Generational Dynamics World View News

[Guest]

Jerome Powell's most likely replacement.

[DaKardii]

Biden has announced that he is ending US support for the Saudi-led offensive in Yemen. Should he go through with it, that will be one policy where he succeeded where Trump failed.

https://apnews.com/article/biden-end-su ... b80a13098f

[Guest]

Biden has announced that he is ending US support for the Saudi-led offensive in Yemen. Should he go through with it, that will be one policy where he succeeded where Trump failed.

https://apnews.com/article/biden-end-su ... b80a13098f

Biden hates Saudi Arabia and loves Iran.

[DaKardii]

Biden has announced that he is ending US support for the Saudi-led offensive in Yemen. Should he go through with it, that will be one policy where he succeeded where Trump failed.

https://apnews.com/article/biden-end-su ... b80a13098f

Biden hates Saudi Arabia and loves Iran.

More and more Americans are preferring Iran over Saudi Arabia, and it's not because of Democrat vs. Republican politics. Twenty years after 9/11, they are catching on the fact that the vast majority of Islamist terrorist attacks (including virtually every incident that has occurred on our soil since the 1993 WTC bombing) can be traced back to Saudi Arabia and not Iran. They are thus concluding that Saudi Arabia was the greater evil all along and must be treated as such going forward.

For decades, the foreign policy establishment has been holding off on the inevitable Saudi-American break-up, primarily because of the petrodollar but also because of Saudi Arabia's ability to place a check on Iran. But public opinion is eventually going to force the establishment's hand, as demonstrated here. Meanwhile, the Saudi people are all for breaking up with the US. They absolutely despise America and would love to see it destroyed. The monarchy has been holding off for decades, just like our foreign policy establishment has. But in the end, it will have no choice. It will either have to give into public opinion, or be overthrown. The reverse is taking place in Iran; the leadership hates America but the Iranian people have no qualms with it. As the world comes closer to war, the Ayatollahs will face a similar dilemma: make friends with the US, or be overthrown.

Expect the break-up/switcheroo to be complete no later than during the initial phases of the upcoming world war. When all is said and done, Iran will be our ally and Saudi Arabia (or whatever regime replaces it) our enemy. This was inevitable regardless of who won in 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020. Bush, Obama, and Trump held off on it. Gore, Kerry, McCain, Romney, and Hillary Clinton would've done the same had they won. And I'm sure deep down inside Biden wants to hold it off as well. But at this point he can't. Not without risking causing serious if not fatal damage to his administration.

[Burner Prime]

For a hilarious read check out this fight between two left wing Communists arguing over how much inflation Biden's $2T stimulus is risking.

Obama's Larry Summers warns about inflation, while Jared Bernstein says there's low risk becuz inflation has been under 2% for a long tyme.
hahahaha

https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/05/politics ... index.html

We're exporting our inflation to China as American consumers buy their plastic junk. Covid cost jobs, putting downward pressure on wages, masking the problem, and the $free $money was spent on Chinese junk from Amazon, not domestic goods and services. Asset prices did inflate to the point of bubbles in RE and Stonks. Energy had downward pressure again due to Covid lockdowns.

Milhouse: 'Say the liiine John..."

John: "Inflation is LITERALLY impossible..."

Krabappel & Class: "YAYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!"

[Burner Prime]

$2T more in giveaways proposed by Schumer and Warren, in addition to Biden's $2T stimulus.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/04/biggest ... debt-.html

But don't worry, because...wait for it......wait for it....

"Inflation is LITERALLY impossible.."

YAYYYYYYYYY!

[Burner Prime]

For your enjoyment, because inflation is LITERALLY impossible...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O1hCLBTD5RM

[Xeraphim1]

Saudi Arabia is not a major enemy of Russia. It's a commercial petroleum rival. SA has even considered buying Russian weapon systems at various times. It won't do so now but only because it depends on the US to protect it. Despite all the money spent on its military, SA knows that its toys would not be very useful in an actual fight.

Russia and Saudi Arabia will never be allies, and more often than not they will be enemies. This is because Saudi Arabia -- along with Turkey -- is a close ally of the Islamist militias in the Caucasus and Central Asia, whom Russia deems to be a critical national security threat.

In recent years Russia and Saudi Arabia have come closer because of their mutual hatred of Turkey. If Russia does sell its weapons to Saudi Arabia, it will do so in "careful" numbers to ensure that it only has enough to protect itself from Turkish aggression. But it will never treat Saudi Arabia as an ally. Ever.

Saudi Arabia and Russia/USSR have never been enemies and aren't now. They're commercial rivals. Russia would be *delighted* to replace the US as arms supplier to SA.

Saudi Arabia isn't that worried about Turkey because it doesn't have an ability to project force at that distance. SA worries about Iran. Muslim Brotherhood activity is a lower level threat.

I also believe that once the war breaks out, the Saudi people will overthrow the monarchy and install a government that will be even more anti-Russian than the current one.

It's possible, but also possible the King et. al. will have enough support to smack down revolters. They did take note of the Arab Spring and I'm sure they want to avoid losing their cushy incomes.

Similarly to the USSR, the Chinese rulers are most interested in assuring that they stay in their positions. A general war makes that risky.

China is not the USSR; and unlike the USSR during the Cold War, China is in a crisis era. These facts are critical.

Exactly. China's rulers learned their lesson and have no intention of losing their positions. Wars are unpredictable and rulers face the unattractive possibility of facing unfortunate consequences. Much better to try to muscle their way into getting what they want while avoiding messy uncertainty.

[Xeraphim1]

I think the West is at risk of being the one to trigger WWIII due to weak Beta males and women currently in power - the delicate snowflakes, easily slighted and ready to lash out in revenge. The Beta male orbiters will kowtow to the emotional whamens who perceive insult and injury at every word or action and push for the use of force. The Beta males themselves, easily butthurt and never understanding power dynamics among strong men, will overreact and lash out.

The US is indeed at risk of being the aggressor, but not because of "beta males." The issues that drive our foreign policy are Heartland Theory and Petrodollar. Anything and everything else is side junk to the foreign policy establishment.

You keep pushing this "Heartland Theory" and I'm not buying it. Similarly with petrodollars, it exists for a reason and despite several attempts no one has been able to change it. There isn't a credible alternative to it now or in the foreseeable future.

[Xeraphim1]

Biden has announced that he is ending US support for the Saudi-led offensive in Yemen. Should he go through with it, that will be one policy where he succeeded where Trump failed.

https://apnews.com/article/biden-end-su ... b80a13098f

Biden hates Saudi Arabia and loves Iran.

More and more Americans are preferring Iran over Saudi Arabia, and it's not because of Democrat vs. Republican politics. Twenty years after 9/11, they are catching on the fact that the vast majority of Islamist terrorist attacks (including virtually every incident that has occurred on our soil since the 1993 WTC bombing) can be traced back to Saudi Arabia and not Iran. They are thus concluding that Saudi Arabia was the greater evil all along and must be treated as such going forward.

For decades, the foreign policy establishment has been holding off on the inevitable Saudi-American break-up, primarily because of the petrodollar but also because of Saudi Arabia's ability to place a check on Iran. But public opinion is eventually going to force the establishment's hand, as demonstrated here. Meanwhile, the Saudi people are all for breaking up with the US. They absolutely despise America and would love to see it destroyed. The monarchy has been holding off for decades, just like our foreign policy establishment has. But in the end, it will have no choice. It will either have to give into public opinion, or be overthrown. The reverse is taking place in Iran; the leadership hates America but the Iranian people have no qualms with it. As the world comes closer to war, the Ayatollahs will face a similar dilemma: make friends with the US, or be overthrown.

Expect the break-up/switcheroo to be complete no later than during the initial phases of the upcoming world war. When all is said and done, Iran will be our ally and Saudi Arabia (or whatever regime replaces it) our enemy. This was inevitable regardless of who won in 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020. Bush, Obama, and Trump held off on it. Gore, Kerry, McCain, Romney, and Hillary Clinton would've done the same had they won. And I'm sure deep down inside Biden wants to hold it off as well. But at this point he can't. Not without risking causing serious if not fatal damage to his administration.

If by "more and more" you mean the total has gone from ten to fifteen, maybe. Iran, through its proxies, has killed more Americans than Saudi Arabia has. And that's the official policy of Iran whereas "official" Saudi support for terrorism has been more of a wink and a nod.

The Theocracy is well aware that it isn't well-loved which is why they have the IRGC to bust heads and torture dissidents. They will eventually go down, but they're willing to do so in a big pool of blood. I don't think the people of Iran are currently willing to throw themselves into the wood chipper in the name of change. Things will need to get much worse.

If, *if*, there are regime changes in those two countries then maybe there will be a change in US policy, but right now to prefer Iran to Saudi Arabia is idiocy.