Generational Dynamics World View News

[Cool Breeze]

Could the BRICS really de-dollarize the global economy?

But the elites can, and may.

[John]

** 21-Apr-2023 World View: Big city Democrat mayors suddenly down on crime

Black mayors of cities like New York,
Chicago, and Los Angeles are all meeting
right now in Washington DC to beg the
Biden administration for help in dealing
with migrants and crime, according to
Fox News.

Even Lori Lightfoot, who is in the final
days of being Chicago's mayor, is doing
a complete U-turn, and is now demanding
that the police do more to stop crime.

Last weekend, downtown Chicago was
trashed by mobs of mostly black
teenagers. Mob activists are calling
for a repeat this weekend.

This brings back memories of the 1968
Democrat National Convention, which was
held in Chicago, and is considered a
disaster because it was disrupted by
massive riots by anti-war Democrat
protesers.

Now, the next Democrat convention is
scheduled to be held in Chicago in
August 2024, and a repeat of 1968 is
feared.

[Realist Ogre]

Realist Ogre » Sat Apr 15, 2023 8:57 pm

Three 9 year old school children brutally murdered and the American media hits the alarm button and spews out panicky denunciations of transphobia. It's beyond disturbing. It's shocking. But we now live in a society without empathy. Without common decency. American society has become degenerate. Urban violence, especially against whites (and to a lesser extent) Asians is quickly and quietly ignored. How will American society regenerate with these sociopathic criminals? Will American society truly regenerate during a new world war?

It won't.

American society will splinter because it has to if any part of it is to survive. We reached the fork in the road decades ago. You decide which one you will take (if you have a choice). I am taking the road less travelled. Partition. Succession. And, if necessary, foreign flight.

Cool Breeze » Thu Apr 13, 2023 9:12 am

Mask wrote: ↑Thu Apr 13, 2023 8:17 am
And they just voted in another BLM mayor.

And Walmart announced it would close all but its smallest stores in the Windy city after never making a profit there eventhough they had invest hundreds of millions of dollars.
At this point, I'm rooting for complete collapse, though of course I have no say or power in any of that. A long time ago I lived in the Great Lakes region, and I saw the direction it was headed, so I did what was obvious - leave.

Mask wrote: ↑Thu Apr 13, 2023 8:17 am

And they just voted in another BLM mayor.

And Walmart announced it would close all but its smallest stores in the Windy city after never making a profit there eventhough they had invest hundreds of millions of dollars.

Cool Breeze wrote: ↑Thu Apr 13, 2023 9:12 am

At this point, I'm rooting for complete collapse, though of course I have no say or power in any of that. A long time ago I lived in the Great Lakes region, and I saw the direction it was headed, so I did what was obvious - leave.

777 » Fri Apr 14, 2023 12:14 am

I honestly want to avoid collapse but contain the the inhabitants of the cities in their own self made hellholes. The welfare classes want access to drugs, alcohol, and women. Let them savage their own. The Democrats want to turn America into a vast Baltimore. The cities have become hellscapes. I know people personally who have been raped and murdered. I never thought I would be in this place. It was an abstract concept in the 1990s. Now it is part of my daily existence. Black Lives Matter has destroyed America.

I think leaving America is the only solution.

Guest wrote: ↑Sat Apr 15, 2023 9:27 pm
America will become another Zimbabwe, but one without Chinese foreign aid, loans, and technicians to keep what little is left of Rhodesia's once magnificent infrastructure barely going.

Some of my family escaped from Rhodesia in the 1980s. They could not believe how quickly the country collapsed. How quickly law and order disappeared. Zimbabwe is in a shocking state of decay; however, without Chinese technicians, it would have collapsed into the stone age decades ago, exactly where it was when European arrived. The natural state of Africa is a stone age existence. Having passively allowed these people by the tens of millions into Europe, parts of Europe will end up back in the stone age.

In North America, the same can be said of the Latino migration. You are importing stone age people who are totally incapable of maintaining a first world country and infrastructure. When I lived in Latin America, the elites were almost entirely European whites. I'm not exaggerating. When the indigenous take over the country, like in Venezuela, the country collapses. And they blame the "gringos". The complete absence of any feeling of responsibility is part of their culture. The Whites in Latin America have all been red pilled. Their attitude towards the Indians is as low as it can go. Only logical.

My family fled Zimbabwe. Now we are all pondering where we can flee to next....
Parts of rural Italy have already reverted to the Stone Age.

Guest » Sun Apr 16, 2023 10:35 pm

There are former factories and agricultural buildings that were turned into temporary barracks for Africans. Now these places are "no-go zones" filled with open sewers, drugs, and garbage. the furniture has been destroyed and the stripped out stolen cars surround the barracks structures. A mish-mash, stone age village has appeared in these places. In locals where the right wing parties rule, they are cleared out. If the left wing is in control, the story is hidden. I know someone who worked for a year at an NGO distributing meals and basic services to migrants. He told me there is no gratitude. Only complaints and threats of violence against everyone. Women can no longer visit the site with the staff because of many rape attempts. This is Italy?

Italy has been swamped with Africans. It is too late for many regions in Italy. Hopefully regions will declare political independence. I will move there.

This is happening to the civilized world. People want to runaway, but anything remotely resembling Western Civilization is being ripped to shreds. I think there is only one solution:

Hopefully regions will declare political independence. I will move there.

[Realist Ogre]

** 21-Apr-2023 World View: Big city Democrat mayors suddenly down on crime

Black mayors of cities like New York,
Chicago, and Los Angeles are all meeting
right now in Washington DC to beg the
Biden administration for help in dealing
with migrants and crime, according to
Fox News.

Even Lori Lightfoot, who is in the final
days of being Chicago's mayor, is doing
a complete U-turn, and is now demanding
that the police do more to stop crime.

Last weekend, downtown Chicago was
trashed by mobs of mostly black
teenagers. Mob activists are calling
for a repeat this weekend.

This brings back memories of the 1968
Democrat National Convention, which was
held in Chicago, and is considered a
disaster because it was disrupted by
massive riots by anti-war Democrat
protesers.

Now, the next Democrat convention is
scheduled to be held in Chicago in
August 2024, and a repeat of 1968 is
feared.

Well, no. Not really. The urban masses and their elected leaders are doubling down.

Chicago’s mayor-elect warns against ‘demonizing’ rampaging teens after unrest

“However, it is not constructive to demonize youth who have otherwise been starved of opportunities in their own communities.”

https://nypost.com/2023/04/17/chicagos ... wdy-teens/

And now the urban rabble are whining and complaining that there are no stores in their "community".

[Realist Ogre]

[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNkuAGc7mcE[/youtube]

Chase warns Chicago employees about potential for more downtown disturbances

Chase is worried about large "teen" gatherings.

[Guest]

** 21-Apr-2023 World View: Big city Democrat mayors suddenly down on crime

Black mayors of cities like New York,
Chicago, and Los Angeles are all meeting
right now in Washington DC to beg the
Biden administration for help in dealing
with migrants and crime, according to
Fox News.

Even Lori Lightfoot, who is in the final
days of being Chicago's mayor, is doing
a complete U-turn, and is now demanding
that the police do more to stop crime.

Last weekend, downtown Chicago was
trashed by mobs of mostly black
teenagers. Mob activists are calling
for a repeat this weekend.

This brings back memories of the 1968
Democrat National Convention, which was
held in Chicago, and is considered a
disaster because it was disrupted by
massive riots by anti-war Democrat
protesers.

Now, the next Democrat convention is
scheduled to be held in Chicago in
August 2024, and a repeat of 1968 is
feared.

Well, no. Not really. The urban masses and their elected leaders are doubling down.

Chicago’s mayor-elect warns against ‘demonizing’ rampaging teens after unrest

“However, it is not constructive to demonize youth who have otherwise been starved of opportunities in their own communities.”

https://nypost.com/2023/04/17/chicagos ... wdy-teens/

And now the urban rabble are whining and complaining that there are no stores in their "community".

Mad Max community

[Winery]

People have a choice between Zimbabwe America, Zimbabwe Canada, or Zimbabwe Europe.

Time to fly to Japan.

[DT Subscriber]

** 10-Apr-2023 World View: The Next Ten Years - Part I

The big news the last few days is that a
bunch of scientists and AI "experts"
(including Elon Musk) have signed a
letter demanding that AI research be put
on hold for six months, until they find
a way to guarantee that AI will only be
used for good, not for evil.

At a time when the news is filled with
enormous stupidity, this has got to be
near the top of the list. You expect
this kind of stupidity from politicians,
but not from so-called scientists --
although we've learned from the Wuhan
Coronavirus (Covid-19) epidemic in the
last three years and by the climate
change nonsense, that there isn't much
difference between scientists and
politicians. Scientists and politicians
are both equally and enormously stupid,
as illustrated by this moronic call for
an AI pause.

Anyway, it's impossible to stop the
advance of technology, whether by
government regulation or by war.
Technology advances by specific
exponential growth formulas, whether we
like it or not. You have to be a pretty
stupid "scientist" to not understand
that.

In 2005, I wrote a lengthy article
predicting that the computer Singularity
would occur by 2030, and describing the
algorithm by which it would be
implemented. That article seems to have
been spot on, as the Singularity seems
to be well on its way.

Macron has left Europe dangerously exposed if China invades Taiwan

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/20 ... es-taiwan/

Macron has left Europe dangerously exposed if China invades Taiwan

AMBROSE EVANS-PRITCHARD
18 April 2023 • 3:25pm
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

French President Emmanuel Macron received criticism for his recent trip to China

If China invaded Taiwan and succeeded in capturing the world’s semiconductor hub without destroying it in the process, the stolen manufacturing prize would be almost completely useless.

It would not help Xi Jinping’s Communist regime break out of the tightening chip blockade imposed by the United States and the global democratic alliance, and would certainly not help China achieve superpower supremacy in artificial intelligence, 5G telecommunications, or smart weaponry.

What it would do is to bring large parts of the global economy to a shuddering halt within two months as existing inventories are depleted. It would be the technological equivalent of a sudden stop in global oil supply from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Russia all at the same time, and chip-dependent Europe would find itself stripped bare with no strategic agency whatsoever.

If Emmanuel Macron thinks that Taiwan is not the EU’s problem, or that Europe could somehow negotiate a separate post-invasion deal with Xi Jinping to keep chips flowing, he might do well to read Chip War: The Fight For The World’s Most Critical Technology by economic historian Chris Miller.

Taiwan accounts for 63pc of the global foundry market. It manufactures 37pc of all logic chips, and 92pc of the most advanced semiconductor chips under 10 nanometers (nm), which are what matter for the global tech race.

The lion’s share of this is produced by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) in four giant foundries - or Gigafabs - on the west coast of the island. These happen to run straight down the earthquake line of the Chelungpu Fault, one of the most dangerous tectonic strips on the planet.


However, Taiwan is only a cog in the global supply chain for chips, albeit a sophisticated one. TSMC rose to its current extraordinary position precisely because it found a particular niche in the US ecosystem. It essentially makes chips designed by others, using equipment made by others, and relying on a constant flow of critical materials from other countries.

TSMC was founded in 1987 by Morris Chang, a well-born US refugee from the Chinese revolution who cut his teeth at Texas Instruments. His insight was to spot early that it was no longer necessary to manufacture chips where they were designed, and that there would be a huge global market for pure ‘fabs’ that did nothing else other than make chips for others – above all for Silicon Valley.

This created a symbiotic dependency on the US that continues to this day. When Washington imposed sanctions on China’s Huawei, it quietly followed suit, even though a fifth of TSMC’s global sales were by then in China. TSMC is still allowed to make chips for Huawei’s 4G mobile network – nobody cares about that – but not for 5G and beyond, which will set the global digital infrastructure of the 21st Century.

TSMC is a textbook study in successful industrial policy. The Taiwanese state bet the farm on the venture. It took a 48pc equity stake, strong-armed the country’s richest families into buying blocks of shares, educated vast numbers of technical graduates, and turbo-charged exports through a suppressed currency.

But at the end of the day, Silicon Valley is still the global brain of advanced circuitry. It dominates chip design. The US retains ultimate control over the key choke points, either directly or through allies that depend on the US security umbrella.

“Nearly every chip in the world uses software from at least one of three US-based companies, Cadence, Synopsys, and Mentor,” said Prof Miller.

Just one company in the Netherlands, ASML, makes the extreme ultraviolet lithography machines (costing $150m each) that are needed to make advanced processors below 7 nanometers (nm). This in turn relies on irreplaceable DUV light sources produced by its Cymer subsidiary in San Diego.

China makes its own chips, of course, but it is a generation behind, and the gap is not closing despite three failed “Manhattan Projects”. It still imports $430bn a year of micro-processors, more than its combined imports of oil and grain.

Xi Jinping’s grand plan for hi-tech mastery – Made in China 2025 – was supposed to raise chip self-sufficiency to 70pc by mid-decade. It is not going to happen. China is still stuck at 16pc. It is nowhere close to the 3nm to 5nm miniaturisation needed to keep up with US weapons systems. Taiwan has a near monopoly on this.


Robert O’Brien, Donald Trump’s former national security adviser, said Washington will not allow China to become the “Opec of silicon chips” overnight by seizing TSMC.

“The US and its allies are never going to let those factories fall into Chinese hands," he said, evoking Churchill’s decision to sink the French fleet at Mers-el-Kébir in 1940. But Mr O’Brien has misunderstood the nature of the threat.

“Nobody can control TSMC by force. You will render the TSMC factory inoperable,” said Mark Liu, the company’s chief executive.

“Because this is such sophisticated manufacturing, it depends on real-time connection with the outside world, with Europe, with Japan, with the US, from materials to chemicals, to spare parts, to engineering software, and diagnosis,” he told CNN last year.

The nightmare is not that China gains chip supremacy at a stroke, it is that nobody gets Taiwan’s chips, sending prices through the roof and causing a heart attack for the whole global economy.

We had a mild taste of this during the pandemic. The closure of Taiwan would be orders of magnitude more serious. “Chips are absolutely critical to human existence. Everything digital runs on a semiconductor chip; it’s in all of our devices,” said Pat Gelsinger, head of Intel.

The US has subcontracted so much of its chip manufacturing to cheaper ‘fabs’ in East Asia that its own output has dropped to 12pc of world share. But it still has Micron and Texas Instruments. Above all it has Intel, aiming to challenge TSMC at the 3mn frontier, and investing in two cutting edge fabs in Ohio with the help of Joe Biden’s $52bn Chips Act.

TSMC itself has been strong-armed by Washington into building two foundries in Arizona to make ultra-advanced chips at a cost of $40bn, even though cost of production is 50pc higher.

It would take several years for the US to cover the shortfall if Taiwan were knocked out, but at least it is preparing and has the tech ecosystem to pull it off.

Europe is more vulnerable. Its global share of semiconductor production has shrivelled to 8pc. Its share of advanced chips has dropped to zero. The EU has announced a €43bn Chips Act to reestablish digital ‘sovereignty’ and regain its lost capability at the cutting edge.

The plan is to quadruple European chip output this decade, but only €3.3bn of EU funding exists so far, and this comes from cannibalising Digital Europe and EU science.

“We calculate that they would need €500bn,” says Kurt Sievers, from the Dutch chip-maker NXP. As matters stand, Europe has no plausible way of ensuring its own chip supply in a prolonged crisis.

China is unlikely to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan after observing Putin’s humiliation in Ukraine, even if “use of force” is openly advocated in Beijing’s Defence White Paper. The latest Chinese manoeuvres around the island instead simulated a partial maritime and air blockade.

This form of coercion could be a more insidious way of forcing Taiwan to step up advanced chip supply to China, and forcing the rest of the world to acquiesce in exchange for continued supply.

Whether China feels tempted to prosecute such a strategy depends on whether it thinks the West will hold together or splinter into competing interests. Emmanuel Macron has just signalled all too clearly that it would splinter, and he purported to speak in the name of Europe, to the ecstatic delight of China’s wolf warrior press.

He has therefore made it more likely that China will escalate. Norbert Röttgen from the German Bundestag said Mr Macron's free-lance amateurism has been a “PR coup for Xi and a foreign policy disaster for Europe.”

There are many reasons to bridle at what Mr Macron has done. He appeared to cast the US as the primary driver of escalating tensions in East Asia; he more or less offered Taiwan’s democracy on a plate; and he indulged in theatrical anti-Americanism even as America rescues Europe from a catastrophe on its own doorstep.

Above all, he seems not to have learned the lesson of failed deterrence against Putin’s regime. Either Mr Macron refuses to acknowledge that the autocracies are waging war against liberal democratic civilisation, or he thinks he can negotiate a separate opt-out for some notion in his head called Europe. I am not sure which is worse.

[FullMoon]

People have a choice between Zimbabwe America, Zimbabwe Canada, or Zimbabwe Europe.

Time to fly to Japan.

That's good for a laugh. Humour helps in these times.
There's plenty of space in America for the Americans who have hands that know how to work. Wide open free space for those willing to work, strangely like the Old West. Probably Canada has something similar. And Australia if they're not conquered by the communist menace.
Japan will be inundated with NK and PRC incoming missiles soon. It's hard to sleep when you have to run to the bunker for your life. Maybe they'll be a stable society even in the chaos of war. If they're not nuked too many times or conquered.

[jjj]

Who Would Win WW3?
188,279 views Apr 13, 2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zRsn6Xg192A

This one is actually much better, I don't really see him say anything in the WW3 video. And this has as much to do with America/West or more, so it's more valuable for most on this board.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UuuDjqNyxyw

Also, check out the commenters, notably one more recently:

I’ve said for years that if the goal is to have an actual far-right in the west, you could scarcely do better than the establishment media, academia, activists, and government are doing.

I am 40 and work in the skilled trades. I take on apprentices that are mostly young men, 20-30. I’m the first male role model these guys get. They are intensely envious and jealous of the fact I am married with children, which they see as out of reach for them. And they are angry, oh yes.

They feel ostracized, hated, and worthless. They are often on drugs and alcohol, do nothing besides work and stew at their parents home in porn and video games.

They’re ripe for trouble. The first man they come across that inflames their indignation and offers them a chance to strike back at the society they believe hates them, and they’re going for it.

Thing is, I can’t blame them. A couple weeks ago a 19 year old asked me how I met my wife. When I told him I met her at skating rink, he thought I was lying. When I told him we were married by 21, he got really quiet and upset. He clearly just wants a family. But the deck was so stacked against him that he didn’t think it was possible. And I can’t really blame him. People my age were the last ones with the real chance to build a family and life from a young age.

It’s coming. As the saying goes, young men denied the village’s love will burn it down to feel its warmth.

A man who gets it. I'm glad he posted his experience, and sees the problem indeed, for what it is.

Just saw an article that said suicide is now the second leading cause of death among young people in this country. I've heard of three in the last two weeks that were family or friends of our close friends, plus numerous stories of young men who have become virtual recluses. Sorry, I do not see that ours is a culture worth defending, as many of you have read. Alas, 3 - 4 billion people are going to have to die for that to get fixed, if John is correct.

Hard times make good men. Good men make soft times. Soft times make weak men. Weak men make hard times. Generational theory in a nutshell.

Western women are not only a lost cause, but detrimental to a man's mental health. You can't say 'hello' or you 'look nice today' without being accused of misogyny. If you ignore them in the office, you are accused of being a misogynist. I will no longer enter an elevator alone with a woman nor will I attend a meeting with a woman alone. It is too risky. The average Western woman looks foul: tats, piercings, tank tops, flip flops, and in need of a good wash. Women in the UK are even worse than Americans. And you will probably end up with a disease if you date one.

I no longer date Western women. My last two girlfriends were northern Asian. I don't even like to talk with Western women because they are looking to start a fight. I once had a woman co-worker get mad at me because I rarely spoke to her beyond 'yes', 'no' and 'alright'.

I no longer want to get married or have children. It's not worth the aggravation. Everyone I know who is married tells me not to do it. Even the "happily" married guys tell me privately that marriage is a mistake. What kind of world will children be entering in a couple of years? It's bad now.

I have always been pro-family and marriage, but outside of the Amish or Islam, marriage is for suckers. If I convert to Islam, I'll get married. A Muslim I worked with overseas said that even men in their 40s can marry women half their age. (But another Muslim told me that's not true.) But the standards for Muslim wives is sky high compared to angry Western women.