Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7969
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Far more significantly, there are still plenty of things that nations, cultures, and communities can do to shield themselves against some of the impacts of the ongoing decline. Until quite recently, I was fairly sure that none of those would be done on any scale large enough to matter. At the moment, though, it appears as though one of the most important of those steps is being carried out with considerable verve by the government of the United States. Readers who have been with me since the peak oil days will remember when economic relocalization was a major theme of discussion, and dependence on global resources was recognized as a lethal weakness in the face of decline. Now, to my great surprise, here we are: the global economy is being dismantled and economic relocalization pushed by, of all people, Donald Trump.

I have no reason to think that Trump realizes that he’s fulfilling one of the great hopes of the long-dead peak oil movement. I doubt it has ever occurred to him that industrial civilization is on the downslope of its history; if anything, his singleminded focus on “making America great again” suggests that he’s sure that any problems we face can be overcome with the right mix of legal and regulatory changes, hopeful rhetoric, and bluster. The fact remains that he’s responding to one of the core features of the crisis of our time in a way that might just give the United States a less abrupt decline, and also make room for other constructive changes.

Though I didn’t expect this, a case could be made that I should have. Trump is a type that surfaces tolerably often during the twilight of a civilization: brash, charismatic, ruthless, and ambitious pragmatists who rise to power when the existing order has failed to deal with the challenges of the age. Call them the Lords of the Fall. They quite often become figures of legend in retrospect, grown larger and grander than life in folk memory, though that process also strips away most of their harsher aspects: the few early accounts we have of the Roman-British warlord Artorius, to cite only one famous example, suggest that he was a far more brutal and ambivalent figure than the “King Arthur” that minstrels manufactured from surviving scraps of his legend centuries later.

It’s anyone’s guess whether Trump, once his reputation has been manhandled in the usual way by folk memory and industrious minstrels, will become the center of a cycle of legends in the dark age towns and countryside of deindustrial America; it could as well be some other figure of the same broad type who rises to power fifty or a hundred years from now. For the time being, though, we have a Lord of the Fall to deal with, and quite a few of the apparent certainties of our situation are up for grabs at this point, for good or ill. That, too, we’ll discuss in later posts.
https://www.ecosophia.net/lords-of-the-fall/

It's good to see that the Archdruid is back to talking about the new dark age.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

vincecate
Posts: 2402
Joined: Mon May 10, 2010 7:11 am
Location: Anguilla
Contact:

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by vincecate »

Higgenbotham wrote:
Mon Apr 21, 2025 10:09 am
aeden wrote:
Fri Apr 18, 2025 12:32 pm
That crypto sector makes as much sense as the two cult halfwits demsheviks that are being funding with private planes for the cheerful and useful idiots.
I look at crypto as a subset of intangibles. When real things were easy to mine and easy to produce, people focused on that. There was plenty of growth in that. As the US entered the maintenance phase of a declining civilization, around 1971 or so, and real things became more difficult to mine and produce, that was when the intangible sector of the economy started to grow, slowly at first. The financial system was changed to allow that. So now you have a huge part of the economy devoted to things like artificial intelligence, education, information, crypto, and so on. It's not a new information age, it was just a way for people to convince themselves there was real growth and for the economy to stumble along for a few decades before it collapses.
I was an active member of the cypherpunks group in the early 1990s. Someone made a puzzle of cypherpunks and I am in it:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1827 ... WMwSp-P3nQ

I helped organize Financial Cryptography '97 conference in Anguilla in 1997: https://ifca.ai/fc97/
I have run a Bitcoin trading business with ATM in Anguilla for like a decade: http://bictoin.ai
I have a business buying gold for around 20 years: http://gold.ai
I designed software to trade Bitcoin so the regulators in Anguilla are happy: https://github.com/datahaven-net/recotra
I have a blog about how fiat money dies: https://howfiatdies.blogspot.com/
I am sure the dollar will get hyperinflation and that Bitcoin is the only thing that can replace it.

Don't keep your savings in bonds or dollars or any other "crypto". Bitcoin and Gold will come through this.

-- Vince

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7969
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:A generational crash is an elemental force of nature, like a tsunami. You'll have millions or even tens of millions of Boomers and Generation-Xers in countries around the world, never having seen anything like this before, and in a state of total mass panic, trying to sell all at once. Computer systems will crash or will be clogged for hours (as has already happened to some systems, incidentally, on February 28), or perhaps even for a day or two. People who had hoped to get out just as the collapse is occurring will be totally screwed, and will lose everything. Brokers and other institutions will go bankrupt. People who went short hoping to make a fortune will find that their brokers' escrow accounts are gone, and they'll be totally screwed, and will lose everything.
https://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg ... 080703.htm

Probably it will happen. This bubble is really huge and it encompasses everything. Everyone I know of (except John who is now deceased anyway) wants to believe their favorite bubble item is the ticket to riches or their short will be their ticket to riches, but it probably will not be.

Also, I won't repeat this voluminous post here, but the link is probably worth repeating: https://www.gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopi ... 837#p80837
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

FullMoon
Posts: 1003
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by FullMoon »

I didn't finish reading the Arch druid talking about gold during the interim bad times. But it did resonate with me. Won't be able to use the gold because it will just draw the wrong kind of attention. Either it's a generationally past down horde or it's taken. Maybe there's better ways to plunk extra money into. Maybe it's something good that we won't be manufacturing domestically for long time to wait...

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7969
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

McKenzie: Is it possible to get to a point where civilization is too big to fail? In your book, you make the point that collapse is not an enviable state to any individual unless they’re capable of feeding themselves and taking care of themselves. I’m not prepared to do that. And I think most people are not.

Tainter: We passed that point a long time ago. A collapse today would mean that billions of people would die in a short period of time.

McKenzie: That doesn’t sound great at all.

Tainter: It’d be awful. Yes.
https://thebulletin.org/premium/2025-03 ... ions-fall/
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7969
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

The controversial California city backed by tech elite has a new plan: boats
California Forever is back with a proposal that has some on board: using the land it owns to create a shipbuilding hub

Dani Anguiano
Fri 28 Mar 2025 07.00 EDT

In 2023, a group called California Forever, funded by Silicon Valley billionaires, introduced a splashy proposal to build a new city on tens of thousands acres of farmland it had acquired north-east of San Francisco.

Residents and officials of Solano county, where the city would sit, were frustrated by what they saw as a lack of local input and concerned about wealthy outsiders with big plans to reshape their region. After months of extensive news coverage and efforts to woo over local leaders, California Forever changed track: withdrawing a ballot measure that would have fast-tracked the plans and instead seeking approval through standard county processes.

This month California Forever found itself back in the spotlight for a new proposal, and one that has been greeted far more warmly – using the land it owns for the creation of a shipbuilding hub. The Trump administration has reportedly drafted an executive order to revitalize the shipbuilding industry in the US.

The company, which now owns more than 65,000 acres in Solano county, said in a statement that Solano “is uniquely positioned to answer the call for rebuilding our nation’s naval power” and that it could “drive economic revitalization” across the region.

“We are very early in the process, and are working with elected officials and local communities to explore how we can best use these assets to support American Sailors and stimulate economic growth in our cities, county, and broader region,” the company said in a statement.

Solano county, located about 60 miles (97km) from San Francisco, is home to nearly 450,000 people and has a history of shipbuilding. It was the site of the first US navy base on the Pacific Ocean, which operated for more than 140 years. Today the largest employer in the region is the Travis air force base – the country’s busiest – which has more than 10,000 personnel.

California Forever began buying up land in the county in secret, years before going public with their plans for a new city. They promoted the effort as a solution to California’s housing crisis and said the new city – with its utopian vision of green infrastructure and walkable neighborhoods – would bring extensive new job opportunities to the region and pledged that the project would not impose any financial obligations or taxes on residents outside the community.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... tech-boats

Another grand plan that got shelved.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7969
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Back to this.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Sun Apr 14, 2024 12:49 pm
I've mentioned in these pages that somewhere around 1971, give or take a few years, and it would vary from sector to sector with probably the more complex sectors coming first, that the US entered the maintenance phase of a declining civilization. There was a slow recognition and response to that turning point.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Sun Dec 15, 2019 11:13 pm
The mix of jobs begins to change and women are able to better do many of the jobs that become prominent during the maintenance and decline phase (like health care and education, which really just serve to milk out the surplus of the civilization before it collapses).
WTF Happened In 1971?
https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/

While many of the graphs on this site are pertinent and interesting, I want to highlight this one:

Image

Since 1971, the percentage of women who are sole bread winners has more than tripled, from 2 percent to 7 percent. We also know that many, many women now make more than their husbands.

Image
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7969
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

How Bond Vigilantes Made Trump Blink
Bloomberg Originals
Apr 25, 2025

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5vB8wB1lDF0
so where does
9:25
this leave Trump in the eyes of the bond
9:27
market could we see an American version
9:30
of the truss lettuce there are a lot of
9:33
similarities between the Liz Truss
9:36
moment in 22 and what we've experienced
9:39
with Donald Trump in both
9:42
cases it wasn't just that uh they
9:45
announced a policy that markets didn't
9:47
like it was that they did something that
9:50
the markets truly believed to be dumb
9:53
the US these days is a far bigger more
9:55
powerful more resilient economy than the
9:58
UK you have much more room to maneuver
10:01
uh than even the UK does in terms of
10:04
long-term implications of what this
10:06
could mean for the Trump administration
10:08
if they do not address some of the key
10:10
concerns by bond investors expect yields
10:13
to spike the really long-term risk for
10:17
Trump is that trust has already been
10:21
damaged if people no longer trust the US
10:25
to be a reasonable goodfaith
10:27
interlocator it's going to be very hard
10:31
to get that back.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

aeden
Posts: 13893
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by aeden »

https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-c ... XY/BTC-USD

We are in the Fugger model.
We have no BTC as of today.
We had taproot as noted in real time and yes was long then short.
We understand the viseral attitude to intrinsic value.
The Toronto the Frankfurt SHA256 BTC fork was a success.
As noted all paper work from the audit was forwarded to them for the FEDS to review our humble transactions
and what was done from the MIT classes and implementations.
I have zero debt and no doubt the anlaogs to digital understand motive.

The Fugger family's influence waned over the generations. In 1657, the Fuggers’ company came to an end.

Currently my Brother Inlaw died and are He was a good person but in poor skillset to manage effective change.
Get your House in order is valid in any shape or means. Learn from mistakes is essential.

viewtopic.php?p=89261#p89261

I have legal working on a contract issues as also noted.

Reply was this from Legal.

It has been a pretty deep dive for sure.

The intent was.
I never had a thought about the needed resolve to protect the others who will have to navigate this.
In advance thank you again.

They will not stand to the Contract terms that was acepted in appearances to date.
Trust the EU zone as such as to what it serves.
Frankfurt as we noted had over 45 Billion not sold but have not checked since I cashed out and prepared for the audit as such.

As warned to your peril I retired from the Company and left the admission from the Inbev notes they are arrogated and to date
are not good souls in regard to contract and conduct.

They conveyed adjectives are just messengers being shot.
My experience is even in wheelchairs, they are still arrogant.
It is inherent in the species.
H was and is correct in - It's all they know and understand.

Deception and who they are. Demonics.

Let no Man Deceive you... He is Risen and yes on His way.
Stop living in fear you knew this was coming rejoice in Christ

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7969
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

aeden wrote:
Sat Apr 26, 2025 3:16 pm
It's all they know and understand.
A few of the experienced entrepreneurs understand that "It's all they know and understand."
Trump-supporting billionaire Home Depot founder says 'nobody works anymore' because of 'socialism'

Many reasons have been thrown about as to why the U.S. is still in the midst of a historic labor shortage, including a decline in fertility rates, older workers retiring in droves, the lingering effects of COVID-19 infections, and of course, worker demands for fairer pay and more expansive benefits.

But Bernie Marcus, the billionaire co-founder of Home Depot, says it’s really simple: People just hate capitalism now. Because of “socialism,” he said in an interview with the Financial Times published Thursday, “nobody works. Nobody gives a damn. ‘Just give it to me. Send me money. I don’t want to work—I’m too lazy, I’m too fat, I’m too stupid.’’

In today’s business climate, Home Depot may have been able to only open 15 or 16 stores, Marcus said, compared to the 2,300 locations the retailer currently has scattered around the U.S. For Marcus—an unabashed supporter of former President Donald Trump, often to his own company’s chagrin—the reasons behind today’s unfavorable environment include the current administration and the “woke” establishment’s involvement in business.

In the wide-ranging interview, where Marcus—worth over $5 billion according to Bloomberg—touched on everything from his reputation as a prolific philanthropist to his inclination for Milton Friedman’s business-first interpretation of economics, the former CEO lamented capitalism’s slow demise in the U.S. while criticizing the “woke people” he thinks are eradicating free speech.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/ ... 259be365f6
Higgenbotham wrote:
Fri Apr 25, 2025 11:01 pm
Another grand plan that got shelved.
But most do not realize that the era of grand projects is coming to an end. They will drive head on into the brick wall, wasting a lot of resources in the meantime.

The same types who will use 30 million energy units to ready a government subsidized project that returns 3 million energy units. While there is death and destruction all around them.

The Boomers learned to think big when we landed a man on the moon. They've been thinking big ever since. Or, MEGA as a friend used to say until he committed suicide when his MEGA ideas and dreams didn't pan out.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 43 guests