Financial topics

[aeden]

Small amount of capital used, no drawdown, fast turnover, solid profit.

No theta burn.
Yes we mentioned nothing on the table at the end of day.
No date needed here.

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=paul+pelosi+p ... ave&ia=web

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_Pi3DKkop8

https://evilspeculator.com/

https://themarshallreport.wordpress.com ... -this-one/
thread: no clue

[aeden]

Unidentified person told Biden to "sign it anyway," so he did.

In another puzzling video from the Biden White House on Wednesday, an unidentified individual was seen talking about a “plea sentence” before the audio immediately cut off. Since then, the video has been unlisted from the official White House YouTube channel, as National File reported.

thread: vhina cirus 404

[aeden]

https://patriotlibertynews.com/2021/01/ ... upporters/

[John]

** 27-Jan-2021 World View: What is a stock market panic?

> Congratulations to the guys on Reddit who flushed the billionaires
> down the toilet. I salute every one of them.

October 28, 1929, was not a stock market crash. It was a stock market
panic. The crash followed over the next four years.

So how do you define a stock market panic? I'm not sure, but it has
elements of irrational exuberance on steroids.

So the 1929 panic had millions of people selling.

The January 27, 2021, panic had thousands of people on Reddit buying.

The motives in the 1929 panic were to sell stocks to avoid losing
money.

The motives for today's panic was to screw the hedge funds, by using
leveraging to make huge amounts of money.

In 1929, in the days immediately following the panic, the stock market
recovered almost to its previous highs.

If you look at the chart for Gamestop today, there can be little doubt
that in the days immediately following today's panic, the price of
Gamestop is going to fall 50-80%.

Now imagine thousands of people who borrowed money or mortgaged their
homes, to participate in the Reddit panic. These people are going to
be really screwed, and this may be the tipping point for a significant
long-term event.

A lot of the above is speculative. But I want to make two points:

• The concept of "panic" can take many forms.
• There is a possibility that today will be the panic that triggers
  a significant long-term event.

In other words, today may end up meaning nothing. Or, today may be
the day of a major stock market panic that history will remember. We
may know within a few days or weeks. We may even know tomorrow.

[aeden]

The marker is confirmed from another witness.
They will not understand as they are swept away.
As warned from another also by April it will then be apparent.
The market is not the market as they mocked the people as "whatever".
The price action is and will be meaningless since who the hell cares as
tens of thousands are swept away as in Business owners and workers.
The whole premise is worship the State or else.
The poor soul does not even know what the ink was put upon as witnessed.
It would be better if a millstone was put upon then as we had been warned.

water wheat weather

[Higgenbotham]

With regard to the Reddit event, first of all, the masses went into battle with the billionaires and the masses won hands down. Probably the buying today (in Gamestop, etc.) was mostly forced unwinding of short positions by the funds. The masses know how much volume would be required (approximately) to complete the unwind. The reason I say approximately is the short position at some point in recent time is known but all of the volume since that known date and number of shares can't be pinned down as to what exactly it was, but it can be estimated fairly closely, I would think.

What effects will that have?

I would guess that the Reddit crowd will try it again. The authorities have already indicated they will fight back by suspending trading in any stock that is targeted. Imagine what a mess that will turn into. I can't imagine how and how far both sides are willing to carry it, but my guess is farther than most can imagine.

For example, one thing the Reddit crowd can do, or any imitators can do, is threaten to target a stock, but not target it in reality. They can move the site of their activity to another place on the Internet. They can use other forms of communication. And probably half a dozen other things I can't even think of and don't know about.

This could turn into a financial war of sorts.

The other effect this could have is to reduce short positions overall for fear of being a target. Short positions are already quite low on average. What effect will this have? One example would be, when a stock is under pressure and I am considering whether to buy, one thing I check is the short interest. I can get that in about 2 seconds and if I see that the short interest is relatively high, I tend to avoid the stock. Not always, but I tend to unless I feel I know something the shorts don't. And there's also the realization that the funds can start an unwarranted feeding frenzy on a stock. If funds are afraid to short, people who use similar procedures will on balance be more likely to be long, in my estimation. It could exacerbate the upside and the downside in some situations and reduce it in others.

[John]

** 28-Jan-2021 World View: Reddit masses

> With regard to the Reddit event, first of all, the masses went
> into battle with the billionaires and the masses won hands down.
> Probably the buying today (in Gamestop, etc.) was mostly forced
> unwinding of short positions by the funds. The masses know how
> much volume would be required (approximately) to complete the
> unwind. The reason I say approximately is the short position at
> some point in recent time is known but all of the volume since
> that known date and number of shares can't be pinned down as to
> what exactly it was, but it can be estimated fairly closely, I
> would think.

> What effects will that have?

> I would guess that the Reddit crowd will try it again. The
> authorities have already indicated they will fight back by
> suspending trading in any stock that is targeted. Imagine what a
> mess that will turn into. I can't imagine how and how far both
> sides are willing to carry it, but my guess is farther than most
> can imagine.

> For example, one thing the Reddit crowd can do, or any imitators
> can do, is threaten to target a stock, but not target it in
> reality. They can move the site of their activity to another
> place on the Internet. They can use other forms of communication.
> And probably half a dozen other things I can't even think of and
> don't know about.

> This could turn into a financial war of sorts.

> The other effect this could have is to reduce short positions
> overall for fear of being a target. Short positions are already
> quite low on average. What effect will this have? One example
> would be, when a stock is under pressure and I am considering
> whether to buy, one thing I check is the short interest. I can get
> that in about 2 seconds and if I see that the short interest is
> relatively high, I tend to avoid the stock. Not always, but I
> tend to unless I feel I know something the shorts don't. And
> there's also the realization that the funds can start an
> unwarranted feeding frenzy on a stock. If funds are afraid to
> short, people who use similar procedures will on balance be more
> likely to be long, in my estimation. It could exacerbate the
> upside and the downside.

I think you're describing the Reddit "masses" in waaaay too rational
terms. You say the masses know how much volume whatever. Maybe a
few do. But I don't think that the masses will know much of anything.
I think they're playing with the same irrational emotions as the
current bitcoin craze.

You say that the Reddit crowd may try again. Yeah they will -- the
ones that survive the first round. They're turning into addicted
gamblers that have to keep playing until they lose everything. And,
as long as they survive, they have the thrill of beating "the man."

Well, anyway, that's all speculation again. Tomorrow is another day.

[Higgenbotham]

** 28-Jan-2021 World View: Reddit masses

I think you're describing the Reddit "masses" in waaaay too rational
terms. You say the masses know how much volume whatever. Maybe a
few do. But I don't think that the masses will know much of anything.
I think they're playing with the same irrational emotions as the
current bitcoin craze.

You say that the Reddit crowd may try again. Yeah they will -- the
ones that survive the first round. They're turning into addicted
gamblers that have to keep playing until they lose everything. And,
as long as they survive, they have the thrill of beating "the man."

Well, anyway, that's all speculation again. Tomorrow is another day.

I haven't tried to read Reddit to figure out what the masses in fact know.

But the mainstream financial press - oh my gosh - they are completely lost. They have no idea what just hit them.

[richard5za]

I suspect Reddit is just another heady, crazy expression of the mad bubble. I agree like mad Bitcoin. And a mad world.

Looking at the market trends though, this is a noteworthy point: Major global indices are breaking down below their daily 15ema's.

Of course, the market may go higher after a correction, but down trends and lower highs can easily set up the panic followed a crash.

[richard5za]

With regard to the Reddit event,

What effects will that have?

If funds are afraid to short, people who use similar procedures will on balance be more likely to be long, in my estimation. It could exacerbate the upside and the downside in some situations and reduce it in others.

Yes, one of the arguements for allowing shorts is that they provide a crash safety net