FullMoon wrote: Thu Jul 17, 2025 1:42 pm
What's your thoughts on the religious and spiritual aspect of this transition time forthcoming? Will we see a renewal of faith in God and how will that affect the social structure and politics?
“New York City is finished,” he said. “They can’t keep order there, and you can’t have business without order. It’ll take a hundred years to sort things out and get it all going again.”
“What do you hear of the U.S. government?” I said. “We don’t have electricity an hour a month anymore and there’s nothing on the air but the preachers anyway.”
“Well, I hear that this Harvey Albright pretends to be running things out of Minneapolis now. It was Chicago, but that may have gone by the boards. Congress hasn’t met since twelve twenty-one,” Ricketts said, using a common shorthand for the destruction of Washington a few days before Christmas some years back. “We’re still fighting skirmishes with Mexico. The Everglades are drowning. Trade is becoming next to impossible, from everything I can tell, and business here is drying up. It all seems like a bad dream. The future sure isn’t what it used to be, is it?”
“We believe in the future, sir. Only it’s not like the world we’ve left behind,” Joseph said.
“How’s that?”
“We’re building our own New Jerusalem up the river. It’s a world made by hand, now, one stone at a time, one board at a time, one hope at a time, one soul at a time. Tell me something: do you know Jesus Christ.”
World Made by Hand by James Kunstler
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
I think the masses don't really give overpopulation much thought, and for most people alive today this is just how things have always been. None of them have had to seriously consider food scarcity.
There are also those who are more aware and just assume that we'll engineer our way out of our problems again when we start hitting the next production ceiling. Feels like wishful thinking to me, to just assume everything will work out without anything to base it on.
I'm in a field that is heavily involved with crop production, I've been to conferences and seen the latest advances and what's in the pipeline. All of the improvements that are being worked on are incredibly incremental, scraping very small efficiencies at great cost. Most of the industry is focused on leveraging AI and automation to get something on the order of 5-10% yield improvements, and the costs to implement these technologies in the real world are really prohibitive at this point for most crops.
Based on my cursory understanding, he is correct as it applies to large scale farming.
Higgenbotham wrote: Tue May 27, 2025 12:45 am
One is that I believe AI, instead of dousing a field with a uniform coverage of pesticides, can "look" for insects and only use pesticides where it determines they are needed, avoiding waste. Same type of thing for other inputs.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
“I have been asked a lot about how I feel about passing along Bridgewater after having started and built it over the last 50 years,” Dalio said in the LinkedIn post. “I am thrilled about it because I love seeing Bridgewater alive and well without me — even better than alive and well with me.”
Chart isn't inflation adjusted but you can get the idea. It's hard to find an inflation adjusted chart going all the way back to 1907.
Probably the strongest cycle is the 34 year cycle 1932 to 1966 to 2000. Hard for me to imagine 2034 could be a high but it was hard for me to imagine 2025 could be a high either. So my inclination at the moment is to look for a 2025 high and a 2034 low or a 2032 low (1932 to 1982 to 2032). Maybe it'll be 2033.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Fact will be when the Border ends so did you. Brandon is and always be what is truly was.
Transitive Law of numbers means the Police fail your already set to be
the next Law and Order Mayor.
The mayor of a violence-plagued city in Mexico was killed on a Sunday with his decapitated body left in a pickup truck
and his severed head placed atop the vehicle's roof. Americans are already BISH zone stupid is past any dicussion.
The name Laodicea is comprised of two Greek words, laos, which means "people" or "nation," and dike, a legal word referring to "custom," "punishment," or "judgment," based on context. The Laodiceans considered themselves law-abiding people. The last of the 7 as Time is here.
Timber Sales?
Yes, He was very old, and I was very young on a snowy day seeking game with my dog who is so dearly missed on to this day.
Property taxes on his average life with average pension unable to meet the average revenue demand was the root issue
to cover paper claims then still a gold standard.
The Model T Truck rig had a rip saw in tow with a flat belt off the back rim to slab his lumber to the mill for revenue payment.
He was very old.
I was very young and He smiled as we talked briefly that day on affairs that mattered to my young mind.
Lotus Corniculatus for these times to care for ours since yours are issue and in peril.
The numbers did not lie. They do.
Last edited by aedens on Sat Aug 02, 2025 3:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
July 15 was my best shot for guessing this top. It looks like it's in now.
Early 2026 at the latest but it's going to be hard for Trump to squeeze any more out of it:
The Telegraph
Republicans tell Trump to ‘grow up’ after he sacks data chief
Benedict Smith
Sat, August 2, 2025 at 11:11 AM CDT
President Trump’s sacking of Erika McEntarfer was described as ‘kind of impetuous’ by Cynthia Lummis, a Republican senator.
Republicans have told Donald Trump to “grow up” after he sacked the US government’s top statistician over underwhelming jobs numbers.
The president said on Friday he would remove Erika McEntarfer as commissioner of the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) shortly after government figures indicated the economy was performing worse than expected.
The move has prompted a rare backlash against Mr Trump from members of his own party.
Higgenbotham wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2020 5:08 am
Say, like Trump, you've been in the real estate business, and you recognize it's a bubble and has been for a long time. It's logical to say, well, it's been a bubble for a long time and the way to address it has been to buy the dip and then wait for some excesses, trim holdings, wait for the next dip, etc. The practical way to be successful in navigating the bubble has been to take on debt and assume the general trajectory is onward and upward to bigger and bigger bubbles with speed bumps along the road.
No worries, just a speed bump. The Boomers have been hitting speed bumps at full speed since, oh, about the time of Woodstock.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
Higgenbotham wrote: Sat Jul 12, 2025 10:59 amEarly next week I can post that, then circle back to the general discussion about location and resilience to heat and extremes in rainfall.
Higgenbotham wrote: Fri May 24, 2024 1:44 pm
My preference is to be in an area that is still amenable to growing vegetables, but also where the population density has thinned out considerably. That's approximately near the red line below as precipitation also thins out moving west. So these areas aren't "best" for growing but still generally "OK". Overall I don't think someone is going to get too much past that red line (approximately) moving west and have an easy time of it growing vegetables until it gets wetter near the west coast. And on the line it's not going to be real easy.
Condensed version.
A year or more ago, I discussed the theoretical balance between population and difficulty of growing conditions. Then over the past year, I've shown the difficulty of growing aspects in action. It's a tradeoff between population thinning out on the one hand and growing conditions being more difficult as population thins out on the other hand. The balance I've tried to strike for myself is within the red lines below, represented on different types of maps, but all amounting to approximately the same thing. The red line above should have been moved to the west in Texas.
It's possible to produce a lot on a small scale in a marginal area but the labor investment required to do so goes up. I've been digging pits 24 to 30 inches deep, then filling them with free soil and organic matter from the surrounding area. The preparation time might be somewhere on the order of 2-3 hours of hard labor per square foot. That's a one time investment, then there will be minimal maintenance after that. That's to make it somewhat resilient to heat, drought, and flooding, but at the present level of preparation there will be extreme conditions that reduce yields. More investment could increase resilience (digging deeper for example) but I think I'm striking the approximate right balance for now.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
I don't have any final yield numbers except on one plant. That plant was suitable for Spring tomato harvest in Texas and it's done. Typical yields are supposed to be 10 to 15 pounds per plant. This one yielded 26 pounds. For the tomato plants that produce until frost, those have yielded about 10 pounds per plant so far and will probably get to 26 before frost. In a better year, they will get much more. The flooding has slowed them way down but they look set to pick up again in September. These plants require no more than 4 square feet, probably closer to 3, but let's say 4. Also, let's be conservative and say the plants produce 6 pounds per square foot and the one time labor investment is 3 hours per square foot. That amounts to 2 pounds per year per hour of initial labor investment. For lower yielding crops, it should be about proportionate because the preparation doesn't need to be as extensive.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.
