Financial topics

[aeden]

bfb siting
couple accounts on YouTube after the dry rubs

CA Housing Prices Crater 19% YOY As Los Angeles Housing Market Swirls The Bowl"
Hilarious, someone send him a message and ask him where he's been.

The other dude went missing after being spotted.

The developer said it has turned the matter over to the local police and it's "unclear" how it will affect future earnings
after 313 mil went missing.

Healthcare and Utes are the 2-day leaders as financial rolled.
Expirys due as the leveraged paper tigers go poo.
Go ahead ignore the h.8 sum more.

[aeden]

nyet

https://www.reuters.com/markets/currenc ... 021-12-16/

[richard5za]

So there must be reasons and cogent logic for why inflation will be 2.6%. So maybe energy is zero or negative; currency will continue to strengthen and imported manufactured goods be low and so on.
I am saying that the politicians are getting it right but if we can at least follow as the year unfolds

It seems most people are buying the idea that "inflation is caused by supply chains that are slow to reopen after covid". If you believe that, then you can think that in a few more months inflation might go away. I don't think it is correct, but it could count as cogent logic.

I think the correct answer is that labor shortages and supply shortages are from too much money printing.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/447506 ... en-us-into

I had a look at the break down of USA private consumption expenditure, which is something I should have done a while ago.
So Goods are 36% of total, and Services 64% = 100%
Within goods, durables account for 13% (cars, major appliances, electronic equipment, etc)
And Non-durables (food clothing, etc) 23% (So 13 + 23 = 36% for Goods)
Within non-durables Food is only 7% (The USA is really a rich country to be as low as 7% for food whatever the American grumbles)
Within Services of 64% the two biggest are Health Care at 17% and Housing at 16% (I was surprised at the lower than I expected housing figure)
I was also very surprised that Education wasn't seperately listed within services and presumably within Other

So from the above weightings of PCE constituents if you can create a cogent story that delays at the ports are the reason for high inflation then enter your story into the Pulitzer Prize for Fiction because you might just win!

Health, Housing, Hotels, Recreation, Finance, etc, etc were not sitting outside the ports. Services at 64% of PCE don't sit outside ports.

Part of Goods were sitting outside the ports but goods are only 36% of total PCE

And goods have always sat outside the ports so perhaps this is an increase on previous, but its only parital on part of 36% of PCE. (And won't include perishables such as food)

So I am none the wiser on this subject

[aeden]

The worst tornado in US history occurred 23 years before Al Gore was born in 1925. (Tri-state Tornado, 747 killed)
Rather bad weather pattern last week also.

https://www.statbureau.org/en/united-st ... ation/1925

We are not buying anything either other than bread milk eggs for some time.
Our covid lock down and illness and qurantine was just like anything else.
It showed that even the alleged smart are not even remotely prepared.
It is almost impossible to get what needs to be done.
Even when we planned ahead it truly sucked being sick, in a power loss and dumb asses calling
us to get warn until power was restored. I truly fell bad for those people who yes just got wiped out.
At least when a Tornado wiped us off the face of planet our customers pulled every nail and stack every
shredded board so we could heal up and get back to work. They came aged 8 to 80 on the Church Bus and worked sun up
to sun down for days and only took a thank you and vanished.
The Amish.

New Normal ideology as aptly put is sweeping over the lands while the green hourse gallops along as the Black Horse only now
getting focus. We will try to increase output and yes we let your soil rest as your input costs to chemical farmers spike.
Nope never seen it coming now did we.

No labor shorage exists. The informal economy has more to offer it was suggested than the parasites bleeding the truly productive dry.

The message is, there will be no more unauthorized presidents, no more leaving the European Union, no more “populist” rebellions against the global hegemony of global-capitalism and its soul-crushing, valueless “woke” ideology. GloboCap is done playing grab-ass. They announced that back in March of 2020. They informed us in unmistakable terms that our lives were about to change, forever. They branded and advertised this change as “the New Normal,” in case we were … you know, cognitively challenged. They did not hide it. They wanted us to understand exactly what was coming, a global-capitalist version of totalitarianism, in which we will all be happy little fascist “consumers” showing each other our “compliance certificates” in order to be allowed to live our lives.

You are this stupid and will degrade as we focus internal networks to avoid these gain of function killers and soul crushing idiots.
We told you bluntly true both camps are not welcome anymore and why.

[vincecate]

It seems most people are buying the idea that "inflation is caused by supply chains that are slow to reopen after covid". If you believe that, then you can think that in a few more months inflation might go away. I don't think it is correct, but it could count as cogent logic.

I had a look at the break down of USA private consumption expenditure, which is something I should have done a while ago.
So Goods are 36% of total, and Services 64% = 100%
Within goods, durables account for 13% (cars, major appliances, electronic equipment, etc)
And Non-durables (food clothing, etc) 23% (So 13 + 23 = 36% for Goods)
Within non-durables Food is only 7% (The USA is really a rich country to be as low as 7% for food whatever the American grumbles)
Within Services of 64% the two biggest are Health Care at 17% and Housing at 16% (I was surprised at the lower than I expected housing figure)
I was also very surprised that Education wasn't seperately listed within services and presumably within Other

So from the above weightings of PCE constituents if you can create a cogent story that delays at the ports are the reason for high inflation then enter your story into the Pulitzer Prize for Fiction because you might just win!

Health, Housing, Hotels, Recreation, Finance, etc, etc were not sitting outside the ports. Services at 64% of PCE don't sit outside ports.

Part of Goods were sitting outside the ports but goods are only 36% of total PCE

And goods have always sat outside the ports so perhaps this is an increase on previous, but its only parital on part of 36% of PCE. (And won't include perishables such as food)

So I am none the wiser on this subject

Interesting. How much have the durable goods inflated vs services? I think they do have much more inflation. If goods were up an average of 21% they could make the CPI up 7% even though they were only 1/3rd of CPI.
Again, I don't think the argument is correct, but I do think many believe the narrative.
By my theory (more people using goods as store of value as dollar becomes bad store of value) I would also expect most of the inflation in goods and not services.

[aeden]

Greshams law in real terms already past well underway. Joggers have destoyed internal tax strucures so they are dead in revenue and dropping
like fruit flys. Brandons cult idiots on their knees worshipping debt. They are brain dead stupid people worshipping deficiency and impairments of mental and physical functions via unix toolboxes.
Move along as these Emory test patients have one thing in common.

[aeden]

Agreed, it won’t be a market crash, it will be a civilization crash.

Exibit A is the lira as they secure alleged swap lines. BTC is not going help since those
people already left that areana. Those days are may be past but the other central bank
conveyed a store of alleged valu but not payment terms. The only thing that going to increase
are butt hurt reports how its not my fault as they already looted the cookie jar as they did here anyways.

Those who ignored Nevsky swot input energy needs analyse are very unhappy.

Study that applied the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) already knew better unlike more here also.

[aeden]

Cramer moved to POS and Declares Government Has A Right To Force You.

Craven deranged idiot.

You came out as a fascist a while ago, but I guess this is a more blatant way of admitting it
— Lauren Chen (@TheLaurenChen) December 15, 2021
My grandparents were sent to work & extermination camps Jimbo. It was legal.
The government had a "right" to force them to obey, they stole their guns first.
All it took was little fuckers like you, gladly opening the cattle car doors, for them and doing the dirty work.

True.
They murdered our also.

The ARKK vs NASDAQ bubble chart we started showing a few months ago continues to trade perfection. T
The madness of crowds never stops.

Only one by one can they recover.

[richard5za]

It seems most people are buying the idea that "inflation is caused by supply chains that are slow to reopen after covid".

I had a look at the break down of USA private consumption expenditure, which is something I should have done a while ago.
So Goods are 36% of total, and Services 64% = 100%

So I am none the wiser on this subject

Interesting. How much have the durable goods inflated vs services? I think they do have much more inflation. If goods were up an average of 21% they could make the CPI up 7% even though they were only 1/3rd of CPI.
Again, I don't think the argument is correct, but I do think many believe the narrative.
By my theory (more people using goods as store of value as dollar becomes bad store of value) I would also expect most of the inflation in goods and not services.

There must be plenty of economists and statisticians in the USA who know exactly what drove inflation in the last 12 months. What surprises me is that these scholarly views are not widely spread in the media. Rather a single minded story about stuff sitting outside the ports becomes the main news item.

[John]

> There must be plenty of economists and statisticians in the USA
> who know exactly what drove inflation in the last 12
> months.

Lol!!