Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
FullMoon
Posts: 1017
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

“If the U.S. does not hit the brake but continue to speed down the wrong path, no amount of guardrails can prevent derailing and there will surely be conflict and confrontation,” Qin said.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/07/chinas- ... efing.html

John, please say something about how China has been acting during and after the balloon incident. How much of it is bluster and how much are they talking to a foreign vs domestic audience in your opinion?
FullMoon
Posts: 1017
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

El Cid M wrote: Fri Mar 10, 2023 12:04 am
Billy the Will wrote: Thu Mar 09, 2023 5:58 am
John wrote: Tue Mar 07, 2023 1:07 pm

Don't forget Japan.
The west ensured that Taiwan would one day be invaded by agreeing to having their UN seat taken away from them and given to Beijing.
The UN should have recognised both as individual nations and allowed both of them to have a seat.
Nixon has a lot to answer for.
I agree, but Beijing wouldn't. In the end, Kissinger and Nixon sacrificed Taiwan and the entire Asia-Pacific for relatively short-mid term gain.
Kissinger is good at giving bad advice.
China aligned with us and now where's the USSR? Remember how they were such a big deal? But there's no permanent friends among frenemies. We pivoted too slow and too late apparently. And didn't befriend more the continental countermass to what has become our officially declared #1 rival. So we're behind the ball and bereft. Kissinger has spoken recently and he knows. Short term alignment is all anyone can ever really do. Diplomacy is a give and take. Sometimes giving up a little to get a lot is the best choice.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Friday, March 10, 2023

Silicon Valley Bank crisis spreads panic
among startups; funding drops to $140
million this week
Published on 10 Mar, 2023

Silicon Valley Bank — a prominent bank
among US tech startups and investors —
has raised fears of insolvency after it
announced the issuance of shares to
shore up its capital position to offset
$1.8-billion of losses from its
investments. This has created chaos
among venture capitalists, startups who
are caught in limbo of whether they
should withdraw their money or wait for
the situation to become better.

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/te ... 545822.cms
So, is this the Black Swan event we have been anticipating?
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Leftist: Stop hating Gary Lineker!! He is just using his right of free speech to express his opinion

Also Leftist: How dare Scott Adams use his right of free speech to express his opinion that we don't like, we demand him to be cancelled!!

Our country has been destroyed beyond repair.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Guest wrote: Thu Mar 09, 2023 1:45 am
FullMoon wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 10:04 pm
John wrote: Wed Mar 08, 2023 5:50 pm Wednesday, March 8th, 2023.

I heard today that polls say that 40% of people believe that World War III is imminent. speaking as Cassandra, this is quite a shock to me because I'm definitely not used to having people agree with me.
I bet that number has risen dramatically over the last year. Also, although people might be aware of imminent danger, they don't actually realize what it means. Otherwise we'd have empty grocery store shelves and general pandemonium. Like it's a spectator sport and we're being entertained.
The UK already has empty produce shelves and with 2.3 million migrants entering the country in 2021-22, the streets are already filled with pandemonium.

I can't imagine what WW3 would bring.
We all need to fully acknowledge that Ukraine is fighting our war - on our behalf. There is no doubt of this. Putin saw a weakness in the West which he thought he could exploit (Biden) but he was , I sincerely hope, wrong. If he wins in Ukraine he will go for the Baltic States and, because they are in NATO, that triggers WW3 - we need to avoid that and give Ukraine all the armaments it needs to finish the war swiftly.
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

US gearing up for gray zone space wars
US defense planners formulating responses to possible Russia or China attack on privately-run, military-oriented Starlink satellite system
By GABRIEL HONRADA
MARCH 10, 2023
https://asiatimes.com/2023/03/us-gearin ... pace-wars/

9 Mar, 2023 18:12
HomeRussia & FSU
Air raid alert broadcast in Moscow by hackers – officials
https://www.rt.com/russia/572700-moscow-fake-air-alert/

DNI Haines Says China Should Know the US Is Willing to Defend Taiwan
Her assessment is based on President Biden's repeated pledges to intervene if China attacks Taiwan
by Dave DeCamp Posted onMarch 9, 2023
https://news.antiwar.com/2023/03/09/dni ... nd-taiwan/

Rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran restore ties, with China's help. Here's why it matters
March 10, 20232:52 PM ET
https://www.npr.org/2023/03/10/11625622 ... a-analysis
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

Saturday, March 11, 2023
FullMoon wrote: Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:51 pm
“If the U.S. does not hit the brake but
continue to speed down the wrong path,
no amount of guardrails can prevent
derailing and there will surely be
conflict and confrontation,” Qin said.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/07/chinas- ... efing.html

John, please say something about how
China has been acting during and after
the balloon incident. How much of it is
bluster and how much are they talking to
a foreign vs domestic audience in your
opinion?

There are still many unanswered
questions about the balloon incident,
such as:

* Was this the first Chinese balloon,
or have there been several undetected
balloons in the past?

* If there have been previous
undetected balloons, why were they
undetected? Was it because the radar
needed to be "calibrated," or was it
because they were detected, but not
publicized? (The last balloon was
detected by eyesight by civilians.)

* What data did the balloon collect?

* Was the balloon incident a rogue act
by a faction of the military, as some
analysts have suggested, or was it
approved by Xi Jinping?

* Was the discovery and announcement
of the balloon incident a major
embarrassment to the Chinese
Communists, as some analysts have
suggested based on the confused
flip-flop reactions?

* After the balloon was revealed, why
did the Biden administration allow it
to drift over one military base after
another, traveling all across the
country, collecting information,
without shooting it down? (Some
people, including me, believe that
Biden has been compromised by the
Chinese, and may even be selling out
national security to the Chinese,
allowing the Chinese to infiltrate the
US in many different ways.)


To answer your original question, I
believe that the Chinese Communists are
desperate, because they have so many
problems -- 22 border disputes with
their neighbors (which is insane),
failure of the zero-covid policy,
economy problems (falling GDP), restive
population, aging population, failed
attempts to end one-child policy,
Putin's failed invasion of Ukraine, and
so forth. I consider Xi Jinping's
winning an unprecedented third term to
be a sign of weakness and confusion,
rather than strength. (Nobody has
forgotten that Mao Zedong's dictatorship
was a disaster for Chine, but "this time
it's different.")

Unfortunately, the fact that the Chinese
Communists are very weak right now makes
them very dangerous. They're using
threats of imminent war with Taiwan and
the US to unite the restive population
behind them, but that will only work so
long before they have to do something
more "kinetic."

One thing that's really fascinating
about the current era is that it answers
so many questions about what happened in
the 1930s. People of my age have
wondered all our lives how it was
possible for Hitler have so thoroughly
fooled the British? How could Neville
Chamberlain have visited Hitler and then
announced "peace in our time," at the
same time that Hitler was meeting with
Benito Mussolini to plan the invasions
of France and Britain? How could
Chamberlain have appeased Hitler after
his invasion of Czechoslovakia? Only
Churchill saw what was going on and said
so, and he was universally hated.

Today, the same thing is happening.
Biden keeps touting his close
relationship with Xi, despite Xi's
repeated threats to attack Taiwan and
the US. Only people like Donald Trump
and Tom Cotton see what's going on and
say so, and they are universally hated.
guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by guest »

One thing that's really fascinating
about the current era is that it answers
so many questions about what happened in
the 1930s. People of my age have
wondered all our lives how it was
possible for Hitler have so thoroughly
fooled the British? How could Neville
Chamberlain have visited Hitler and then
announced "peace in our time," at the
same time that Hitler was meeting with
Benito Mussolini to plan the invasions
of France and Britain? How could
Chamberlain have appeased Hitler after
his invasion of Czechoslovakia? Only
Churchill saw what was going on and said
so, and he was universally hated.
Look at Cool Breeze and the other useful idiots on this board. They buy into crazy conspiracy theories and think the Russians are the good guys :roll:
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4200
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

I happen to be listening to a Q&A video by the artist of the Out-Of-Placers webcomic, which I am obsessed by. I just hope him and I live long enough to see the end of the story arc before the world blows up.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Another guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Another guest »

Tom Mazanec wrote: Sun Mar 12, 2023 6:58 am I happen to be listening to a Q&A video by the artist of the Out-Of-Placers webcomic, which I am obsessed by. I just hope him and I live long enough to see the end of the story arc before the world blows up.
How many episodes left?
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