Generational Dynamics World View News

[Guest]

John's stated options:

A bioweapon developed by the Wuhan Institute Of Virology. This is rejected by almost everyone.
A naturally occurring virus under study at the Wuhan Institute Of Virology that escaped.
A naturally occurring virus that spread spontaneously in Wuhan's wet markets.

One more:

A naturally occurring virus genetically modified to increase its ease of infection and its virulence/transmissibility, i.e "gain of function" modifications.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK285579/

China is on the hook for this. They will be held to account, even if it means war.

[Guest]

US taxpayer money went to Wuhan; China spy scandal making YALE and MIT on fire
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BDNUAkc ... oyKr69MKjY

[John]

** 07-May-2020 World View: Winning a nuclear war

> Talk is talk. If you honestly believe a nuclear war is winnable,
> you're in a very small minority ... and a bit scary, to be
> honest.

Oooooh, I scare you? For some reason I like that.

Anyway, of course a nuclear war is winnable -- in the sense that
one side or the other will surrender, even if both sides have
huge refugee problems and multiple cities destroyed by nuclear
weapons.

And this is hardly the view of a "very small minority." You can be
very certain the US military -- and the military in other countries --
are fully prepared to fight a nuclear war, with the intention of
winning it.

[John]

** 07-May-2020 World View: Crisis era climax

> True but irrelevant. David is wrong because Crisis wars are not
> driven by rationality in the first place.

> It was crazy for Japan to attack Pearl Harbor, and even the
> Admiral carrying out the attack knew that and said so at the
> time. It still happened. Crisis wars are driven by irrational
> actions during irrational Crisis periods.

> Even if a nuclear war would drive us back to the Stone Age, which
> as you point out it wouldn't, that wouldn't mean that it wouldn't
> happen.

> I am curious, John, if you think something other than a war could
> end a Crisis era. If Covid-19 were bad enough, could it
> substitute for a Crisis war?

A generational Crisis era can only end with an explosive genocidal
climax of a crisis war that traumatizes the entire population. This
is necessary so that people on both sides -- winners and losers --
will be horrified by their own actions, and the actions of their
opponents, so much that they agree to finally stop fighting and take
steps (Recovery Era) to prevent any such conflict from ever occurring
again.

What we've seen in the past is that crises like pandemics generate
their own generational patterns that operate independently of the war
cycle. There is a similarity to the war crisis in that it must
traumatize the entire population and be so horrific that there is a
universal decision to take steps to keep it from happening again.
Then, 58 years later, there's false panic led by retiring people who
are afraid that the crisis will occur again. The two major American
examples in the 20th century are the Spanish Flu pandemic, which
triggered the false swine flu panic in 1976, and the 1929 stock market
crash, which triggered the false stock market panic of 1987.

Another possible example, requiring additional research, is the
Sedition Act of 1919, leading to mass extrajudicial arrests of
radicals and anarchists. This is similar to Lincoln's suspension of
habeas corpus, which happened 58 years earlier in 1861, and allowed
extrajudicial arrests rebels and dissenters.

At any rate, the interesting thing is that the concepts of a war cycle
saeculum also apply, in a different way, to other kinds of crises,
creating another saeculum that is independent of and coexists with
whatever the current war cycle is. They also intersect with the "58
Year Rule": a society enters the Fourth Turning exactly 58 years after
the crisis war climax, and a society experiences a false panic exactly
58 years after the other crises.

[John]

** 07-May-2020 World View: American blacks vs UK whites

> John, We had the same policy here in the UK although it was aimed
> at the white working class. When industries started to vanish and
> the coal mines were closed down in the 1980s, the British
> government had a huge problem. Lots of unemployed white people
> with IQ skills not suited to service based employment.

> So the government helpfully 'encouraged' these people to sign up
> for the sick. As a result, you had these huge welfare estates
> created where no one has had a job in 3 generations. Single young
> women deliberately got themselves pregnant so they would get a
> free council house. For each child, lots of benefit money came
> rolling in.

> Tony Blair was particularly skilled at keeping these people voting
> for the Labour Party due to the fact under his government, you
> could live a nice life with a family of seven on the state. Just
> keep voting Labour otherwise the Tories would take it all
> away. Which as it so happens then did and this has started to lead
> these areas becoming even more dens of crime and poverty then they
> were under Labour.

> I'd say U.S blacks and the once native white British working class
> are very similar. Both worked in many working class
> occupations. When those jobs went, they became dependent upon the
> state, especially for votes.

> Not sure about the U.S however but a lot of these people in the UK
> have been voting Tory due to their strong support of
> Brexit. Unlike blacks in America, the whites in the UK are more
> patriotic, likely to serve in the army and likely to have issues
> with immigration so now they vote Conservative which at one point
> was unthinkable.

That's a very interesting comparison. Further research might reveal
that there's something similar going on in every society. Thank you
for the information.

[John]

** 07-May-2020 World View: Thanks for the endorsement

> John, I bought your Generational Dynamics book from Amazon.

> I was expecting just a printed copy of the book you had on the
> website (which I am very familiar with) but was surprised to see
> all the added content. I really enjoyed the way you applied
> Generational Dynamics to the time of Jesus Christ and the Ancient
> Greeks.

> The parts on economic bubbles are great too. Reading about the
> bubbles of the past and looking at the stock market today makes me
> laugh and shake my head.

> I am happy to have a physical copy of your book. I don't have a
> positive outlook on the future with the coming crisis and it would
> be a shame for your work to be lost because it only existed
> digitally.

> To anyone out there reading this: buy this book even if you're
> familiar with John's work. Its worth the $15.

I very rarely get any endorsements at all, let alone an endorsement as
enthusiastic as yours. Thank you very much. It's greatly
appreciated.

[Burner Prime]

Unlike blacks in America, the whites in the UK are more
> patriotic, likely to serve in the army and likely to have issues
> with immigration so now they vote Conservative which at one point
> was unthinkable.

I really don't know how you came to this conclusion, unless you have served in both UK and US armed forces.
I don't like revealing details about myself, but I did serve in the US armed forces and lived and worked closely with blacks.

American blacks who are descendants of slaves are every bit as patriotic as whites, full stop.

In fact, you have to understand that in many cases, descendants of slaves have been in America LONGER than many whites, such as Irish who came over in the late 1800's, along with many other Europeans. As such they are fully invested and integrated in America and her future prospects. I cannot say the same for newly-arrived immigrants, who cling to their own and don't care at all what happens to the US, long-term, and that can include Africans. You should also understand that blacks who've been in America for generations don't get along well with newly-arrived Africans.

Maybe you listened to Hair soundtrack and assumed that represented American blacks after the 60s. That is a laughable joke.

African-Americans as a whole probably have mixed feeling about immigrants. On one hand they despise Koreans who come into their neighborhoods and own all the businesses, and other immigrants who take jobs. On the other, they are happy to seize any opportunity against whitey and may engage in a marriage of convenience on immigration causes which are mostly against the power held by whites. What you will NOT see are ghetto riots/uprisings in favor of immigrants, but only when police brutality happens against blacks.

[Guest]

I just hope Prince Harry is adjusting well to life in LA...

[Guest]

In the end, the consequences of these actions are going to kill FAR more than 300K people. The number one root cause of premature death in the world is POVERTY.

This is a media hyped catastrophe. These scars will not heal in our lifetimes.

[John]

8-May-20 World View -- Milk-Tea twitter war links Thailand, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Philippines against China

Milk-Tea War exposes generational split in Thailand

** 8-May-20 World View -- Milk-Tea twitter war links Thailand, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Philippines against China
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200508


Contents:
Milk-Tea twitter war links Thailand, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Philippines against China
Milk-Tea War exposes generational split in Thailand


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Thailand, Milk-Tea war,
Vachirawit Chivaaree, Bright, Weeraya Sukaram, #nnevvy,
Hong Kong, Taiwan, Philippines, China,
Laos, Cambodia, Mekong Dam project, Vietnam,
South China Sea, Myanmar