Generational Dynamics World View News

[John]

** 05-Jan-2021 World View: Video of bombing of USS Panay - 1937 newsreel

> ** 05-Jan-2021 World View: Pearl Harbor
> The situation with Japan before Pearl Harbor is very similar to
> the situation with China today. There was a great deal of
> anti-Japan xenophobia among Americans. This started in the 1920s,
> but it really skyrocketed when the Japanese bombed and sank the
> USS Panay in 1937, although no Americans wanted a war until Japan
> bombed Pearl Harbor.

I just found this youtube video of a 1937 newsreel. It's absolutely
breathtaking. It shows the effort by the USS Panay to rescue
Americans and British from Nanking to escape the Japanese army, and
then it shows how all of a sudden the Japanese warplanes begin bombing
the Panay and sinking it.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CsFSoYKtro0

[DaKardii]

I feel pretty certain in saying that there will never be any sentiment
in Washington for US armed forces to defend Russia from an attack by
China.

On the other hand, we have mutual defense treaties with Taiwan and
Japan. If we ignore those commitments, then no other country will
trust us.

After World War II, the United States took on the role of Policeman of
the World, and in doing so, signed some sort of mutual defense treaty
with many countries: Japan, South Korea, Israel, Taiwan, the
Philippines, the Marshall Islands, the ANZUS agreement with Australia
and New Zealand, a special treaty with Iceland, and the NATO agreement
with all of Europe. The purpose was to discourage attacks on any of
these allies that would otherwise have the risk of spiraling into
World War III.

China knows this, and that's why they haven't attacked Taiwan in the
last 40 years. At some point they'll decide to take on both Taiwan
and the US, and that's when they'll attack.

Japan and Russia are the only things standing in the way of a Chinese invasion of the US. Should Japan fall, then China would have a springboard to invade Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands. And should Russia fall, China would have a springboard to invade the US proper, first through Alaska and then Canada.

That being said, there will be massive opposition to war with China on any other grounds, because countries like South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines are not nearly as important to our national interests as Japan and Russia are, because those countries, unlike Japan and Russia, do not share any kind of border with us.

[So long]

The US might provide aid and advisors, but S. Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Vietnam, Eastern Russia, India and others will simply be left to their own. People are so fat, out of shape and self-absorbed they can’t care more than an Instagram or Facebook filter post about anything. The US doesn’t have the manpower to fight a war with China without a draft, and there will never be another draft as long as the Vietnam era generation is still alive. The younger generations would simply flee America, as they’ve been taught it’s inherently evil, corrupt, greedy and racist. Why defend something that you’ve been taught since kindergarten is the cause of all the world’s problems?

[Guest]

The US might provide aid and advisors, but S. Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Vietnam, Eastern Russia, India and others will simply be left to their own. People are so fat, out of shape and self-absorbed they can’t care more than an Instagram or Facebook filter post about anything. The US doesn’t have the manpower to fight a war with China without a draft, and there will never be another draft as long as the Vietnam era generation is still alive. The younger generations would simply flee America, as they’ve been taught it’s inherently evil, corrupt, greedy and racist. Why defend something that you’ve been taught since kindergarten is the cause of all the world’s problems?

When the draft is reinstated don't forget to draft American women because don't forget they wanted equality.

The feminist women that chose a career over being a wife and mother can pick up a rifle and hit the Chinese beaches to be chopped to pieces just as good as any man can.

[Guest]

The US might provide aid and advisors, but S. Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Vietnam, Eastern Russia, India and others will simply be left to their own. People are so fat, out of shape and self-absorbed they can’t care more than an Instagram or Facebook filter post about anything. The US doesn’t have the manpower to fight a war with China without a draft, and there will never be another draft as long as the Vietnam era generation is still alive. The younger generations would simply flee America, as they’ve been taught it’s inherently evil, corrupt, greedy and racist. Why defend something that you’ve been taught since kindergarten is the cause of all the world’s problems?

When the draft is reinstated don't forget to draft American women because don't forget they wanted equality.

The feminist women that chose a career over being a wife and mother can pick up a rifle and hit the Chinese beaches to be chopped to pieces just as good as any man can.

I agree with the sentiment, but 99.99% women will never serve in combat. Feminist don't want equality; they want preferential treatment, like blacks and latinos. They want free stuff and easy do-nothing jobs that pay well. They don't want to get their legs blown off. (One of my friends (a white man) lost legs in combat and it is soul destroying.)

..as they’ve been taught it’s inherently evil, corrupt, greedy and racist. Why defend something that you’ve been taught since kindergarten is the cause of all the world’s problems?

Yep. You got it. With BLM and the leftists screaming about this non-stop, why would anyone fight and die for America? The vast majority won't. Even patriotic Americans have been left disillusioned and no longer recognize the country as their own. Why die for Mexifornia/ Zimbabwe. America is unravelling right now. Only nuclear weapons keep our enemies at bay now. But not for much longer. If AOC and her kind take over, America won't even be worth attacking as we will collapse into poverty and violence.

Game over.

[Guest]

The US might provide aid and advisors, but S. Korea, Taiwan...

Taiwan is vital to global shipping. It's important. It's vital that it stay free. The South China Sea is vital to the global economy.

South Korea is a vital US ally, even if President Moon is a dangerous, self deluded, leftist, fence sitter. If Americans want to live in a free world, they can't allow SK, and Taiwan to fall. In the Cold War, Bulgaria and Romania weren't vital, nor was most of the bankrupt Balkans or the rest of Eastern Europe (with the exception of Greece and Turkey). (In my opinion) Eastern Europe is not vital now. Asia is. Asia is efficient, wealthy, militarily powerful, and there are several functioning democracies, free countries. Asia is the future, not Europe. If the CCP takes it, America is lost.

[Bob Butler]

With BLM and the leftists screaming about this non-stop, why would anyone fight and die for America? The vast majority won't. Even patriotic Americans have been left disillusioned and no longer recognize the country as their own. Why die for Mexifornia/ Zimbabwe. America is unravelling right now. Only nuclear weapons keep our enemies at bay now. But not for much longer. If AOC and her kind take over, America won't even be worth attacking as we will collapse into poverty and violence.

Game over.

At the moment, I see the major issues as COVID response, Black Lives Matter, the economic fallout of COVID, with an honorable mention to global warming.

I do not see a continued commitment to containment as a big issue. A Trump veto of the defense bill was overriden by a bipartisan congress after all. Trump did not consider military values as important, thinking our soldiers losers and suckers. Biden is quietly assuming he will pursue a traditional approach, a return of loyalty to our allies at traditional levels. This may be difficult for a while with us no longer being trusted after Trump and with a return of Trump or a Trump wannabe seen as quite possible at the moment.

There is an impression here that the left is for the opposite of whatever the right believes in. It seems overblown in this case. Deterring the aggression of autocratic powers without an actual shooting war ought to continue. Excepting Trump, this has been the policy of many presidents since World War II regardless of party.

[John]

** 06-Jan-2021 World View: Hong Kong arrests dozens of pro-democracy activists, including American citizen

• From July, election poster by pro-democracy politicians
  Joshua Wong and Lester Shum. They are now in jail for attempting to
  "overthrow" the government.

Hong Kong's government on Wednesday arrested dozens of pro-democracy
activists and politicians, accusing them of trying to overthrow the
government by forming a political party last year to gain seats in
Hong Kong's Legislative Council (LegCo).

There could be a new diplomatic crisis because Hong Kong arrested an
American citizen, lawyer John Clancey, with the firm Ho Tse Wai &
Partners.

Antony Blinken, Biden's nomination for Secretary of State, tweeted the
following:

"The sweeping arrests of pro-democracy demonstrators
are an assault on those bravely advocating for universal
rights. The Biden-Harris administration will stand with the people
of Hong Kong and against Beijing’s crackdown on
democracy."

• US citizen John Clancey being arrested by Hong Kong police on
  Wednesday

Arresting an American citizen is one more assertion by the Chinese
Communists that they are growing stronger and becoming the world
leader, displacing the United States, which is becoming weaker, in
their view. They are already gloating over last year's huge victory
-- spreading the Wuhan coronavirus to hundreds of countries while
lying and protecting themselves, with the result that they have the
virus under control, making China's the fastest growing major economy
in 2020, while everyone else is struggling.

They are also gloating over the fact that they abrogated their treaty
with Britain and took dictatorial control of Hong Kong, ignoring their
international commitments to maintain Hong Kong as a democracy until
2047. Once again, the West did nothing to stop them, giving the
Communists the opinion that the West is now so weak that the
Communists can do anything they want with impunity.

The Communists have arrested an American citizen, John Clancey, for
the first time. Perhaps the Communists will avoid a major new crisis
by freeing and deporting Clancy.

Or, speculating:

Perhaps the Communists will transfer him to the mainland and throw him
into a pit, and demand the freeing of Huawei's CEO Meng Wanzhou from
Canada, where she is awaiting possible extradition to the US. The
Communists have already arrested two Canadians in retaliation for Meng
Wanzhou, and it's possible that they will threaten the incoming Biden
adminitration to keep Clancy in a pit unless Biden agrees to free
Meng.


---- Sources:

-- Antony Blinken Signals Biden Administration Will Take on China Over
Hong Kong Crackdown
https://www.newsweek.com/blinken-biden- ... ng-1559225
(Newsweek, 6-Jan-2021)

-- National security law: Mass arrests among Hong Kong pro-democracy
camp
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-55555299
(BBC, 6-Jan-2021)

-- Dozens of Hong Kong pro-democracy figures arrested in sweeping
crackdown
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/ ... -crackdown
(Guardian, London, 5-Jan-2021)

---- Related Articles:

** 5-Jul-20 World View -- Gleeful China wins big Hong Kong victory at UN Human Rights Council
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200705


** 28-May-20 World View -- Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou loses a battle in her extradition fight
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200528


** 12-Dec-18 World View -- China jails Canadian journalist Michael Kovrig in apparent retaliation for Canada arrest of Meng Wanzhou
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181212


** 8-Dec-18 World View -- Arrest of Meng Wanzhou of China's Huawei has increasingly serious implications
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181208

[Cool Breeze]

Why does George Friedman think Poland will be a world power and fight Turkey this century?

Because he believes both countries will expand their influence into the European part of the former USSR once Russia collapses again. They will jointly displace Russia as the great Eastern European power, and will turn on each other from there.

It's funny to think of Turkey as a threat to Russia. Turkey is always on the losing side. Always. And they are a people with a sordid history and a worse religion connecting them to others who have caused much problems for being nobodies for centuries.

[DaKardii]

Another map.

In black are the countries that occupy the top 50% of global geopolitical power in 2021.

In red are the countries that occupy the next 25%.