Iran's parliament just voted to close the Strait of Hormuz. The Supreme Leader likely will ratify by midnight Tehran time, or 4:30 PM EST.
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Generational Dynamics World View News
An unsettling message from former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev
Per his Twitter:
https://x.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/19 ... 4017567860
https://x.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/19 ... 4017567860
What have the Americans accomplished with their nighttime strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran?
1. Critical infrastructure of the nuclear fuel cycle appears to have been unaffected or sustained only minor damage.
2. The enrichment of nuclear material — and, now we can say it outright, the future production of nuclear weapons — will continue.
3. A number of countries are ready to directly supply Iran with their own nuclear warheads.
4. Israel is under attack, explosions are rocking the country, and people are panicking.
5. The US is now entangled in a new conflict, with prospects of a ground operation looming on the horizon.
6. Iran’s political regime has survived — and in all likelihood, has come out even stronger.
7. The people are rallying around the country’s spiritual leadership, including those who were previously indifferent or opposed to it.
8. Donald Trump, once hailed as ‘president of peace,’ has now pushed the US into another war.
9. The vast majority of countries around the world oppose the actions of Israel and the United States.
10. At this rate, Trump can forget about the Nobel Peace Prize — not even with how rigged it has become. What a way to kick things off, Mr. President. Congratulations!
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
No surprise that the Iranians will move to close the Straights of Hormuz. This has always been their big card. It will require a land response, as in landing a division of US Marines. It will also require a large naval response, as part of the Iranian play will be to deploy mines. So the US will have to engage in minesweeping operations along most of the Persian Gulf (not just the Straits). Oh, and we will have to sink anything Iranian that floats (to prevent any kind of "bomb" boat threat to oil tankers. This could mean US Navy protected oil convoys out of the Gulf.
This should have all been foreseeable by military planners, and we should have plans in motion to handle these things. The problem is that it won't be quick. A large amount US Navy assets are going to have to be committed, and this will further dilute their Pacific Ocean presence (further emboldening China)
All of this would have had to have been done at some point. The Iranians would have just gotten stronger if we/Israel had not done this, and I cannot imagine how bad it would be for the Ayatollah to have a nuke. (The analogy is that Hitler would have to be fought at some point. If Britain/France had backed down over Poland, he would have eventually started WW2 from a much stronger position. In 1939, the German Navy had less than 40 operational U-boats. The German Army had fewer and, on average, less effective tanks than the French. The German plan had been to start the war in 1943. At that point, unmolested in a buildup, they may have been unstoppable.)
There is ZERO hope of negotiating with the fanatical Iranian clerics. The literally believe that the "12th Imam" is going to come back from "suspended animation" to save them, no matter what the odds, or how bad their military defeats are. The only way to handle this is to not only kill the head Ayatollah, but a LARGE number of the clerical leadership, and to forcibly remove them from positions of power.
Next point is that only Iranians can really effect regime/culture change in Iran. And, as has been pointed out, a counter-revolution would have to take place. And this can only happen if there is an organized and supplied military resistance. This also requires US land forces along the Iranian coast, so that rebels could be supplied with arms.
BTW, while I am glad that the BBC found a lot of anti-Regime voices in Iran. Hopefully they didn't just find English speakers. The 45 years of Islamic theocracy has certainly embittered the great majority of Iranians. I did read about a government mouthpiece trying to get a soccer crowd in Iran to chant "Death to Israel", and instead they started chanting "Death to Gaza and Hezbollah".
Meanwhile, disruption or even just viable threats to shipping in the Persian Gulf is going to cause MAJOR economic disruption around the globe.
AND, escalation of the conflict in Iran is going to send the Left in the US into hyper-drive. There are going to be large scale anti-war demonstrations. Trump Derangement Syndrome will escalate to anti-Vietnam war levels and beyond. At the same time, we will have a major economic downturn, which will also be blamed on Trump. It will look like the US is actually descending into a civil war. At that point, the Chinese will make their move.
This should have all been foreseeable by military planners, and we should have plans in motion to handle these things. The problem is that it won't be quick. A large amount US Navy assets are going to have to be committed, and this will further dilute their Pacific Ocean presence (further emboldening China)
All of this would have had to have been done at some point. The Iranians would have just gotten stronger if we/Israel had not done this, and I cannot imagine how bad it would be for the Ayatollah to have a nuke. (The analogy is that Hitler would have to be fought at some point. If Britain/France had backed down over Poland, he would have eventually started WW2 from a much stronger position. In 1939, the German Navy had less than 40 operational U-boats. The German Army had fewer and, on average, less effective tanks than the French. The German plan had been to start the war in 1943. At that point, unmolested in a buildup, they may have been unstoppable.)
There is ZERO hope of negotiating with the fanatical Iranian clerics. The literally believe that the "12th Imam" is going to come back from "suspended animation" to save them, no matter what the odds, or how bad their military defeats are. The only way to handle this is to not only kill the head Ayatollah, but a LARGE number of the clerical leadership, and to forcibly remove them from positions of power.
Next point is that only Iranians can really effect regime/culture change in Iran. And, as has been pointed out, a counter-revolution would have to take place. And this can only happen if there is an organized and supplied military resistance. This also requires US land forces along the Iranian coast, so that rebels could be supplied with arms.
BTW, while I am glad that the BBC found a lot of anti-Regime voices in Iran. Hopefully they didn't just find English speakers. The 45 years of Islamic theocracy has certainly embittered the great majority of Iranians. I did read about a government mouthpiece trying to get a soccer crowd in Iran to chant "Death to Israel", and instead they started chanting "Death to Gaza and Hezbollah".
Meanwhile, disruption or even just viable threats to shipping in the Persian Gulf is going to cause MAJOR economic disruption around the globe.
AND, escalation of the conflict in Iran is going to send the Left in the US into hyper-drive. There are going to be large scale anti-war demonstrations. Trump Derangement Syndrome will escalate to anti-Vietnam war levels and beyond. At the same time, we will have a major economic downturn, which will also be blamed on Trump. It will look like the US is actually descending into a civil war. At that point, the Chinese will make their move.
Re: Gas Prices
I'm under the impression that EVERYTHING that powers modern life is underpinned by the energy from oil. Therefore get ANYTHING that you need because the price increases will be across the board. We'll soon find out the resiliency level of our own domestic oil production safety net. Since it's been targeted in both Russia and now Iran, might be something targeted here. Then real shortages is everything gets realDaKardii wrote: Sun Jun 22, 2025 12:20 pm Iran's parliament just voted to close the Strait of Hormuz. The Supreme Leader likely will ratify by midnight Tehran time, or 4:30 PM EST.
Get gas NOW.
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