Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

[aedens]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHlcAx-I0oY
per our discussion from DTC to addition

Yeah, I agree with this. In the 1930s there were winners and losers. This time they will destroy everything, including themselves.


Thats the plan H. Sleepwalkers and yes, they are paid to destroy you.

[Higgenbotham]

Joseph Tainter on The Dynamics of the Collapse of Human Civilization

https://youtu.be/JsT9V3WQiNA?t=1397

23:17
do i think that the transition will be graceful or is there a potential for a dark age
23:24
i'm not sure that i know and i think there is potential for a dark age
23:29
one of the problems that i see is that so many people who have to individually accept
23:36
the cost of the transition are unaware that it's coming most of our citizens wake up in the
23:42
morning and worry about the morning commute and getting the kids to school
23:47
and paying the mortgage and thinking about a new car or a vacation or whatever
23:52
and this is simply too narrow a scale of thinking to address the problems that we have we need people to be aware of the global
24:00
forces that affect their lives and that will increasingly affect their lives in the future
24:05
if this awareness doesn't develop then i'm afraid the transition will probably be wrenching
24:11
and by wrenching what do you mean
24:16
i'm afraid if this awareness doesn't develop then i'm afraid that the transition will probably be abrupt
24:23
difficult and painful for many of us yes some people believe that our civilization has arrived at a bottleneck

The bottleneck

24:30
you know wilson talks about that in which the carrying capacity of the biosphere is in such a place that
24:35
humanity we will have to radically change our ways or stand to lose billions of people now
24:42
i know a lot of what you talk about is as the cause for collapse
24:48
do you thought think at all about what it means to overshoot your resources as a source of collapse and in terms of
24:56
the bottleneck do you see us in currently in a bottleneck where we're overshooting our resources
25:05
are we currently approaching a bottleneck where we're going to overshoot our resources and potentially collapse
25:10
societies in the past collapsed when they were unable to solve their problems or when they couldn't afford to solve
25:17
their problems a major challenge that i see for the future is a convergence of problems
25:23
each of which alone is a very great magnitude and that together may be overwhelming
25:30
think in terms of all of the problems that are going to converge the very large problems that are going to converge
25:36
in the next several decades global warming for example what are going to be the consequences the costs of adjusting to global warming
25:44
how is the world going to absorb let us say half the population of bangladesh if so much of that nation is going to go
25:50
underwater combine that with the looming problems in industrial societies of funding
25:56
retirement pensions for the baby boomers the people my age the rising costs of health care the
26:03
costs of our military spending the cost of rebuilding our infrastructure what i'm afraid i see in
26:10
the future is a collision of all of these things converging at once and costing enormous amounts of money so
26:18
how are we going to adjust to this how are we going to pay for it how are we going to have the wealth to
26:24
solve the environmental problems that that we have created through through industrialism

[FullMoon]

Clearer Thinking Podcast: Why Do Civilizations Collapse? And Is Ours Next?

Section on how he thinks our civilization might fail:
https://youtu.be/HbFxTUm4AAc?t=2257

I would substitute might with with will. There's nothing in the way of this out of control train... Except the cliff very near.

[Higgenbotham]

Clearer Thinking Podcast: Why Do Civilizations Collapse? And Is Ours Next?

Section on how he thinks our civilization might fail:
https://youtu.be/HbFxTUm4AAc?t=2257

I would substitute might with will. There's nothing in the way of this out of control train... Except the cliff very near.

A lot of people who study collapse talk about the future of collapse in terms of what has been happening under the surface for decades. So in the video he talks about a slow, steady deterioration of quality, affordability, and other things like that. Then he talks in terms of what happens when the steady deterioration moves faster than economic growth, that there will be a slow steady collapse of industrial production until it bottoms out at some percentage of current production.

Rather than that, it seems more likely that the complex chains that supply today's industrial production processes will break. Most of the components used to make, for example, a car will still be able to be supplied, but there will be a few critical components that can't be supplied at all. Once that continues for some length of time (maybe just a few weeks), a decision point will come where it will appear more advantageous to re-engineer the process to produce a less complex car. Then the question will be whether the human and financial capital is available to do this or whether it would be better for the company to go bankrupt and shut down, given that this process would be likely to repeat. It's been my opinion that big box retail is the area where the shutdowns will happen most quickly and pervasively.

[FullMoon]

You've documented well the illnesses of mind and body wrought by our modern society. In the respect that we'd be forced into living a life less modern, collapse might be beneficial. We've perhaps swung past the point of diminishing returns on modernity. We'll swing back into primitivism and then hopefully sometime within our children's lives find a healthy stasis. At least on some level and in sufficient size for civilization. It's easy to not think about the danger's ahead (majority view of head in the sand), but also become perhaps overly alarmed when reality hits you in the face (Bret Weinstein). I remember John saying that he thinks it will be 20 years, a generation and normal rebuilding timeline, to recover from the horrible things about to unfold. But you think it's just a big drop before continued and prolonged downside. And Navigator is even more apocalyptic in a religious sense.

[Higgenbotham]

Summary of the extreme divisions in this country:

The most Republican rural county was Roberts County in the Texas Panhandle, where 96.9% of the vote went for President Trump.

The most Democratic urban county was Prince George’s County, Maryland, just outside Washington, D.C. Biden won 91.1% of the vote there.

https://dailyyonder.com/for-most-americ ... 020/12/17/

[Higgenbotham]

And yet the full extent of sexual misconduct at the CIA remains a classified secret in the name of national security, including a recent 648-page internal watchdog report that found systemic shortcomings in the agency’s handling of such complaints.

But a veil of secrecy still surrounds the Raymond case nearly four years after his arrest. Even after Raymond pleaded guilty late last year, prosecutors have tiptoed around the exact nature of his work and declined to disclose a complete list of the countries where he assaulted women.

Still, they offered an unbridled account of Raymond’s conduct, describing him as a “serial offender” whose assaults increased over time and become “almost frenetic” during his final CIA posting in Mexico City, where he was discovered in 2020 after a naked woman screamed for help from his apartment balcony.

https://apnews.com/article/cia-spy-sexu ... e6e16f8bfa

Large corporations in the US have a lot of problems and need to keep a lot of secrets. Part of their vetting process for hiring involves how well a prospective employee can make problems go away and keep secrets. Demonstrated skill in actually solving problems is not what's required.

The government and the large corporations are essentially one and the same.

[aeden]

How not when. Height of delusion still ramping up. We are watching the indifference curve take them out.
The rate of the tiny bubbles popping and the 2x over valuation will just destroy them.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMMxDLFs8TA

[Higgenbotham]

Here Jeff Gundlach states that the Federal Reserve is now making decisions based on the belief that US economic data is fake and that Jay Powell admitted the employment numbers are "artificial".

3:28
fed is I think it's fair to say never really been in in what you might call the insurance business right
3:35
they're data dependent they they react when the data suggests that they should react was today a bit of an insurance
3:42
policy by doing that because he noted multiple times the economy's basically fine he said the economy's solid he went
3:48
on and on about that and multiple times he used the words risk management more than once and that strongly suggests an
3:56
insurance policy type of mentality at least partially because he he he knows that the uh that
4:03
the employment rate the jobs they're reported the first Friday of the month he admitted that that they're artificial
4:09
he actually said that today that there's something artificial about them because they keep revising them lower there was
4:14
that monstrous 88,000 88,000 uh uh 800,000 jobs uh on
4:22
the revision and it seems to be happening consistently and he said we we'll make a mental correction now on
4:29
the first FR of the month they come out which would mean about just uh think of it as being 75,000 jobs overstated

https://youtu.be/HRYryMNiEt0?t=210

16:17
uh so I I think that
16:23
credit spreads are very very tight uh it depends what index you look at there's one from uh Bank of America there's
16:30
there's others and the high yield bond market got on one of those uh indices to
16:35
a level of of 2 point 280 basis points of excess yield over the tenure it's
16:41
kind of quietly gone to 320 so they they're already starting to widen which is another reason why I think that the
16:48
underneath the surface of the economy you have to be careful because when credit spread start to widen that's a
16:54
sign that things aren't all that copesthetic also I'll point out that the two 10 yield curve is now no it's no
17:01
longer inverted and when you get near a front end of recession it's not so much
17:06
that it's inverted that you are at the front edge it's when it has been inverted particularly for a long time
17:12
and then it de inverts well that's happened and we were inverted for a couple of years on on the the parts of
17:20
the yield curve

https://youtu.be/HRYryMNiEt0?t=981

[aedens]

https://www.unz.com/isteve/who-is-telli ... aw-school/
DEI also known as Affirmative Action also knows as CRT claim another.
Also, Economist sent to reprogramming indoctrination center as these a$$-holes dump more cash into the black hole.

Underestimated its ruthlessness and its capacity.

They're gaslighting you.