Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

** 26-May-2021 World View: The Time Machine

I was browsing around through some earlier posts this morning, and I
stumbled across the following from May 20, 2009:
malleni wrote: Wed May 20, 2009 4:22 pm > John wrote: "I can't even imagine a scenario leading to US dollar
> inflation."

> I can not understand why you can not imagine it?

> It is even more difficult to understand why you are still
> insisting on the obviously absolutely wrong statements... (like
> "monetary deflation"... "strong dollar"... "safe US
> Treasuries"...etc...)

> It is also obvious that Gordo has much more sense than you for
> these events and find the best solution even without GD
> "theory".
This was posted in May, 2009. Do you know the significance of that
date, Dear Reader? That was just a few months after September 2008.

In my "Stupid Inflationist" post two weeks ago, I quoted and ridiculed
the following statement, that I'd been hearing over and over by
so-called "experts":

"Inflation exploded in April at an annual rate of 4.2%, the
highest rate since Sept 2008, so inflation is already occurring, and
we can expect much higher inflation in the next few months!"

viewtopic.php?p=60977#p60977

I pointed out that variations of this statement have been widely
quoted by so-called "experts" but it was self-contradictory because it
meant that inflation spiked even higher in Sept 2008, and Sept 2008
was actually followed by a year of deflation. So you have to be a
really stupid "expert" to think that a short inflation spike is
self-sustaining, when in fact it's likely to be followed by a
reversion of the mean.

So let's go back to the May 2009 quote from malleni. That was
actually well into the deflationary period, and yet, malleni and gordo
were ridiculing me for following Generational Dynamics "theory," and
not having the "sense" to adopt their idiotic view of inflation.

Dear Reader, this is what happens all the time. I do and do and do and
do and do for you guys, and I'm always right, and you're always wrong,
but you just criticize me and never give me any credit.

Sigh. At least I'm not being thrown into a pit or raped in Apollo's
temple. At least not yet.
Cool Breeze
Posts: 3040
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Cool Breeze »

Do you understand that the M2 increase in money supply at least goes somewhere?

Maybe we can start there before we hash out another chain of message denials about what's going on.
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

** 28-May-2021 World View: Where did it go?
Cool Breeze wrote: Fri May 28, 2021 10:20 am > Do you understand that the M2 increase in money supply at least
> goes somewhere?

> Maybe we can start there before we hash out another chain of
> message denials about what's going on.
Into Bitcoin.
aeden
Posts: 13973
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Bitcoin will be shorted to oblivion. Mastercard and Visa will absorb the stragglers it appears to date.
My bot algo tells me blockchain and it's not to late to be early to bitcoin.
44xx headwinds until something blows a head gasket like the ruthless arbiter named A. Consumer.
Nominal value as dxy - 10 year - oil will decide also. The charioteers as forwarded will decide
what the Consumers is polluted with going forward in measures they deem.
I think the terms from the owner of the Garden will decide more than they actually worship.

If you want to see what our future will be in America if we allow this totalitarian march to continue just take a look at Australia.

https://www.palantir.com/solutions/intelligence/

Nothing will happen since they sleep.
Crayon chewers controlled by unix sandbox.

A billion people in China want a nice apartment close to a good school and a car in a garage as it was said.
Good luck.
The world has reached the end of growth.
Bitching about the informal economy and double digit inflation is what regime change is always about
and that does not include you. They gutted out the base to ride what even JFK warned you half wits about riding
the Tiger you end up inside.
You had no clue then and you do not have one going forward in brrrrrr.

As noted:
The spillover is real.
Seen worse as in only three shot in the head and in burned car kind of slacked off for now.
The idiots sipping lattes cannot fathom they get shot in face because
they felt like it.

Reading a few Virginia upper crusts shot in the head since they felt like it.

I guess toe tags at down allowed some to get out to the burbs. Do not yell at us about normalcy bias and just being
dumb asses as the slaughter rate boils over.

Nothing says politicians are brain dead like standing watch over your Family with a 9 milli
since the liberal let out a murderer. No one here needs that date on that reality endured until the Animal was incarcerated
again. It should of been hit in the head with a shovel and no you think you can liberal your way to utopia. Not bitter your just
stupid.

Your generation is drowning in idiots who yea, are not democrats.




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pDDBDxc25M
Last edited by aeden on Sat May 29, 2021 10:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
Cool Breeze
Posts: 3040
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Cool Breeze »

John wrote: Fri May 28, 2021 10:25 am ** 28-May-2021 World View: Where did it go?
Cool Breeze wrote: Fri May 28, 2021 10:20 am > Do you understand that the M2 increase in money supply at least
> goes somewhere?

> Maybe we can start there before we hash out another chain of
> message denials about what's going on.
Into Bitcoin.
Yes, one of many destinations. Increase in M2 is also directly related to stocks/equities; that's why apart from QQQ stocks have actually not increased in [rea] value. But that's not inflation, is it? Oh yeah, housing prices rising dramatically isn't. Nor healthcare.

No, inflation doesn't exist, several sectors surging in cost for the average person over decades isn't inflation. It's just CPI that is inflation, right?

And even CPI is inflating, not deflating. Pretzel logic here.
Cool Breeze
Posts: 3040
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Cool Breeze »

aeden wrote: Sat May 29, 2021 9:27 am Bitcoin will be shorted to oblivion. Mastercard and Visa will absorb the stragglers it appears to date.
No it won't.

It is a financial market that takes advantage of weak hands, and emotional traders, though, like any other. That's what has happened recently. Why? The big boys wanted to buy in at 30-something.
richard5za
Posts: 898
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 10:29 am
Location: South Africa

Re: Financial topics

Post by richard5za »

John wrote: Fri May 28, 2021 10:25 am ** 28-May-2021 World View: Where did it go?
Cool Breeze wrote: Fri May 28, 2021 10:20 am > Do you understand that the M2 increase in money supply at least
> goes somewhere?

> Maybe we can start there before we hash out another chain of
> message denials about what's going on.
Into Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is looking tired which might just support your deflation theory.

I am very cautious about predicting higher inflation or deflation. There may well be a short term push on inflation which becomes one of the causes amongst others factors causing a correction in P/E ratios then a collapse of asset values then causing severve deflation. Of one thing I am clear: We are not going to remain at "fair weather"inflation of 1% to 2% for very much longer, and since both higher inflation and negative inflation result in a correction of P/E ratios I am confident enough to make that forecast. If this is wrong then over 100 years of stock market history hasn't predicted well

However confident you are of an outcome there is always the chance that the opposite will actually happen. (Cool Breeze and Bitcoin come to mind!!)

Taking a slightly longer view I suspect you are right in your deflationery prediction.
aeden
Posts: 13973
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://brandnewtube.com/watch/another- ... AY9Wo.html

shit holes for hire

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2021/0 ... sed-video/
A lot of rope needed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xczpvDGXF40

thread: peleg
Sun Apr 01, 2018 8:54 pm
As we warned clearly here also is what was planned by the locusts who eat the root as warned.

In the time of the flood and eclipse with to root social divides we hold the line in the hour seen.
peleg------- reu -------- serug-------- nahor-------- terah

Coded from the book to events seen long before in the order of names.

Math is Fun.

An employee of the 8th largest global defense contractor, Leonardo SpA, provided a shocking deposition detailing his role in the most elaborate criminal act affecting a US election. Corroborating the DNI Ratcliff’s report of international intrusion, Arturo D’elio outlined the scheme that proved successful in using Leonardo computer systems and military satellites located in Pescara, Italy. Recent reports of a hack at Leonardo now appear to have been an orchestrated cover to mitigate blowback on the corporation which is partially owned by the Italian government.

https://themarshallreport.wordpress.com ... -this-one/

thread: amos, bea, l8ter
aeden
Posts: 13973
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

The economy wants to get restarted and Biden/Obama are literally forestalling this in order to ensure the supply chains for food, lumber, gasoline, rolled steel, chips and everything else dries up.

I would rather doubt this. While it's true that the Left has believed that countries like the US need to "be brought down a few pegs" for over a century they really don't have a "plan" for this because they're not really smart enough to develop one. Yes, if you wanted to bring down the system this would be a great way to do it but usually what seems like the "perfect storm of idiocy" really is just that.

The real issue here is contained in the fact that these people suck at logistics. There's simply no way that they can maintain control over a country this large given the hypothesis here being brought to fruition. Sure, they could pull a Newsome and use some F-15's but that would only seal their fate. They simply do not have enough bullets or bombs to kill a big chunk of the population and like every other guerrilla war every one you do kill makes five more that want your head on a pike. That's not a fight they can win.

The truth is a bit more convoluted I suspect but in basic terms I think it goes like this:

1) World governments financed the WIV because it was illegal or frowned upon to do risky research in the West.

2) The CCP military apparatus became interested in the work that was going on at the WIV and took over.

3) At this point the people working at the WIV get even more reckless with their operations because they're trying to serve two masters, one pays them and the other will shoot them. Even basic BSL2/3 rules are flouted and we get the current situation.

4) Realizing that CoV-2 probably came from the WIV, the world virology community panics. Is it a bioweapon? How dangerous is it? Everything the WIV told is us a lie so we have NO data. Also, even worse like it or not we built this problem. ****. People are going to want our heads on pikes for this.

5) Most of what you see for the last year is that the virology community, concerned it's going to get burned for having funded WIV, scares the living **** out of a bunch of already frightened and decidedly middling intelligence politicians.

6) But the politicians go way, way, way too far because the public is frightened far more effectively than imagined. This is reinforced by a profit-seeking "if it bleeds it leads" attitude in the media who are getting their information from scientists they see as God Himself. (Journos went to college, of course they understand this. It's all part of the "we went to college" club and those RUBES don't get it. We do though. Because science. We get science. We've never taken a class in it but, dammit, we went to college too!)

7) This becomes an utter ****show from which the pols and the scientists cannot extract themselves. This is obvious by May of 2020. They're flailing. This has gotten out of hand and they know it but... they can't just admit the truth because #4.

8) It's realized that a vaccine, or something they call a vaccine is possible. Risk be damned, that's the ticket out of this mess. If we can get enough people to take it then they're out of the mess and the saviors of the world.

9) But by this time enough people have seen CoV-2 to know it's not as dangerous as was being sold back in March 2020 (10% fatal! Which, btw is 50% less fatal than TB but whatever no one knows that.)

10) And so, their Deus ex machina is failing. The only way they might get out of this unscathed is if enough people vax up but that's not happening. Carrots and sticks must be deployed if this plan is to work.

And that's where you are now. Things are falling apart around their ears and they're flailing harder and harder to get to that D.E.M., ironically the harder they flail the farther away it gets. They're wrapped up by the giant anaconda of their own lies.


And of course, like every other disaster there are the vultures. Gougers, thieves, conmen and prostitutes.
That's where your banks and people like Schwab fit into this.
aeden
Posts: 13973
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://messari.io/article/an-introduct ... t-computer

These techno fascists are doomed.

Their plan seemed feasible in a world where they could control all information. They had mainstream media and Big Tech locked up. Once their stooge was put in the oval orifice, they thought they had everything they needed and took the gloves off.

Developers will be falling over themselves to make websites and apps that they get 100% of the revenue from rather than giving most of it to the Big Tech app stores. The speed of adoption and replacement will be shocking....

Google, Facebook, Uber, Twitter, Netflix and Amazon are all dinosaurs.

The developers are already working on an open-source ICP OS that you’ll be able to put on any PC and any manufacturer will be able to use to make smartphones. That will allow people to cut Apple/Google/Microsoft out of their lives entirely.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/luong ... osis-banks

Military can read your license plate from 30,000 ft and Kissinger was correct they are idiots.
COVID is merely a test run. They want to achieve complete enslavement of the World.
https://themarshallreport.wordpress.com ... -this-one/

WEF is "wargaming" cyberattacks in July it was said from another.
So, expect more of the Colonial pipeline hits from then on.
These psychopaths aren't even hiding it anymore and the useful idiot dem sociopaths are following them.
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