Generational Dynamics World View News

[John]

** 07-Apr-2023 World View: Probability of Mideast war increasing

There was a terror attack in Tel Aviv
today, killing one Israeli and the
attacker, and wounding six people. The
attacker drove his car through a crowd
and followed up with gunfire. Hamas has
officially praised the attack,
suggesting that there will be more such
attacks.

This follows an exchange of rockets and
missiles between Palestinians (in Gaza
and Lebanon) and Israel. So far,
Hezbollah has not been involved, which
suggests that they don't want a war at
the current moment.

These attacks were triggered earlier
this week by clashes between Palestinians
and Israelis at the Al-Aqsa Mosque /
Temple Mount in Jerusalem. Those
clashes are continuing sporadically.

[guest388]

Not so fast...

It sounds like the Russians altered the numbers and then released the file.

If the Russians are 'winning', why are they still losing ground?

Russia is losing ground?

Yeah. Where have you been? They have lost Kherson and Ulraine has recaptured parts of Bakhmut. That is why the Russia army is shifting away from it.

Sorry to be the one to break the bad news to you.

This is what happens when you watch RT television all day.

Russia has lost a lot of ground since the 2022 invasion; however, losing or holding onto small towns like Bakhmut is not a good indicator of who is winning. Ukraine has made tactic withdrawals from towns and then counter attacked and taken whole districts. The ebb and flow of battle is what it is. Bakhmut, at this point, is symbolic, but not too much beyond that. I don't think capturing a ruined town like Bakhmut would really raise the moral of freezing, hungry, and poorly equipped Russian soldiers. A victory there would be a Pyrrhic one; the cost to the Russians is already sky high. A few more victors like that and Russia will be defeated.

What the Ukrainians did pushing the Russians away from Kiev was far more impressive.

A Ukraine is being flooded with NATO weapons; Russia buying ammo from North Korea! I think the horrendous state of Russian logistics is a far better measure of who is winning the war.

[John]

** 08-Apr-2023 World View: Jerusalem - The Center of the Universe

During the last 20 years of writing
books and thousands of articles on my
web site, I have seen over and over
again that Jerusalem seems to be the
center of the universe, or at least the
center of the entire Western world.
Whether it was the Egyptians or the
Romans or the Arabs or the British or
the Russians, major wars always seemed
to be centered around Jerusalem.

Jerusalem is the holiest or one of the
holiest centers for four major religions
-- Judaism, Eastern Orthodox
Christianity, Western (Catholic,
Protestant) Christianity, and Islam.
This has made Jerusalem a cauldron of
conflict for millennia.

This weekend celebrates holy days in all
of these four religions -- Jewish
Passover, Orthodox Palm Sunday,
Catholic/Protestant Easter, and Muslim
Ramadan. This fact alone means that
tensions are very high in Jerusalem.

Analysts are mixed as to whether the
latest round of violence will lead to a
wider war. Whether that happens
probably depends on whether Hezbollah
leaders in Lebanon want a wider war, and
those decisions probably depend on what
their masters in Tehran want them to do.
Even without Hezbollah's participation,
it looks like there is going to be a new
war between Israel and the Palestians,
but we've already had several of those
in the last 20 years.

[Cool Breeze]

The center of chicanery, more like it. John, why did you give up on the eastern orthodox church?

[Guest]

The center of chicanery, more like it. John, why did you give up on the eastern orthodox church?

Bibi is pushing for a distraction.

[Guest]

Russia is losing ground?

Yeah. Where have you been? They have lost Kherson and Ulraine has recaptured parts of Bakhmut. That is why the Russia army is shifting away from it.

Sorry to be the one to break the bad news to you.

This is what happens when you watch RT television all day.

Russia has lost a lot of ground since the 2022 invasion; however, losing or holding onto small towns like Bakhmut is not a good indicator of who is winning. Ukraine has made tactic withdrawals from towns and then counter attacked and taken whole districts. The ebb and flow of battle is what it is. Bakhmut, at this point, is symbolic, but not too much beyond that. I don't think capturing a ruined town like Bakhmut would really raise the moral of freezing, hungry, and poorly equipped Russian soldiers. A victory there would be a Pyrrhic one; the cost to the Russians is already sky high. A few more victors like that and Russia will be defeated.

What the Ukrainians did pushing the Russians away from Kiev was far more impressive.

A Ukraine is being flooded with NATO weapons; Russia buying ammo from North Korea! I think the horrendous state of Russian logistics is a far better measure of who is winning the war.

Reach Melitopol, and head south to Tavriisk. Then shut off the Crimea canal. Kerch bridge downed. Russia unable to re supply apart from via Sebastopol and just wait for Russians to starve/leave. It doesn't matter how sophisticated the Orcs make their trench systems, when the Kerch Bridge goes down they are cut off from re-supply.

[Tom Mazanec]

Iraq demands Turkey apologise over attack on Sulaimaniyah airport
9 Apr 2023
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/4/9 ... ah-airport

Israel Strikes Lebanon After Barrage of Militia Rockets
BY TYLER DURDEN
FRIDAY, APR 07, 2023 - 07:45 AM
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ia-rockets

Split Emerges In NATO Over Offering Ukraine 'Road Map' To Membership
BY TYLER DURDEN
SATURDAY, APR 08, 2023 - 07:35 AM
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... membership

Russian energy oligarch found dead in his detention cell – the 40th high-profile Russian death since February 2022
Thursday, April 06, 2023
https://www.naturalnews.com/2023-04-06- ... -cell.html

8 Apr, 2023 01:11
HomeWorld News
Xi divides and conquers during Macron’s China visit
https://www.rt.com/news/574307-leyen-ma ... sit-china/

China sends dozens of warplanes towards Taiwan as US urges restraint amid military drills
Helen Davidson in Taipei
@heldavidson
Sun 9 Apr 2023 02.21 EDT
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/ ... ary-drills

Israeli military retaliates after rockets fired from Syria
April 9, 20232:44 AM ET
The Associated Press
https://www.npr.org/2023/04/09/11688344 ... from-syria

U.S. officials believe 'leaked' U.S. classified documents about Ukraine war strength may be real
April 7, 2023, 6:09 PM EDT / Updated April 9, 2023, 2:17 AM EDT
By Dan De Luce
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/nation ... -rcna78771

[DT Subscriber]

Well, there is one pro-Democrat propaganda machine that actually had something important to say yesterday:

Ukraine War Plans Leak Prompts Pentagon Investigation
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/06/us/p ... ussia.html

Note the key part: the actual ratio of Russian casualties to Ukrainian casualties is about 1:4.5 in Russia's favor, not the 2:1 favoring Ukraine that the "officials" made up. And they are, of course, trying to pass off the real numbers as "disinformation" while attempting in vain to scrub the leak from social media.

Russia is winning the war. And our government can no longer stop us from knowing it.

Not so fast...

It sounds like the Russians altered the numbers and then released the file.

If the Russians are 'winning', why are they still losing ground?

The analysts warned that documents released by Russian sources could be selectively altered to present the Kremlin’s disinformation.

“Whether these documents are authentic or not, people should take care with anything released by Russian sources,” said Michael Kofman, the director of Russian studies at CNA, a research institute in Arlington, Virginia.

One of the slides said 16,000 to 17,500 Russian soldiers had been killed while Ukraine had suffered as many as 71,500 troop deaths. The Pentagon and other analysts have estimated that Russia has suffered far more casualties, and that closer to 200,000 soldiers on each side had been killed or wounded.

Nonetheless, analysts said parts of the documents appeared authentic and provide Russia with valuable information such as the timetables for the delivery of weapons and troops, Ukrainian troop buildup numbers and other military details.

From the Daily Telegraph:

Some had been crudely doctored to increase the Ukrainian casualties and reduce the Russian ones.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/ ... d-snowden/

[John]

** 09-Apr-2023 World View: The Two Israels

Things have been quiet today (Sunday) at
the Jerusalem holy sites, but in the
region as a whole the violence appears
to be spreading. Israel is exchanging
rocket and missile file with the
Palestinians in Gaza and southern
Lebanon refugee camps. What's new today
is that Israel is also exchanging fire
with missile sites in Syria.

So far, the role of Hezbollah (and Iran)
has not been reported. In particular,
it's not known whether the Palestinians
in southern Lebanon launched rocket
strikes with or without the permission
of Hezbollah. If it was with
permission, then a wider war would be
more likely. I believe that I heard one
analyst say that Hezbollah was planning
anti-Israel protests on Friday.

Today's JTA (Jewish Telegraph Agency)
newsletter contains an article about
"Two Israels," describing some of the
contradictions in Israeli society. The
point of the article is the massive
street protests going on in Israel today
are animated by many more issues than
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's
proposed judicial reform of the Supreme
Court.

https://www.jta.org/2023/04/09/opinion/ ... ing-israel

Here are some of the issues and
contradictions described in the article:

• Supporters of judicial reform
  claim that under the current system,
  unelected judges too often overrule
  elected lawmakers. Opponents say that
  the reforms would give unchecked and
  unprecedented power to legislators.
• There are disagreements over
  Palestinians and the occupation. The
  Palestinian Authority is weakened and
  ineffective, Palestinian youth lack hope
  for a better future, and Israeli
  settlers feel emboldened by supporters
  in the ruling coalition.
• There is a resurgent patriotism
  among the center and the left.
• There is a Jewish Diaspora
  emboldened to weigh in on the future of
  Zionism.
• There are divisions over the growing
  power of Israel’s haredi Orthodox
  sector. Secular Israelis especially
  resent that the haredim
  disproportionately seek exemption from
  military service and that non-haredi
  Israelis contribute some 90% of all
  taxes collected.
• There is a divide between Ashkenazi
  Jews with roots in Europe and Mizrahi
  Jews whose ancestry is Middle Eastern
  and North African.
• Conservatives insist that Israeli
  “elites” — the highly educated, the tech
  sector, the military leadership, and
  others — don’t respect the will of the
  majority who brought Netanyahu and his
  coalition partners to power. This is
  why Netanyahu's opponents refer to him
  as "Israel's Trump."
• There is a split between those who
  believe that Israel should be a more
  religious country, and those who want it
  to be more secular. This is between
  those who see Israel’s founding vision
  as a European-style, rights-based
  democracy, and those who see that vision
  as the return of the Jews to their
  ancient homeland.

It's clear from this list that Israel is
going through lunacy just like America.
This happens because both countries are
in a generational Crisis Era, and the
lunacy will end when these countries
face an existential crisis in the form
of World War III.

[Guest]

Don’t expect anything other than childishness and petulance from the Chinese Communist Party leadership. It’s a very dangerous time to have a very frail US President and an idiotic Vice President. Why else are the Chinese escalating the situation?