Please give tim another chance.FishbellykanakaDude wrote: > It takes very little energy to trip a mousetrap. The efficacy of
> the trap, though, is not determined by the triggering energy, but
> rather by the pent up "spring" that kills the little varmint.
> Non-crisis wars are what they are because the spring is
> weak-ish. Crisis wars have massively twisted springs just itchin'
> to squish and shred.
> My opinion is that the trap is being "restrained" by <insert
> favorite belligerent here> because it's not yet "powerful" enough
> to thoroughly enough kill "the enemy" in a way that is
> "satisfying" enough.
> (( Enough with the ENOUGHS, already! ))
> I don't see that happening until AFTER the next US Presidential
> election in 2024 (when Trump leaves office), and until the tech is
> in place to dominate the "communication and surveillance"
> infrastructure of the planet.
> That tech will be developed and largely deployed during the
> "rebuild" after the pandemic, and the tensions created by the
> "final steps" of its implementation from early (late January) 2025
> will explode into war in the spring of 2026.
> The Chinese will not get "what they want" at some point, most
> likely late summer of 2025, and they (and we) will start off a
> series of tit for tats that will allow some "Pissing Soldier"
> casus belli to fling the gates wide open.
> ..but then that's just my half-assed opinion, of course!
> Fun times, eh,.. fun times...!!
It's not possible to judge the pent-up power of the spring in the
mousetrap. In particular, the snap of the mousetrap will not depend
on any US election, but will depend on generational flows within China
itself. Mousetraps are inward looking, not outward looking.
My research has found that the pent-up power is great enough for a new
crisis war after the 58-year mark past the climax of the preceding
crisis war, and then the pent-up power grows greater each day.
So, for China, the pent-up power in the spring was great enough in the
year 2007 (=1949+58), and the power of the spring has been growing
since then.
So the mousetrap could snap any time.