sensitive year for China, warnings against 'erroneous thoughts'
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chin ... SKCN1QO0X0
(Reuters)

[Burner Prime]

Re: Huawei Backdoors

Skepticism has been expressed here about the possibility that Huawei could install backdoors on their chips that wouldn't be detected (until too late).

I have been reading Indian news about air-to-air skirmishes over Kashmir on Feb 27th, and that India is now complaining to the US about Pakistan Air Force (PAF) using F-16 and AIM-120 missiles against Indian fighters, and supposedly in violation of the contracted use for the planes. (The US is not commenting https://www.dawn.com/news/1468087).

Further, India claims to have "jammed" the radar homing on the AIM missiles, causing them to miss their Indian fighter targets. This would expose a serious weakness in US air-to-air missile capability...BUT... the plot thickens...

It is reported that as part of any weapons deals with Pakistan, the US requires remote activated "kill" switches to prevent the use of powerful defense tech that violate contract rules. And it makes sense that those kill switches could not be defeated by the end user.

So what makes more sense is that the US activated the kill switches on the AIM-120s, causing them to fail, not that India "jammed" them. Of course the US was watching every move during the recent conflict. As already noted, US State Dept is being very tight-lipped about the affair.

So to circle back on Huawei backdoors, those technologies are already in use, and it is absurd to think that since they haven't been detected or defeated that they don't exist.

[John]

> It is reported that as part of any weapons deals with Pakistan,
> the US requires remote activated "kill" switches to prevent the
> use of powerful defense tech that violate contract rules. And it
> makes sense that those kill switches could not be defeated by the
> end user.

Where is this reported? Do you have a link?