Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 12-Jun-2022 World View: When will the wheels fall off?
Tom Mazanec wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 5:04 am > Navigator, what do you mean by “soon”? Days? Weeks? Months?
Navigator wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 1:03 pm > I would guestimate October.

> But frankly, I don't know why the wheels haven't fallen off
> yet.
Yesterday retired four-star general Jack Keane was asked whether China
would defeat the United States in an attack on Taiwan. He said that
there have been war games testing out various scenarios, and the
Chinese have always won "quite handily." He said that the Chinese
military keeps getting stronger, while the American military under
Biden keeps getting weaker.

So, given that information, the Chinese might decide to wait a bit
longer.
thomasglee
Posts: 687
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Location: Texas

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by thomasglee »

John wrote: Sun Jun 12, 2022 9:22 am ** 12-Jun-2022 World View: When will the wheels fall off?
Tom Mazanec wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 5:04 am > Navigator, what do you mean by “soon”? Days? Weeks? Months?
Navigator wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 1:03 pm > I would guestimate October.

> But frankly, I don't know why the wheels haven't fallen off
> yet.
Yesterday retired four-star general Jack Keane was asked whether China
would defeat the United States in an attack on Taiwan. He said that
there have been war games testing out various scenarios, and the
Chinese have always won "quite handily." He said that the Chinese
military keeps getting stronger, while the American military under
Biden keeps getting weaker.

So, given that information, the Chinese might decide to wait a bit
longer.
But can they wait longer AND maintain civil rest within China? As our economy goes, so goes the economy of China and I’m not sure the CCP wants an internal revolt to develop.
Psalm 34:4 - “I sought the Lord, and he answered me and delivered me from all my fears.”
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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

John wrote: Sun Jun 12, 2022 9:22 am ** 12-Jun-2022 World View: When will the wheels fall off?
Tom Mazanec wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 5:04 am > Navigator, what do you mean by “soon”? Days? Weeks? Months?
Navigator wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 1:03 pm > I would guestimate October.

> But frankly, I don't know why the wheels haven't fallen off
> yet.
Yesterday retired four-star general Jack Keane was asked whether China
would defeat the United States in an attack on Taiwan. He said that
there have been war games testing out various scenarios, and the
Chinese have always won "quite handily." He said that the Chinese
military keeps getting stronger, while the American military under
Biden keeps getting weaker.

So, given that information, the Chinese might decide to wait a bit
longer.
Not too much. The midterms might make Congress more Republican, and October is the best weather time till well into spring to invade, iirc.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

China threatens Defense Secretary with WAR: Minister tells Lloyd Austin that Beijing will 'smash to smithereens any Taiwan independence plot' and will 'definitely not hesitate to start a war no matter the cost'
By JAMES GORDON FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 01:53 EDT, 11 June 2022 | UPDATED: 04:21 EDT, 11 June 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... aiwan.html

CHINA POLITICS
‘Stop smearing’ China: Chinese defense minister accuses U.S. of creating ‘conflict and confrontation’
PUBLISHED SUN, JUN 12 20221:12 AM EDTUPDATED SUN, JUN 12 20222:12 AM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/12/shangri ... aiwan.html

Elon Musk's Starlink Makes China 'Very Scared': Space Expert
BY TYLER DURDEN
SATURDAY, JUN 11, 2022 - 06:30 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/el ... ace-expert
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
FullMoon
Posts: 1018
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

John wrote: Sun Jun 12, 2022 9:22 am ** 12-Jun-2022 World View: When will the wheels fall off?
Tom Mazanec wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 5:04 am > Navigator, what do you mean by “soon”? Days? Weeks? Months?
Navigator wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 1:03 pm > I would guestimate October.

> But frankly, I don't know why the wheels haven't fallen off
> yet.
Yesterday retired four-star general Jack Keane was asked whether China
would defeat the United States in an attack on Taiwan. He said that
there have been war games testing out various scenarios, and the
Chinese have always won "quite handily." He said that the Chinese
military keeps getting stronger, while the American military under
Biden keeps getting weaker.

So, given that information, the Chinese might decide to wait a bit
longer.
They're winning the war on many fronts already.
Sun Tzu : “For to win one hundred victories in one hundred battles is not the acme of skill. To subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of skill.”
https://www.theamericanconservative.com ... ng-a-shot/
China has saved up about a year's worth of food and is hardening off their population quickly. They're ready to pounce but the prey willingly approaches unawares.
FullMoon
Posts: 1018
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:55 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

John wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 11:45 pm ** 11-Jun-2022 World View: Next week
DaKardii wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 2:47 pm > Glad to see you back, John. How are you doing?
Thanks for asking. I survived the week. Now let's see how next week
goes.
thomasglee wrote: Fri Jun 10, 2022 10:23 pm > I do hope (pray, if you don’t mind) that you get to feeling better
> and heal.
Thanks. I need all the help I can get.
Prayers are sent for your health, John.
thomasglee
Posts: 687
Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 11:07 pm
Location: Texas

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by thomasglee »

FullMoon wrote: Sun Jun 12, 2022 7:47 pm
John wrote: Sun Jun 12, 2022 9:22 am ** 12-Jun-2022 World View: When will the wheels fall off?
Tom Mazanec wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 5:04 am > Navigator, what do you mean by “soon”? Days? Weeks? Months?
Navigator wrote: Sat Jun 11, 2022 1:03 pm > I would guestimate October.

> But frankly, I don't know why the wheels haven't fallen off
> yet.
Yesterday retired four-star general Jack Keane was asked whether China
would defeat the United States in an attack on Taiwan. He said that
there have been war games testing out various scenarios, and the
Chinese have always won "quite handily." He said that the Chinese
military keeps getting stronger, while the American military under
Biden keeps getting weaker.

So, given that information, the Chinese might decide to wait a bit
longer.
They're winning the war on many fronts already.
Sun Tzu : “For to win one hundred victories in one hundred battles is not the acme of skill. To subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of skill.”
https://www.theamericanconservative.com ... ng-a-shot/
China has saved up about a year's worth of food and is hardening off their population quickly. They're ready to pounce but the prey willingly approaches unawares.
JR Nyquist published an article with a similar slant today.
Few have understood that post-Cold War globalism was ideal, from the communist point of view, for promoting a kind of spontaneous nuclear disarmament on American side. While decrying globalism as an American imperialist plot, the strategists in Moscow and Beijing occupied themselves with infiltrating and subverting the West. The communists hijacked globalism as an instrument, recruiting billionaires as agents of influence, winning dupes in the various chambers of commerce, forming deep business partnerships on every side. Economic infiltration as well as political infiltration will be used by China and Russia to support future military operations. As Gussack pointed out, “The communist world adopted a flexible strategic and tactical approach in respect to crafting their military plans for the subjugation of the United States. The available evidence points to the following characteristics of their military program for the defeat of the United States:”
A Chinese Riddle: War by All Means
Psalm 34:4 - “I sought the Lord, and he answered me and delivered me from all my fears.”
spottybrowncow
Posts: 407
Joined: Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:06 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by spottybrowncow »

Recent development:

"The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania has quietly dismissed Republicans’ application to overturn a lower state court’s order requiring that absentee and mail-in-ballots that lack a date handwritten by the voter be counted.

Pennsylvania was a hotbed of election-related litigation during the 2020 presidential election. Although former President Donald Trump won the state in 2016, President Joe Biden won it in 2020, according to official results.

Barring any unforeseen future developments, the ruling means that even though Pennsylvania law requires that ballots that arrive without a signed, dated declaration from the voter are to be discarded, such ballots will be counted in upcoming elections."

I think we're goners.
John
Posts: 11501
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 12-Jun-2022 World View: China 'invades' Solomon Island, while making Taiwan threats

Image
  • Solomon Islands map (Australian National University; CSIS)


China has been increasing military action around Taiwan, and this
weekend once again threatened war over Taiwan. China also demanded
that US ships stay out of the Taiwan Strait, which is international
waters. However, a new area of concern in the Asia Pacific is rising.

China and the Solomon Islands announced a security agreement in April.
Although some of it has leaked, much of it is still secret, which is
standard practice for extortionary agreements by the Chinese
Communists.

The concern across the region is that the agreement will turn into a
naval base for China, extending China's reach from its illegal
occupation of the South China Sea to much of the Asia Pacific, and
from there to link with South America. Both China and the Solomon
Islands deny that there are any plans for a military base. But we
know that the Chinese Communists are sleazebags who lie about
everything. And we also know that the Chinese Communists use various
forms of corruption, including bribery and extortion, to convince
national leaders to do as China demands.

In fact, we already know that corruption is heavily involved. The
current scenario began in September 2019, when Prime Minister Manasseh
Sogavare, in his office in the capital city Honiara on the main island
of Guadalcanal, made the sudden decision to switch the nation’s
diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China. Allegations of
corruption proliferated. A few days after that shock announcement, it
came to light that a Chinese company had been granted a 75-year lease
on an entire island, Tulagi, without landholder knowledge or consent.
Chinese firms continued to enjoy favored status after that.

It also became known that other Solomon Island lawmakers were being
bribed with cash payments from the China-funded National Development
Fund, over which Sogavare has complete discretion.

There were some anti-Chinese protests in Honiara, but the strongest
objections came from the people on another island, Malaita, the most
populous island, who had received aid from Taiwan.

The crisis began in ernest on November 24, 2021, when Sogavare refused
to meet with protestors from Malaita. During the riots, businesses
were looted and then torched, predominantly in Honiara’s Chinatown,
where three bodies were found. Solomon Islands had a security
agreement with Australia, and Australian troops came in to control the
violence.

The videos of Australian troops protecting Chinese people from
violence by locals played across China on social media, and were very
humiliating to the Chinese Communists. This led to further bribery
and extortion, with the result that the secret security agreement was
announced in April.

According to an analysis by Lowy Institute, the Chinese Communists
also wanted the new security agreement urgently because of domestic
economic reasons:
"While China was unsuccessful in gaining endorsement
of [a five-year common development plan with ten Pacific Island
nations] by Pacific Island leaders, the unconcealed ambition and
urgency of its mission correlates with domestic anxieties about an
economic slowdown and rising unemployment in the vast nation of
1.4 billion people. Covid-19 lockdowns this year, an ageing
population and diminished productivity in recent years have also
contributed to a slide in China’s GDP growth from 8.1 per cent in
2021 to a projected 5 per cent this year. The Lowy Institute
further predicts a potential long-term decline in China’s growth
to 3 per cent per year by 2030. Meanwhile, China’s current
national unemployment rate is reported to be 6.1 per cent, up from
5.2 per cent in 2019, and youth unemployment is more than double
that at 18.2 per cent.

Since the 1980s, the natural resources of Pacific Island
countries, especially Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands, have
contributed to productivity and growth in China.

The state of economic affairs prompted Chinese Premier Li Keqiang
to call an urgent meeting of party officials across the country
last month to accelerate action towards returning the economy to
higher growth. “We must seize the time window and strive to bring
the economy back to the normal track,” Keqiang was reported to
have said."
---- Sources:

-- China-Solomon Islands pact: Reading between the lines
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-inter ... ween-lines
(Lowy Institute, 8-Jun-2022)

-- What the China-Solomon Islands Pact Means for the U.S. and South
Pacific
https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/china-solo ... th-pacific
(Council On Foreign Relations, 4-May-2022)

-- The Deep Roots of the Solomon Islands’ Ongoing Political Crisis
https://www.csis.org/analysis/deep-root ... cal-crisis
(CSIS, 21-Dec-2021)

-- John Quincy Adams / First State of the Nation, Washington, DC,
1825-12-06
http://www.let.rug.nl/usa/presidents/jo ... n-1825.php
(University of Groningen, Netherlands, 6-Dec-1825)
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

John wrote: Mon Jun 13, 2022 3:47 pm
The state of economic affairs prompted Chinese Premier Li Keqiang
to call an urgent meeting of party officials across the country
last month to accelerate action towards returning the economy to
higher growth. “We must seize the time window and strive to bring
the economy back to the normal track,” Keqiang was reported to
have said."
So, are the Chinese going to stabilize their economy first and then invade, or are they going to invade with their economy collapsing?
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