Generational Dynamics World View News

[Cool Breeze]

But that assumes rationale, and John always points out they like to choose the stupidest, most self-destructive path over anything else.

I think this is the least cogent part of the argument. Anything can happen, yes we are dealing with humans, but they spend all of this time and effort over decades to just say, "Oh fuck it, those Japs are going down, forget our strategic plan and patience, where we were clearly winning"?

More than anything, it seems like a wish to get it into the Fourth Turning window, or the Fifth Turning. Or are we up to allowing for a Sixth Turning at this point? Would we then change the name to Multi Generational Dynamics theory?

[DaKardii]

John, what do you think of r/WallStreetBets and its short-squeezing campaigns?

https://www.insider.com/wallstreetbets- ... olo-2021-1

[John]

** 28-Jan-2021 World View: Pump 'n' Dump

> John, what do you think of r/WallStreetBets and its
> short-squeezing campaigns?

> https://www.insider.com/wallstreetbets- ... olo-2021-1

I've written several posts about this on the Financial Topics thread,
starting yesterday evening.

The summary is as follows: In my opinion, what we're seeing is a "Pump
and Dump" scheme, where a small group of criminals have created
multiple Reddit accounts and are encouraging people to push up the
prices of Gamestop, AMD, and other "Casino Stocks." The criminals
have previously purchased a large number of shares of the casino
stocks when the prices were very low, and are watching as the "pump"
phase progresses. At a time of their choosing, they'll "dump" their
holdings at high prices, and make a lot of money. That may already
have happened, since the prices of the casino stocks have already
fallen 50% or more from their highs.

Robinhood has halted purchases of the casino stocks, in order to abort
or at least pause the pump phase. They are being widely condemned for
doing that by people who are saying that all Robinhood wants to do is
save the hedge fund companies who shorted the stocks.

There must be thousands of desperate people out there who have lost
their life savings or even their homes, as they credulously purchased
shares of the casino stocks during the pump phase.

The next few days and weeks are going to be very ugly.

[Guest]

** 28-Jan-2021 World View: Pump 'n' Dump

> John, what do you think of r/WallStreetBets and its
> short-squeezing campaigns?

> https://www.insider.com/wallstreetbets- ... olo-2021-1

I've written several posts about this on the Financial Topics thread,
starting yesterday evening.

The summary is as follows: In my opinion, what we're seeing is a "Pump
and Dump" scheme, where a small group of criminals have created
multiple Reddit accounts and are encouraging people to push up the
prices of Gamestop, AMD, and other "Casino Stocks." The criminals
have previously purchased a large number of shares of the casino
stocks when the prices were very low, and are watching as the "pump"
phase progresses. At a time of their choosing, they'll "dump" their
holdings at high prices, and make a lot of money. That may already
have happened, since the prices of the casino stocks have already
fallen 50% or more from their highs.

Robinhood has halted purchases of the casino stocks, in order to abort
or at least pause the pump phase. They are being widely condemned for
doing that by people who are saying that all Robinhood wants to do is
save the hedge fund companies who shorted the stocks.

There must be thousands of desperate people out there who have lost
their life savings or even their homes, as they credulously purchased
shares of the casino stocks during the pump phase.

The next few days and weeks are going to be very ugly.

I think its more people doing it to screw over the Hedge Funds.

I love it and it brings me the same joy as when Trump was elected as a Fuck You to the establishment.

[Guest]

For a doubting Thomas, you think you have all the answers. YOU DON'T.

I think America's end was baked into the cake with Ronald Regan's "one time amnesty" of Mexican illegals in the 1980s. The US borders have been open ever since.

Good bye, America. Or should I say, "Adios"?

The West is finished. Leftists and liberal ideology have finally broken the back of the West. The weight was too much. Also, people on both sides of the political spectrum sold the country out to foreign and private interests. The immigration of certain incompatible ethnic groups into Western countries was a massive mistake. Today it is considered racist to even discuss it in the media; one would be shouted down. But in the future, after all the smoke has cleared, honest men will record the reality of what happened. The truth will not be lost, even if the people are.

You are correct, and I hope you are right about the truth not being lost.

You would have to be crazy to sign up to die for America as it stands today.

The feminist movement has destroyed women, American women are not worth fighting and dying for. They should be drafted to fight China. You wanted equality and "don't need no man" but need men's taxes redistributed from the government! Grab a rifle and hit that Chinese beach!

Fake news, fake President, fake election, fake markets, fake virus.

The Secretary of Health is confused as to how many genders there are.

Only the clowns will fight for the carnival.

[Navigator]

But the hard core "anti-everything the constitution stands for" people will begin an insurrection within the US, attacking the infrastructure and defense work/installations.

Not just them. Also the "Washington has lost all legitimacy" crowd.

Granted, there is overlap between those two groups. But they are not identical at the end of the day.

To what scale, in your estimation, DaKardii? Navi?

I would estimate a couple of hundred thousand anti-American Americans. Added to this are probably a hundred thousand (or more) Chinese who were sent here on Visas and are part of sleeper cells for when actual war breaks out.

[Navigator]

On the financial front, I have been doing some research on finding good explanations as to why Deflation will be the result of the next financial crisis.

The fundamental things is that the Fed DOESN"T print currency. It creates currency through a complex process with the Banks that first creates more debt than currency.

The video series that I recommend in the book is a great starting point for understanding the current system and why Deflation, NOT Inflation, will be the result.

Here is a link to a couple of people talking about the why's of Deflation. It is still more complex than I would like, but it will give you a lot of insight into what is going on, and why Deflation will be the result.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_HCIyc6MaA

The video is also very good at explaining QE, Low Interest Rates, and their effects.

[Navigator]

Since there is again a lot of talk about the Chinese making a move, here is my earlier post on what I expect:

So here is my guess on roughly how it will play out with the Chinese:

Chinese grab the Taiwan owned Quemoy island (Kinmey County on Google Maps) which is just a few miles off of the coast of the mainland city of Xiamen. Possibly they also grab the Taiwan owned islands of Wuqui Township as well. These areas are almost impossible for Taiwan to defend nowadays, though they were successful in the 1950s/60s (when the CCP was MUCH weaker). Biden protests to CCP about escalating tensions by doing this, but does nothing to intervene militarily. [kind of like Austria]

Emboldened by grabbing Quemoy with minimal repurcussions, the Chinese now move to take the Pescadore island (Penghu county on Google Maps). Biden has withdrawn the US Navy from the area in a bid to de-escalate "tensions" over the Quemoy thing. Taiwan puts up a fight, but they do not have the ability to reinforce the island, and it quickly falls to the CCP forces. Biden does not have the US get involved, as some small island is not "worth fighting over". [kind of like Sudetenland/Czechoslovakia]

Once the CCP has Penghu, which has a huge airport and massive natural harbor (it was the Japanese naval staging area for their WW2 invasion of the Philippines), they build up massive forces there.

At this point, Biden warns the CCP that they are not to actually invade Taiwan proper. Problem is that with Penghu, Taiwanese defenses are seriously compromised. Negotiations to "keep the peace" are held.

Biden feels forced to act once the CCP actually land on Taiwan, which they do once they have completed their build up on Penghu. [kind of like Poland]

Note that the last thing is what John is talking about, Biden being backed into a corner by Chinese moves.

It will get serious once the Chinese actually grab the Taiwanese islands right off their coast (see above).

[DaKardii]

I would estimate a couple of hundred thousand anti-American Americans.

By "a couple of hundred thousand anti-American Americans" do you mean just those on the left, or on both the left and the right?

[Navigator]

Almost entirely the left. Once America gets attacked, those on the right will predominantly rally to the flag, no matter who is president, for the duration.

Those on the extreme left are spouting mostly Marxist ideology and will want the CCP to win.