Generational Dynamics World View News
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
If anything so many DF-41s would be worse. According to a bit of research I've done, they can carry as many as 10-12 MIRVs, not three. Assuming they're all carrying 10 warheads, you're talking close to 2,600 warheads of around 150 kilotons. Assuming an even split between India, Japan, Russia, and the United States, that would be 650 each. Not all would get through, but enough would to cause mass devastation.
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
** 27-Jul-2021 World View: Nuclear warheads
figures in the article by Federation of American Scientists. But
everyone is so politicized these days, including "scientists," so
maybe FAS wants to underplay the China threat. I don't know.
Well, you're right to raise that point. I was just quoting theTrevor wrote: ↑Tue Jul 27, 2021 3:07 pm> If anything so many DF-41s would be worse. According to a bit of
> research I've done, they can carry as many as 10-12 MIRVs, not
> three. Assuming they're all carrying 10 warheads, you're talking
> close to 2,600 warheads of around 150 kilotons. Assuming an even
> split between India, Japan, Russia, and the United States, that
> would be 650 each. Not all would get through, but enough would to
> cause mass devastation.
figures in the article by Federation of American Scientists. But
everyone is so politicized these days, including "scientists," so
maybe FAS wants to underplay the China threat. I don't know.
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
It does bring up the issue of whether New Start treaty should be continued. If China is adding a lot more warheads, it would be foolish for Russia and the US to remain in it. Similar to why the ABM and INF treaty were abrogated. Of course the Biden administration is ingested with the type who believes those treaties are meaningful in and of themselves so I don't expect any immediate change.Trevor wrote: ↑Tue Jul 27, 2021 3:07 pmIf anything so many DF-41s would be worse. According to a bit of research I've done, they can carry as many as 10-12 MIRVs, not three. Assuming they're all carrying 10 warheads, you're talking close to 2,600 warheads of around 150 kilotons. Assuming an even split between India, Japan, Russia, and the United States, that would be 650 each. Not all would get through, but enough would to cause mass devastation.
Funnily, it's Russia that would suffer most. Nuclear weapons and delivery systems are expensive to build and maintain and Russia would have to spend a huge chuck of change to keep up with Chinese/US increases. And Russia would do so, of course, because Putin's vanity would not let do otherwise.
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Great post again John. I wonder how accurate this actually is. I think the answer sadly is that it doesn't even matter.
Also, I wonder what the perceived "provocations" are. Most of our people have been bought off and the Chinese do it, and know it, only an outsider they helped dethrone was a small thorn in their side for a while.
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
America is following the steps of all collapsing empires in world history:
https://scheerpost.com/2021/07/26/hedge ... e-machine/
https://scheerpost.com/2021/07/26/hedge ... e-machine/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Taiwan and Japan have both been getting ready as well as Australia. If my memory serves me right I believe Australia made a purchase of military hardware from us of 8 billion dollars about three years ago. They followed that up with another purchase of more than 5 hundred million dollars from I think another country.
One of my work buddies served in the Navy during the Obama years and knows a lot about the weapons systems on the ships, I talk to him about war with China and other topics. He is confident with the ability of the on board weapons systems to be able to protect our ships from an attack. Keep in mind that since he left the navy there have probably been improvements to the weapons systems. I believe we have a clear technological advantage over the Chinese, however I believe that our woke commanding officers are a huge liability.
One of my work buddies served in the Navy during the Obama years and knows a lot about the weapons systems on the ships, I talk to him about war with China and other topics. He is confident with the ability of the on board weapons systems to be able to protect our ships from an attack. Keep in mind that since he left the navy there have probably been improvements to the weapons systems. I believe we have a clear technological advantage over the Chinese, however I believe that our woke commanding officers are a huge liability.
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Food for thought. I am not sure if this an intentional leak or somebody violated OPSEC, but it is interesting. https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3861097
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
** 29-Jul-2021 World View: Invading Taiwan
in Jennifer Zeng's blog that you referenced a couple of weeks ago.
-- The CCP’s 3 New Warships & Their Messages to the World, Will China
Go Back to Mao’s Time?
https://www.jenniferzengblog.com/home/2 ... -maos-time
(JenniferZeng, 7-May-2021)
-- “Nuke and Eliminate Japan”: The CCP’s Threat and Its Long Term Goal
& Global Strategy
https://www.jenniferzengblog.com/home/2 ... l-strategy
(JenniferZeng, 15-Jul-2021)
This is a very old article. The same strategy was described recentlyutahbob wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 2:36 pm> Food for thought. I am not sure if this an intentional leak or
> somebody violated OPSEC, but it is
> interesting. https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3861097
in Jennifer Zeng's blog that you referenced a couple of weeks ago.
-- The CCP’s 3 New Warships & Their Messages to the World, Will China
Go Back to Mao’s Time?
https://www.jenniferzengblog.com/home/2 ... -maos-time
(JenniferZeng, 7-May-2021)
-- “Nuke and Eliminate Japan”: The CCP’s Threat and Its Long Term Goal
& Global Strategy
https://www.jenniferzengblog.com/home/2 ... l-strategy
(JenniferZeng, 15-Jul-2021)
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Nice insights, thanks.thinker wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 6:04 amTaiwan and Japan have both been getting ready as well as Australia. If my memory serves me right I believe Australia made a purchase of military hardware from us of 8 billion dollars about three years ago. They followed that up with another purchase of more than 5 hundred million dollars from I think another country.
One of my work buddies served in the Navy during the Obama years and knows a lot about the weapons systems on the ships, I talk to him about war with China and other topics. He is confident with the ability of the on board weapons systems to be able to protect our ships from an attack. Keep in mind that since he left the navy there have probably been improvements to the weapons systems. I believe we have a clear technological advantage over the Chinese, however I believe that our woke commanding officers are a huge liability.
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Perhaps decline is a better word to use than collapse, since the latter is so commonly predicted and the end result is goose eggs on the scoreboard.Tom Mazanec wrote: ↑Wed Jul 28, 2021 5:50 amAmerica is following the steps of all collapsing empires in world history:
https://scheerpost.com/2021/07/26/hedge ... e-machine/
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