Housing Numbers and CRE
Cold winds are blowing. Long time to Spring
https://www.realpoint.com/
Geography
•
The top three states ranked by delinquency exposure have remained consistent since January 2009, as
California, Texas, and Florida collectively accounted for over 30% of delinquency through July 2009.
• The 10 largest states by delinquent unpaid balance reflect 62% of CMBS delinquency, while the 10
largest states by overall CMBS exposure reflect 53% of the CMBS universe.
• The states of California and Texas remain a major concern at over 12% and 9% of CMBS delinquency
respectively. By MSA, California delinquency is diversified while Texas delinquency is concentrated
within the Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth MSAs (over 7% of CMBS delinquency), with each MSAs’
default percentage growing on a monthly basis (near 5% each).
• While no MSAs topped 4% of CMBS delinquency in June 2009, only one (Phoenix, AZ) did so in July.
• The 10 largest MSAs by delinquent unpaid balance reflect 33% of CMBS delinquency, while the 10
largest MSAs by overall CMBS exposure reflect 34% of the CMBS universe.
I can see sand bag mentality to lock and pass September and maybe risk October on Market play then IMO.
Many are waiting I think as am I to
move capital.