Yes, I frequently read Felgenhauer's stuff in the Jamestown EurasiaGuest wrote: Sat Apr 03, 2021 9:23 pm >
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world- ... d-23847342
> >>> Russian military analyst Pavel Felgenhauer has warned WW3
> could be sparked by rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine –
> and things could really kick off in early May
> >>> With tension sharply rising, Pavel Felgenhauer, who has
> written several books about Russia's political and military
> leadership, said it now requires a "psychoanalyst" to determine
> the north Asian nation's intentions in Ukraine but warned events
> could see "war in a month".
> >>> Asked why Russia may be pushing for a conflict now, he
> replied: "Address this question to a psychoanalyst. Do I need
> to explain? "The facts are there, everything is already
> happening."
> >>> He claimed all the conditions could be in place by early May
> when Russia will hold a major Red Square parade to mark the
> anniversary of victory in World War Two, and he suspects a
> "decision has been made already".
> I've been reading Pavel's analysis since the 1990s, and he is
> accurate. He is also not pro Putin.
> I find it interesting that foreign newspapers now call Russia a
> "Northern Asian nation". In reality, Russians are Orientals. And
> they have the mentality of despots.
> It looks like this could be it. Putin is desperate and he knows
> that he must stay in power to remain alive. Russia is a mafia
> state. I used to live there, in another lifetime. I am grateful to
> God for having escaped. Now the nightmare that is Russia advances
> on civilizad countries.
> As for psychoanalysts, I come here...
Daily Monitor. But this situation is really strange.
First, I don't believe that a Russian invasion of Ukraine will start
WW III, any more than it did in 2014, and I consider that statement to
be sensationalistic, but I blame that quote on the writer of the
article.
However, he was the principal analyst on the al-Jazeera show that I
summaried in my previous posting, and he didn't say anything like
that.
He was the one that talked about the snow melting. But he didn't say
that Russia might invade Ukraine. He said that Kiev might declare war
on Donbas, and Russia might have to "get involved." I thought that
was a bizarre thing to say. There was a Kiev analyst on the show and
he just laughed, and said that Ukraine was definitely not going to
attack.
So when Felgenhauer made that bizarre remark, my reaction was that he
must be afraid of insulting Putin. You say that he's not pro-Putin,
but he still might be afraid of Putin.
And then there's this:
-- Russian Investigative Paper Novaya Gazeta Says Targeted in
'Chemical Attack'
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/03/ ... ack-a73246
(Moscow Times / AFP, 16-Mar-2021)
So Felgenhauer is a columnist for Novaya Gazeta, and a couple
of weeks ago it was attacked, and not for the first time.
It was just three years ago that Felgenhauer's own stepdaughter,
Tatyana Felgenhauer, was stabbed in the neck while working at a radio
station associated with Novaya Gazeta:
-- Russian 'Novaya Gazeta' newspaper set to arm reporters after
stabbing
https://www.dw.com/en/russian-novaya-ga ... a-41132890
(Deutsche Welle, 26-Oct-2017)
-- Russian radio host Tatyana Felgenhauer stabbed in the neck
https://www.dw.com/en/russian-radio-hos ... a-41083014
(Deutsche Welle, 24-Oct-2017)
So it may be that Pavel Felgenhauer felt subdued in the al-Jazeera
program, and didn't want to do anything to provoke another attack.
