Tom Mazanec's Topic

As requested, this sub-forum is for partying, fun, gossip, conundrums, flirting, comedy, tragedy, or whatever.
Cool Breeze
Posts: 3040
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Cool Breeze »

Prediction time Tom:

Do they raise rates once for .25? Twice?

If they do, do the markets react and send them back with their tail between their legs after a big sell off?
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Cool Breeze wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 10:19 am Prediction time Tom:

Do they raise rates once for .25? Twice?

If they do, do the markets react and send them back with their tail between their legs after a big sell off?
My guess (I am not dogmatic like John, this is fallible) is that they raise once, maybe twice, the markets crash and we are back to 1/4% and QE on steroids.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Why 1% interest rate hikes won’t fix + 6% inflation – AOTH
https://aheadoftheherd.com/why-1-intere ... inflation/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Cool Breeze
Posts: 3040
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Cool Breeze »

Tom Mazanec wrote: Wed Dec 22, 2021 7:25 am
Cool Breeze wrote: Tue Dec 21, 2021 10:19 am Prediction time Tom:

Do they raise rates once for .25? Twice?

If they do, do the markets react and send them back with their tail between their legs after a big sell off?
My guess (I am not dogmatic like John, this is fallible) is that they raise once, maybe twice, the markets crash and we are back to 1/4% and QE on steroids.
I can see that. I am saying only once, if that. Agreed.
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Well, I bolded the 'maybe'. Just covering my ***. I think a second rise is unlikely too.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

ECONOMY Published December 20
Low-income shoppers impacted by inflation amid holiday season
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/low ... day-season

Stagflation Is Coming To A Theater Near You
Tyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
MONDAY, DEC 20, 2021 - 01:23 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stagf ... r-near-you

Peter Schiff: Jim Rickards Is Wrong About Inflation And Cathie Wood "Believes Her Own Bullshit"
Tyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
WEDNESDAY, DEC 22, 2021 - 01:45 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/peter ... n-bullshit

Biden’s inflation may be even worse than Jimmy Carter’s
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/20 ... immy-cart/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Even Fed’s Lowest Lowball Inflation Measure Spikes Relentlessly: Parallel Isn’t 1982, but 1974, When Powell was in College
by Wolf Richter • Dec 23, 2021 • 107 Comments
But even the comparison to 1974 fails because back then, the Fed had already pushed short-term rates to 9%. Today: most reckless Fed ever.
https://wolfstreet.com/2021/12/23/even- ... n-college/

The Ghost of Christmas Inflation
Dec 23, 2021
JOHN H. COCHRANE
https://www.project-syndicate.org/comme ... ne-2021-12

Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Spikes To Almost 40-Year-Highs, Real Spending Flat
Tyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
THURSDAY, DEC 23, 2021 - 08:39 AM
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-fina ... nding-flat
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Cool Breeze
Posts: 3040
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Cool Breeze »

Tom Mazanec wrote: Thu Dec 23, 2021 10:55 am ECONOMY Published December 20
Low-income shoppers impacted by inflation amid holiday season
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/low ... day-season

Stagflation Is Coming To A Theater Near You
Tyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
MONDAY, DEC 20, 2021 - 01:23 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stagf ... r-near-you

Peter Schiff: Jim Rickards Is Wrong About Inflation And Cathie Wood "Believes Her Own Bullshit"
Tyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
WEDNESDAY, DEC 22, 2021 - 01:45 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/peter ... n-bullshit

Biden’s inflation may be even worse than Jimmy Carter’s
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/20 ... immy-cart/
Great comments on the Schiff article at ZH ... one pointed out that shrinkflation has created another additive way for the CPI buffoons to not accurately show us increases in price (diminish this obvious fact) = same price for a decreased amount or souped up version. The opposite of the correction for hedonic adjustment, lol, which seems to be the only way they go - never increasing CPI, always lowering it with manipulations. Sorry, we we ain't that stupid.
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZzM343iGgk
Peak Inflation Is Nowhere in Sight - Ep 763
5,868 viewsDec 24, 2021

620

DISLIKE

SHARE

SAVE


Peter Schiff
477K subscribers
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Tom Mazanec's Topic

Post by Tom Mazanec »

More Economic Stagnation and Higher Prices in 2022. The Mike & Mario Show.
964 viewsDec 25, 2021

196

DISLIKE

SHARE

SAVE


maneco64
58K subscribers

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NQH2PsLTCN8
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Semrush [Bot] and 2 guests