I've been watching prediction after prediction of yours fail. When a failure gets so bad that it seems to deserve comment to set the record straight, I comment. You can think of me as a secure and logical person who wants to expose the truth.Cool Breeze wrote: ↑Fri Mar 11, 2022 8:50 pmWhere were you in December? LOL, you know nothing. Do you have a position on any of this? Or do you just like to troll?
For example, you predicted that Russia would take some of Eastern Ukraine at most. I am watching this prediction fail also but have not commented as of yet. However, if Russia moves very significantly past Eastern Ukraine to make this prediction as terrible as your bitcoin/gold prediction, I will probably feel a need to comment.
I wasn't aware of it until today, but you said over a year ago that you "have no problem being wrong at all, in fact I welcome it..."
Therefore, my posts about your wrong predictions should not bother you. You should welcome being reminded that you were wrong and be thanking me instead of scolding me.Cool Breeze wrote: ↑Sat Jan 02, 2021 12:34 pmWhen you are a secure and logical person who acts legitimate questions that expose the truth, you are always in the Socrates gadfly category and people don't like it. They project that word on you "right" when in reality if you are not a narcissist you are in fact just trying to get at what is true. People do not like their weak ideas to be exposed and it's even more uncomfortable for them to be confronted with this. In this sense, I've discovered even weak people, who you would think would be humble given their experiences in life, cannot plainly admit even that they might not know, or could be wrong. Instead they get hot and bothered, which only makes guys like me even more frustrated, because I would never continue if people just admitted that they need to do more research, perhaps reconsider, etc.
Friends have pointed out that the origin of this is typically insecurity from the way others are raised, their family relationships, and self esteem. I have no problem being wrong at all, in fact I welcome it to have an even stronger point of view --- but one final note here --- the same people who hate you for being "right" never remember that you actually are flexible and change your point of view when confronted with an explanation of X that better explains the world. Why? It doesn't stand out (like when they hate your superior logic or idea) and thus the opposite of recall bias, ignorance bias, rules the day.